NUModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+1.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +2.1% median,
59% of the last 29 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 76
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.63 +1.5% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$2M/day volume
46% volatility
-55% 1-year
52-week range · 5% of the way up · -59% from the high
$4.45$11.67
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. 0.21.
1-day std dev
11.0%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+27.9%
Biggest drop
-20.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | 0.20 | 0.20 | — | -10.7% | -5.4% | -8.7% | |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -6.7% | -5.4% | +2.0% | -12.8% |
| 2026-02-12 | miss | 0.30 | 0.29 | -3.3% | -15.1% | -18.1% | -16.2% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +13.3% | -4.0% | -15.8% | -11.2% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | 0.24 | 0.43 | +79.2% | +3.9% | +8.9% | +41.0% |
| 2025-02-13 | beat | 0.22 | 0.38 | +76.7% | +38.3% | +17.8% | +19.2% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | 0.20 | 0.17 | -13.5% | -0.8% | +1.6% | +17.5% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | 0.17 | 0.21 | +25.6% | +3.0% | -3.2% | -5.9% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 0.05 | 0.09 | +80.0% | +1.9% | +2.9% | +11.6% |
| 2024-02-14 | beat | 0.28 | 0.37 | +29.9% | -23.3% | -20.7% | -27.8% |
| 2023-11-01 | miss | 0.62 | 0.56 | -10.4% | -6.7% | -9.5% | -10.8% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +1.4% | -2.1% | -7.6% | -15.1% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +12.3% | -2.0% | -3.3% | -5.4% |
| 2023-02-15 | beat | 0.54 | 0.89 | +66.2% | -10.2% | -4.2% | -9.9% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | 0.78 | 0.47 | -39.6% | -5.7% | -13.4% | +3.0% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 0.75 | 0.77 | +2.3% | -2.3% | -2.8% | +3.1% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.72 | 0.76 | +5.8% | -4.5% | -3.0% | +0.7% |
| 2022-02-16 | miss | 0.95 | 0.88 | -6.7% | +0.3% | +12.4% | -3.7% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.86 | 0.97 | +12.8% | +5.1% | +4.7% | +10.3% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 1.06 | 1.15 | +9.0% | +2.9% | +4.5% | +1.2% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.72 | 0.91 | +27.0% | +1.9% | +9.0% | +8.1% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | 1.18 | 1.40 | +18.6% | -0.3% | -14.7% | -21.1% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | 0.96 | 1.08 | +12.0% | +1.1% | +2.4% | -2.9% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | 0.65 | 0.81 | +25.3% | +2.5% | -0.4% | +0.5% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 0.25 | 0.36 | +45.3% | +14.0% | +27.9% | +19.5% |
| 2020-02-12 | miss | 0.74 | 0.72 | -2.1% | -18.6% | -16.3% | -16.6% |
| 2019-11-05 | beat | 0.76 | 0.79 | +3.6% | -9.4% | -14.7% | -14.8% |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | 0.83 | 0.83 | +0.5% | -1.3% | +4.8% | +2.6% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 0.72 | 0.77 | +7.0% | +19.5% | +26.4% | +8.6% |
| 2019-02-13 | miss | 1.05 | 1.05 | -0.3% | -4.1% | -8.7% | -7.8% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | 0.98 | 1.05 | +6.7% | -4.0% | -13.7% | -6.6% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | 0.93 | 1.08 | +16.3% | +4.5% | +11.4% | +7.2% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.70 | 0.79 | +11.7% | +0.5% | -1.9% | +4.6% |
| 2018-02-15 | beat | 1.19 | 1.20 | +0.8% | -0.1% | -5.1% | -0.5% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 0.76 | 0.76 | +0.3% | -2.4% | -4.7% | -3.8% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 0.69 | 0.77 | +11.5% | +1.7% | -1.3% | -2.6% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +2.6% | -0.5% | -2.4% | +5.0% |
| 2017-02-16 | miss | 0.80 | 0.79 | -0.9% | -5.3% | -12.5% | -9.2% |
| 2016-11-03 | beat | 0.83 | 0.89 | +6.8% | -4.5% | -9.1% | -10.8% |
| 2016-08-04 | beat | 0.79 | 0.79 | +0.1% | +2.6% | +10.9% | +8.5% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.37 | 0.42 | +12.6% | +2.5% | +3.6% | -2.9% |
| 2016-02-11 | miss | 0.73 | 0.62 | -15.2% | -20.6% | -6.6% | -8.0% |
| 2015-10-29 | miss | 0.85 | 0.84 | -1.1% | -0.3% | +9.6% | +0.3% |
| 2015-08-06 | beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +2.6% | +11.8% | +20.6% | +16.1% |
| 2015-05-06 | miss | 0.73 | 0.60 | -18.0% | -18.7% | -8.9% | -12.9% |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | 0.80 | 0.85 | +6.5% | -1.9% | +13.7% | +30.6% |
| 2014-11-05 | beat | 0.93 | 1.12 | +21.1% | -21.4% | -13.2% | -19.9% |
| 2014-08-06 | miss | 1.27 | 1.13 | -10.9% | -12.3% | -19.7% | -17.1% |
| 2014-05-06 | beat | 0.94 | 1.05 | +11.9% | -3.7% | -7.1% | -12.9% |
| 2014-03-03 | beat | 1.98 | 2.02 | +1.9% | -4.4% | -10.7% | -9.0% |
| 2013-10-22 | beat | 1.42 | 1.80 | +26.7% | +14.0% | +8.4% | +16.1% |
| 2013-08-01 | beat | 1.20 | 1.22 | +1.7% | +3.5% | +4.3% | +4.6% |
| 2013-05-02 | beat | 0.79 | 0.90 | +13.5% | +6.9% | +4.9% | +10.3% |
| 2013-02-06 | beat | 0.93 | 0.97 | +3.8% | -4.6% | -3.0% | -0.2% |
| 2012-10-31 | beat | 0.76 | 0.87 | +14.0% | +2.5% | +12.9% | +9.1% |
| 2012-07-26 | beat | 0.83 | 0.94 | +13.7% | +7.2% | +10.3% | +12.9% |
| 2012-04-26 | beat | 0.70 | 0.74 | +5.2% | +0.0% | -7.1% | -24.9% |
| 2012-02-02 | beat | 0.72 | 0.76 | +5.8% | +6.7% | +2.4% | +6.9% |
| 2011-10-25 | beat | 0.61 | 0.72 | +17.6% | +4.9% | +3.2% | +6.9% |
| 2011-08-02 | beat | 0.59 | 0.65 | +10.0% | +3.6% | +8.5% | +2.9% |
Not investment advice.
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