NXModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.2%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
+4.7%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +0.0% median,
48% of the last 23 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 88
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.12%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.19 +5.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$9M/day volume
76% volatility
-78% 1-year
52-week range · 6% of the way up · -78% from the high
$1.33$7.72
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 3 days) · EPS est. -0.42.
1-day std dev
14.3%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+37.0%
Biggest drop
-29.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | miss | -0.26 | -0.53 | -100.2% | -12.9% | -16.9% | -23.9% |
| 2026-04-27 | miss | -0.19 | -0.25 | -28.5% | +33.3% | -11.2% | -6.7% |
| 2026-02-23 | beat | -0.20 | -0.16 | +19.9% | +4.9% | +8.5% | -0.2% |
| 2025-10-27 | beat | -0.31 | -0.19 | +38.9% | -9.5% | -2.4% | -14.1% |
| 2025-07-28 | beat | -0.36 | -0.22 | +38.6% | +5.4% | -6.2% | -15.9% |
| 2025-04-28 | beat | -0.63 | -0.42 | +33.2% | +10.0% | -0.7% | -10.3% |
| 2025-02-24 | miss | -0.75 | -0.91 | -21.6% | +2.7% | +7.4% | -14.7% |
| 2024-10-24 | miss | -0.79 | -0.96 | -22.2% | -18.8% | -29.7% | -32.7% |
| 2024-07-29 | beat | -0.85 | -0.76 | +11.0% | +12.3% | -9.8% | -23.3% |
| 2024-05-06 | miss | -0.88 | -1.22 | -38.9% | -18.8% | -24.5% | -9.5% |
| 2024-02-20 | miss | -0.74 | -1.22 | -66.0% | +6.3% | -2.2% | +17.9% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | -0.72 | -0.61 | +15.0% | -1.0% | +0.7% | +4.0% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | -0.09 | -0.02 | +77.3% | +10.3% | +12.6% | +16.5% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | -0.14 | -0.10 | +30.2% | +8.5% | +11.4% | +9.2% |
| 2023-02-22 | miss | -0.02 | -0.24 | -1084.5% | -7.9% | -2.5% | -10.9% |
| 2022-10-27 | miss | 0.07 | -0.71 | -1188.8% | -0.3% | -9.2% | -17.3% |
| 2022-07-28 | miss | 0.42 | 0.25 | -39.5% | -4.5% | +7.2% | +0.4% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 0.23 | 0.32 | +40.7% | +1.8% | +2.7% | +15.9% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 0.26 | 0.36 | +39.8% | +29.0% | +22.8% | +53.6% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 0.31 | 0.77 | +145.1% | +7.8% | +20.5% | +35.9% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 0.55 | 1.91 | +246.9% | -6.2% | -3.4% | -8.4% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 0.07 | 0.37 | +464.9% | +15.5% | +5.2% | +10.6% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | 0.07 | 0.41 | +453.8% | -9.1% | -17.3% | -27.0% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | -0.31 | 0.62 | +302.6% | +13.9% | -13.6% | -4.8% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | -0.12 | 1.08 | +1000.0% | +15.2% | +25.4% | +55.0% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | -0.63 | -0.43 | +31.2% | +20.2% | +4.5% | +31.9% |
| 2020-03-13 | miss | -0.34 | -0.70 | -104.8% | +15.5% | -5.3% | +10.3% |
| 2019-11-12 | miss | -0.56 | -0.75 | -34.1% | -4.9% | -17.4% | -16.3% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | -0.73 | -0.64 | +12.8% | -1.3% | +18.3% | -14.9% |
| 2019-05-09 | miss | -0.75 | -1.15 | -53.0% | +1.7% | +11.3% | -16.2% |
| 2019-03-18 | miss | -0.78 | -0.95 | -21.9% | -6.3% | -5.7% | -11.4% |
| 2018-11-08 | miss | -0.70 | -1.51 | -114.0% | -3.7% | -15.5% | -15.6% |
| 2018-08-09 | miss | -0.82 | -2.14 | -161.3% | +21.6% | +7.9% | -22.2% |
| 2018-05-08 | miss | -0.87 | -1.56 | -79.0% | -2.2% | -6.6% | -0.7% |
| 2018-03-15 | miss | -0.03 | -0.42 | -1310.3% | -15.4% | -5.2% | -6.2% |
| 2017-11-08 | beat | -0.09 | -0.02 | +72.8% | +14.7% | +30.7% | +35.3% |
| 2017-05-04 | miss | 0.09 | -0.20 | -322.2% | -4.5% | +0.6% | +0.0% |
| 2017-01-31 | beat | -0.04 | 0.15 | +479.8% | +13.9% | +5.4% | +3.6% |
| 2016-11-03 | miss | -0.02 | -0.07 | -250.0% | +3.1% | +19.1% | +32.4% |
| 2016-08-04 | miss | 0.11 | 0.03 | -72.7% | -9.1% | -0.8% | -1.1% |
| 2015-08-06 | miss | 0.13 | 0.07 | -46.1% | -1.6% | +6.4% | -2.5% |
| 2015-04-27 | miss | 0.20 | 0.11 | -45.0% | -4.3% | -10.2% | -17.5% |
| 2015-01-29 | miss | 0.25 | 0.06 | -76.0% | -11.6% | +1.8% | -0.4% |
| 2014-10-23 | miss | 0.08 | 0.07 | -12.5% | +5.7% | +8.4% | +28.6% |
| 2014-07-24 | miss | 0.10 | 0.08 | -15.8% | +0.3% | +16.0% | +16.4% |
| 2014-04-24 | miss | 0.25 | 0.16 | -34.7% | -4.5% | -5.8% | -17.5% |
| 2014-01-30 | miss | 0.52 | 0.04 | -92.3% | -4.1% | -22.3% | -32.2% |
| 2013-10-17 | miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -6.7% | -9.2% | -11.9% | -17.2% |
| 2013-07-18 | beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +28.2% | +19.0% | +22.4% | +16.4% |
| 2013-04-18 | beat | 0.15 | 0.32 | +113.3% | +18.6% | +37.0% | +80.6% |
| 2013-01-24 | beat | 0.27 | 0.37 | +35.6% | +6.0% | +7.5% | -12.4% |
| 2012-10-25 | beat | -0.10 | 0.11 | +210.0% | +1.1% | +23.4% | +44.7% |
| 2012-03-02 | miss | 0.45 | -0.15 | -133.7% | -9.9% | -11.2% | -22.4% |
| 2011-10-27 | miss | -0.21 | -0.33 | -54.7% | -4.8% | +0.5% | -11.9% |
| 2011-07-28 | miss | -0.16 | -0.34 | -106.1% | -2.5% | -12.0% | -23.4% |
| 2011-04-28 | miss | — | -0.02 | -300.0% | -0.5% | +0.2% | -8.3% |
| 2011-02-28 | beat | 0.41 | 0.65 | +57.3% | +4.5% | +9.2% | +15.4% |
| 2010-10-29 | miss | -0.01 | -0.15 | -1025.3% | -3.0% | -15.5% | -12.4% |
| 2010-08-05 | miss | -0.04 | -0.06 | -50.0% | -11.1% | -16.8% | -31.6% |
| 2010-05-04 | beat | -0.07 | 0.17 | +355.0% | +17.7% | +21.0% | +19.5% |
Not investment advice.
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