OBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
-1.5%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): -14.3% median,
30% of the last 20 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 63
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.20%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.14 -0.4% · Seasonal tilt -1.2%
$7M/day volume
56% volatility
+98% 1-year
52-week range · 70% of the way up · -19% from the high
$5.44$14.59
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 6 days).
1-day std dev
6.3%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+15.4%
Biggest drop
-20.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 0.32 | 0.62 | +94.2% | -0.7% | +3.4% | -2.4% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | 0.15 | -0.28 | -283.7% | -0.2% | -2.7% | +5.5% |
| 2026-02-19 | miss | 0.09 | -0.18 | -300.0% | -3.2% | -1.9% | -1.0% |
| 2025-10-30 | miss | 0.38 | 0.24 | -36.8% | -0.5% | +0.2% | +3.5% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 0.17 | 0.23 | +32.8% | -2.6% | +0.0% | -6.4% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | 0.42 | 0.22 | -46.6% | +1.2% | +0.2% | +21.8% |
| 2024-10-31 | miss | 0.57 | 0.40 | -29.2% | +1.9% | -2.1% | +5.7% |
| 2024-08-01 | miss | 0.50 | 0.41 | -17.1% | -2.4% | -6.0% | -14.4% |
| 2024-05-02 | miss | 0.27 | 0.15 | -43.3% | +0.7% | -3.0% | -3.0% |
| 2024-02-22 | beat | 0.33 | 0.41 | +23.1% | -0.7% | +2.7% | +2.3% |
| 2023-11-09 | miss | 0.54 | 0.30 | -43.5% | +1.2% | -0.3% | -5.0% |
| 2023-08-02 | miss | 0.28 | 0.22 | -21.4% | -1.3% | -3.0% | +3.7% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +9.1% | +3.2% | +0.8% | +1.0% |
| 2023-02-23 | beat | 0.60 | 7.47 | +1145.0% | +8.6% | +13.3% | +22.1% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 1.19 | 1.35 | +13.4% | +4.9% | +3.5% | -1.0% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | 0.46 | 0.28 | -39.1% | +0.1% | -3.0% | -19.2% |
| 2022-02-24 | miss | 0.41 | 0.31 | -23.5% | +4.8% | +3.0% | -4.2% |
| 2021-11-08 | beat | 0.35 | 0.60 | +72.6% | +0.0% | +3.3% | -5.3% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 0.17 | 4.23 | +2388.2% | -3.5% | -3.2% | -4.5% |
| 2021-05-07 | beat | -0.02 | 0.31 | +1650.0% | +3.6% | -1.2% | -3.6% |
| 2021-03-29 | beat | -0.57 | 0.02 | +103.5% | -1.2% | +2.5% | -11.8% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | -0.71 | -0.05 | +93.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +6.7% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | -0.88 | -0.30 | +65.9% | +2.3% | +4.5% | -2.3% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | -0.62 | -10.22 | -1548.4% | -4.5% | -9.1% | +4.5% |
| 2020-03-30 | miss | -0.51 | -7.45 | -1360.8% | +5.9% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2019-11-04 | beat | -0.66 | -0.38 | +42.4% | +8.1% | +8.1% | -1.6% |
| 2019-08-14 | miss | -0.55 | -2.19 | -298.5% | +3.2% | -0.8% | -18.3% |
| 2019-05-10 | miss | -0.56 | -0.73 | -30.5% | -3.3% | +10.0% | +0.0% |
| 2019-03-07 | miss | -0.70 | -1.57 | -123.9% | -2.8% | -13.9% | -16.7% |
| 2018-11-08 | miss | -0.28 | -0.42 | -50.0% | -5.6% | -4.2% | -23.9% |
| 2018-08-02 | miss | -0.44 | -1.12 | -152.6% | -0.9% | -3.7% | -10.2% |
| 2018-05-11 | miss | -0.52 | -0.89 | -69.2% | -2.6% | -1.7% | +1.7% |
| 2018-03-07 | miss | -0.42 | -0.63 | -48.9% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -5.2% |
| 2017-11-10 | miss | -0.40 | -0.58 | -46.5% | -0.8% | +0.8% | +3.3% |
| 2017-08-09 | beat | -0.19 | -0.17 | +8.9% | -0.9% | -3.6% | -21.8% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | -0.04 | 0.35 | +1100.0% | +2.1% | -0.7% | +8.3% |
| 2017-03-15 | miss | -0.42 | -0.62 | -47.0% | +3.5% | +15.4% | +11.2% |
| 2016-11-02 | miss | -0.70 | -2.07 | -196.2% | -3.2% | -3.2% | +0.0% |
| 2016-08-04 | miss | -1.11 | -2.11 | -90.6% | +2.2% | -0.7% | +8.1% |
| 2016-05-16 | miss | -0.42 | -1.40 | -233.3% | +1.2% | -20.7% | -13.4% |
| 2016-03-10 | miss | -1.70 | -22.40 | -1215.1% | -10.6% | -16.3% | -17.9% |
| 2015-11-05 | miss | -1.19 | -1.96 | -64.7% | -4.1% | -6.8% | -18.9% |
| 2015-07-30 | miss | -1.12 | -1.67 | -49.4% | +2.3% | +5.3% | -5.3% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | -2.06 | -1.30 | +37.1% | -1.2% | -0.4% | -13.3% |
| 2015-03-12 | miss | 0.04 | -2.86 | -8260.0% | +3.3% | +0.7% | +0.0% |
| 2014-11-05 | miss | 0.61 | -0.20 | -132.3% | +2.7% | +2.7% | +7.9% |
| 2014-09-18 | beat | 1.02 | 2.12 | +108.3% | +8.8% | +8.7% | -1.1% |
| 2014-05-01 | miss | 0.89 | 0.56 | -37.4% | +1.7% | +1.0% | +1.5% |
| 2014-03-07 | miss | -0.18 | -10.43 | -5747.1% | -3.0% | +7.3% | +3.9% |
| 2013-11-06 | miss | 0.44 | 0.42 | -4.0% | +0.1% | -15.6% | -24.5% |
| 2013-08-08 | miss | 0.17 | -0.56 | -433.3% | -0.2% | +0.4% | +1.2% |
| 2013-05-02 | miss | -0.31 | -1.40 | -349.2% | +0.7% | +2.6% | +2.8% |
| 2013-02-14 | miss | -0.24 | -0.77 | -221.1% | +1.3% | +2.3% | -5.0% |
| 2012-11-02 | miss | -0.59 | -0.98 | -67.0% | -0.5% | -7.0% | -18.1% |
| 2012-08-10 | beat | -0.22 | 3.50 | +1711.3% | -3.3% | +1.8% | -0.5% |
| 2012-05-04 | miss | 1.23 | 0.84 | -31.4% | -1.7% | -4.1% | -10.3% |
| 2012-02-16 | miss | 0.91 | -0.91 | -199.8% | -0.2% | +1.5% | -0.6% |
| 2011-11-03 | beat | 0.47 | 2.03 | +332.5% | +2.3% | +2.7% | -0.3% |
| 2011-08-10 | beat | 1.64 | 4.06 | +148.3% | +1.7% | +0.6% | +5.5% |
| 2011-05-05 | beat | 0.62 | 4.41 | +608.1% | -1.9% | +0.2% | +7.4% |
Not investment advice.
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