OBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.0%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+3.4%
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 18
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.27%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.48 +3.5% · Seasonal tilt (5y) -0.1%
$2M/day volume
64% volatility
+42% 1-year
-76% from ATH
52-week range · 73% of the way up · -12% from the high
$3.46$6.50
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. -0.40.
1-day std dev
9.7%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+13.1%
Biggest drop
-24.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 14 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | beat | -0.37 | -0.37 | +0.1% | -4.3% | -1.3% | +26.9% |
| 2026-03-12 | beat | -0.38 | 0.26 | +168.7% | +0.2% | -4.8% | +0.9% |
| 2025-11-10 | beat | -0.43 | -0.40 | +6.7% | -0.8% | +8.5% | +11.9% |
| 2025-08-12 | beat | -0.51 | -0.50 | +1.4% | +3.2% | +7.9% | +1.2% |
| 2025-05-12 | miss | -0.48 | -0.49 | -1.7% | +2.6% | +10.9% | +11.3% |
| 2025-03-31 | miss | -0.42 | -0.43 | -1.3% | -9.8% | -24.3% | -34.8% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | -0.44 | -0.41 | +7.3% | +5.8% | +7.2% | -6.7% |
| 2024-08-12 | miss | -0.40 | -0.45 | -12.5% | +2.3% | -2.5% | +1.6% |
| 2024-05-13 | -0.38 | -0.38 | — | +0.0% | +13.0% | +11.5% | |
| 2024-03-27 | beat | -0.34 | -0.32 | +5.6% | -1.2% | -0.7% | -7.8% |
| 2023-11-13 | beat | -0.39 | -0.38 | +2.6% | -4.0% | +13.1% | +3.6% |
| 2023-08-10 | beat | -0.41 | -0.35 | +15.7% | +1.6% | -1.6% | -12.2% |
| 2023-05-12 | miss | -0.28 | -0.40 | -40.4% | +3.7% | +0.0% | -10.8% |
| 2023-03-24 | miss | -3.14 | -3.88 | -23.6% | -3.5% | -1.6% | +19.3% |
Not investment advice.
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