OCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
-0.0%
Next 1 month
+1.0%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +0.6% median,
65% of the last 17 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 100
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.55 +1.3% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$5M/day volume
24% volatility
-10% 1-year
-70% from ATH
52-week range · 54% of the way up · -11% from the high
$10.63$13.94
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-17 (Tuesday, before open, in 15 days) · EPS est. 0.34.
1-day std dev
4.7%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+7.9%
Biggest drop
-17.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +3.7% | +0.0% | -0.6% | +5.0% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +3.8% | -4.4% | -5.7% | -6.1% |
| 2026-02-04 | beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +8.8% | -0.2% | +3.3% | +1.7% |
| 2025-11-18 | beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +2.9% | -1.0% | +0.0% | +2.3% |
| 2025-08-05 | miss | 0.45 | 0.37 | -17.0% | -2.5% | -1.7% | +0.5% |
| 2025-05-01 | miss | 0.49 | 0.45 | -8.2% | -3.8% | -7.8% | -5.1% |
| 2025-02-04 | miss | 0.54 | 0.54 | -0.5% | -3.6% | -2.8% | -2.3% |
| 2024-11-19 | miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -1.5% | -0.9% | -3.3% | -0.9% |
| 2024-08-01 | miss | 0.56 | 0.54 | -4.2% | -1.4% | -4.0% | -10.2% |
| 2024-04-30 | miss | 0.58 | 0.56 | -2.7% | -2.9% | -3.6% | -3.5% |
| 2024-02-01 | miss | 0.61 | 0.57 | -6.7% | -6.3% | -7.8% | -7.1% |
| 2023-11-14 | miss | 0.63 | 0.62 | -1.7% | +0.8% | +0.1% | -0.3% |
| 2023-08-03 | miss | 0.63 | 0.62 | -2.3% | -1.0% | -2.2% | -2.1% |
| 2023-05-04 | miss | 0.63 | 0.62 | -1.8% | -0.1% | -2.6% | -0.5% |
| 2023-02-07 | miss | 0.61 | 0.61 | -0.1% | +1.1% | +1.2% | -0.4% |
| 2022-11-15 | miss | 0.55 | 0.54 | -2.4% | +3.6% | +5.1% | +8.8% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | 0.54 | 0.51 | -5.3% | +0.0% | -1.7% | +0.3% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 0.51 | 0.54 | +6.4% | -0.9% | -2.2% | -6.1% |
| 2022-02-03 | beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +2.8% | +0.7% | -0.1% | -1.6% |
| 2021-11-16 | beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +7.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | -1.1% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.41 | 0.57 | +37.4% | +1.3% | +3.5% | +5.3% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +1.8% | +0.4% | +0.1% | -3.0% |
| 2021-02-04 | miss | 0.39 | 0.21 | -46.2% | -0.5% | -1.5% | +3.5% |
| 2020-11-19 | beat | 0.36 | 0.51 | +41.7% | +3.7% | +2.3% | +7.3% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +7.6% | +3.3% | +7.3% | +4.6% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.31 | 0.48 | +56.3% | -2.2% | -3.1% | -4.1% |
| 2020-02-06 | miss | 0.35 | 0.30 | -14.7% | -1.4% | -3.0% | -5.1% |
| 2019-11-20 | beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +1.5% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.2% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | 0.36 | 0.36 | -0.4% | +0.2% | +2.3% | -1.2% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +10.4% | +1.5% | +4.6% | +5.9% |
| 2019-02-07 | beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +12.0% | +0.2% | +2.0% | +6.0% |
| 2018-11-29 | beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +14.3% | +0.7% | +3.9% | -0.4% |
| 2018-08-08 | miss | 0.31 | 0.30 | -2.1% | +1.2% | -1.2% | +0.2% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | 0.28 | 0.33 | +17.3% | +1.6% | +7.6% | +13.6% |
| 2018-02-08 | miss | 0.31 | 0.27 | -11.9% | -4.7% | -7.6% | -7.4% |
| 2017-11-29 | miss | 0.40 | 0.24 | -39.8% | -2.1% | -3.3% | -7.5% |
| 2017-08-09 | beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +5.1% | +1.0% | +1.9% | +3.6% |
| 2017-05-10 | miss | 0.45 | 0.39 | -12.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -2.6% |
| 2017-02-09 | miss | 0.54 | 0.48 | -11.3% | -10.3% | -17.5% | -16.8% |
| 2016-11-29 | miss | 0.55 | 0.54 | -2.0% | -1.7% | -9.0% | -6.6% |
| 2016-08-09 | beat | 0.54 | 0.60 | +10.9% | +2.1% | +1.7% | +0.0% |
| 2016-05-10 | beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +1.5% | +0.2% | +2.4% | +1.0% |
| 2016-02-09 | miss | 0.55 | 0.54 | -1.7% | -2.7% | -8.3% | -12.6% |
| 2015-12-01 | miss | 0.60 | 0.54 | -9.3% | -2.6% | -0.3% | -2.5% |
| 2015-08-10 | beat | 0.58 | 0.63 | +7.9% | +2.3% | +7.9% | +6.9% |
| 2015-05-11 | miss | 0.63 | 0.57 | -9.9% | +0.3% | +0.7% | +0.4% |
| 2015-02-09 | miss | 0.78 | 0.69 | -11.7% | -14.3% | -15.0% | -15.1% |
| 2014-12-01 | miss | 0.78 | 0.75 | -3.8% | -0.1% | -3.9% | -7.1% |
| 2014-08-07 | miss | 0.79 | 0.75 | -5.5% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +1.2% |
| 2014-05-08 | miss | 0.79 | 0.75 | -4.9% | -0.1% | -2.5% | -1.1% |
| 2014-02-06 | beat | 0.75 | 0.78 | +3.6% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +2.4% |
| 2013-11-25 | miss | 0.78 | 0.69 | -12.1% | -2.8% | -5.0% | -7.3% |
| 2013-08-07 | miss | 0.83 | 0.75 | -10.2% | +0.5% | +1.0% | -3.4% |
| 2013-05-08 | miss | 0.85 | 0.81 | -4.9% | -0.5% | -1.0% | -2.3% |
| 2013-02-06 | miss | 0.83 | 0.57 | -31.1% | -0.2% | -0.8% | +1.5% |
| 2012-11-28 | beat | 0.81 | 0.93 | +14.5% | +0.4% | +0.8% | -0.1% |
| 2012-08-08 | miss | 0.79 | 0.72 | -8.8% | +0.1% | -0.3% | +0.1% |
| 2012-05-08 | miss | 0.78 | 0.78 | -1.0% | +1.0% | +1.8% | -1.9% |
| 2012-02-08 | miss | 0.84 | 0.81 | -3.7% | +0.0% | +1.6% | -1.8% |
| 2011-11-29 | miss | 0.79 | 0.69 | -13.1% | +4.8% | +5.4% | +9.9% |
Not investment advice.
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