OIModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+2.5%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +0.8% median,
53% of the last 34 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 2
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.12%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.10 +2.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$25M/day volume
55% volatility
-56% 1-year
52-week range · 1% of the way up · -70% from the high
$5.00$16.91
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-09 (Tuesday, after close, in 104 days) · EPS est. 0.15.
1-day std dev
8.3%
Finished up
44%
Biggest pop
+15.0%
Biggest drop
-24.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 59 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | miss | 0.16 | -0.09 | -155.8% | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-28 | miss | 0.24 | 0.09 | -62.7% | -14.0% | -15.0% | -17.5% |
| 2026-04-28 | miss | 0.12 | 0.05 | -58.2% | -20.4% | -15.5% | -11.2% |
| 2026-02-10 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +5.2% | -4.3% | -4.9% | -7.5% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 0.42 | 0.48 | +14.3% | +11.2% | +14.2% | +9.4% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | 0.41 | 0.53 | +29.2% | +3.6% | -12.5% | -10.4% |
| 2025-04-29 | beat | 0.24 | 0.40 | +69.5% | +4.5% | +4.2% | +5.9% |
| 2025-02-04 | beat | -0.08 | -0.05 | +38.3% | +5.5% | +2.8% | -1.9% |
| 2024-10-29 | miss | 0.04 | -0.04 | -214.1% | -7.1% | -7.2% | +3.5% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +2.0% | -1.8% | +15.0% | -5.9% |
| 2024-04-30 | beat | 0.38 | 0.45 | +16.9% | -12.4% | -15.9% | -10.4% |
| 2024-02-06 | beat | 0.03 | 0.12 | +297.6% | +9.8% | +14.1% | +13.6% |
| 2023-10-31 | beat | 0.70 | 0.80 | +15.0% | -9.4% | -5.3% | -4.7% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 0.84 | 0.88 | +5.0% | -2.1% | -10.8% | -11.1% |
| 2023-04-25 | beat | 0.83 | 1.29 | +55.0% | +9.7% | +0.4% | +2.2% |
| 2023-01-31 | beat | 0.32 | 0.38 | +19.8% | +9.6% | +12.4% | +15.4% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | 0.61 | 0.63 | +3.8% | -1.9% | -9.7% | -0.1% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | 0.66 | 0.73 | +9.8% | +3.1% | -6.6% | -5.0% |
| 2022-04-25 | beat | 0.39 | 0.56 | +41.9% | +12.2% | -4.5% | +5.0% |
| 2022-02-01 | beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +10.2% | +3.6% | +3.0% | +2.1% |
| 2021-10-25 | beat | 0.52 | 0.58 | +12.0% | +0.7% | -4.4% | -9.9% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 0.48 | 0.54 | +13.4% | -1.2% | -4.1% | +0.1% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.30 | 0.35 | +16.9% | +2.3% | +4.2% | +14.9% |
| 2021-02-09 | beat | 0.34 | 0.40 | +19.3% | +0.7% | -2.2% | -11.8% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | 0.29 | 0.41 | +41.6% | +7.5% | -2.1% | +1.3% |
| 2020-08-04 | miss | 0.03 | 0.01 | -62.4% | +4.4% | +10.0% | +7.9% |
| 2020-04-29 | beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +3.1% | -3.4% | -3.1% | -14.0% |
| 2020-02-04 | beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +4.4% | +3.0% | +10.9% | +1.0% |
| 2019-10-28 | miss | 0.55 | 0.54 | -1.5% | -9.4% | -20.1% | -14.5% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | 0.76 | 0.69 | -9.3% | -13.2% | -24.2% | -27.6% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | 0.53 | 0.51 | -4.4% | -5.2% | -8.5% | -11.9% |
| 2019-02-05 | miss | 0.62 | 0.61 | -2.4% | -3.5% | -0.9% | -0.5% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.75 | 0.75 | +0.4% | +3.9% | -6.6% | +4.0% |
| 2018-07-23 | beat | 0.74 | 0.77 | +3.4% | +0.9% | +9.3% | +10.9% |
| 2018-04-24 | beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +2.3% | -2.3% | +1.2% | -4.6% |
| 2018-02-06 | beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +2.0% | +0.0% | +3.9% | -1.9% |
| 2017-10-23 | beat | 0.74 | 0.77 | +4.7% | -3.1% | -3.1% | -4.9% |
| 2017-07-31 | beat | 0.67 | 0.75 | +12.3% | +1.0% | +3.4% | +1.8% |
| 2017-04-24 | beat | 0.53 | 0.58 | +10.2% | +2.6% | +3.0% | +1.8% |
| 2017-02-01 | beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +6.0% | -2.3% | -2.5% | +0.4% |
| 2016-10-25 | beat | 0.66 | 0.68 | +2.4% | +5.5% | +10.8% | +9.4% |
| 2016-07-27 | beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +3.7% | +0.6% | -1.9% | -1.6% |
| 2016-05-02 | beat | 0.40 | 0.48 | +20.1% | +2.4% | +3.2% | +3.8% |
| 2016-02-08 | beat | 0.40 | 0.40 | +0.8% | -1.6% | +10.0% | +15.4% |
| 2015-10-27 | beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +2.8% | -0.6% | -4.0% | -3.3% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | 0.58 | 0.60 | +3.1% | +0.2% | +0.4% | -1.2% |
| 2015-04-28 | beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +4.1% | -2.8% | -3.8% | -4.0% |
| 2015-02-02 | beat | 0.46 | 0.46 | +0.9% | +0.7% | +0.6% | +5.4% |
| 2014-10-28 | beat | 0.74 | 0.75 | +1.8% | -5.3% | -9.4% | -1.4% |
| 2014-07-29 | miss | 0.82 | 0.80 | -2.9% | -1.1% | -2.8% | -4.1% |
| 2014-04-29 | beat | 0.61 | 0.62 | +2.1% | -0.3% | -0.1% | +0.9% |
| 2014-01-28 | miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -2.8% | -1.3% | +1.5% | -4.4% |
| 2013-10-30 | beat | 0.77 | 0.79 | +2.1% | -0.6% | +4.0% | +2.0% |
| 2013-07-24 | beat | 0.79 | 0.81 | +2.0% | -1.0% | -1.5% | +4.2% |
| 2013-04-23 | beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +5.2% | -0.4% | -2.0% | +1.9% |
| 2013-01-30 | beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +9.2% | +0.1% | +4.6% | +9.4% |
| 2012-10-24 | beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +2.3% | +3.9% | +2.7% | +0.8% |
| 2012-07-25 | beat | 0.76 | 0.81 | +6.5% | +0.2% | -5.6% | -5.6% |
| 2012-04-25 | beat | 0.68 | 0.73 | +6.8% | -1.4% | -3.0% | -7.4% |
| 2012-01-25 | beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +5.0% | +0.4% | +5.1% | +4.5% |
Posted about OI
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TRACKER - Cathie Wood
long
—
6h ago
ARK bought 43,130 shares of ILMN for ARKK. The trade: 0.16% of that fund, on 30 October 2026 — roughly $10.2m at that day’s close. The entry: ILMN's…
Not investment advice.
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