OLModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+1.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.4% median,
63% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 81
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.40 +1.0% · Seasonal tilt +0.6%
$78M/day volume
52% volatility
-31% 1-year
-76% from ATH
52-week range · 12% of the way up · -46% from the high
$14.64$30.46
Congressional trades in OLN Full tracker →
2 members · 1 buys / 1 sells · $16K–$65K disclosed · latest filing Oct 12, 2026.
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 1 day) · EPS est. 0.16.
1-day std dev
6.5%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+14.8%
Biggest drop
-17.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | miss | 0.10 | 0.07 | -29.1% | -7.6% | -16.5% | -16.1% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.64 | -0.33 | +48.2% | +1.5% | +0.3% | +0.1% |
| 2026-01-29 | miss | -0.62 | -0.64 | -1.9% | -4.1% | -6.8% | +11.1% |
| 2025-10-27 | beat | 0.09 | 0.39 | +344.6% | -12.4% | -12.4% | -18.6% |
| 2025-07-28 | miss | 0.02 | 0.02 | -11.8% | +4.0% | +5.1% | -8.7% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | -0.10 | 0.03 | +132.5% | +5.1% | +2.5% | -1.5% |
| 2025-01-30 | beat | -0.04 | 0.18 | +598.3% | -7.0% | -8.9% | -12.2% |
| 2024-10-24 | miss | 0.03 | -0.15 | -602.2% | -6.8% | -8.0% | -9.3% |
| 2024-07-25 | miss | 0.69 | 0.66 | -4.5% | -10.0% | -7.2% | -10.6% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 0.36 | 0.45 | +24.7% | +0.0% | +1.2% | +1.5% |
| 2024-01-25 | beat | 0.18 | 0.27 | +49.0% | +6.3% | +6.6% | -0.8% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 0.72 | 0.90 | +23.8% | -4.6% | -9.0% | -3.5% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 1.02 | 1.08 | +5.6% | +1.5% | +4.0% | +5.4% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 1.31 | 1.52 | +16.4% | -4.2% | +1.3% | +0.6% |
| 2023-01-26 | beat | 1.37 | 1.49 | +8.3% | +0.3% | +7.0% | +8.0% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | 1.82 | 2.15 | +18.2% | +3.0% | +5.7% | +10.5% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 2.52 | 2.78 | +10.5% | +4.6% | +5.4% | +6.6% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 2.33 | 2.49 | +6.9% | +7.7% | +7.8% | +19.0% |
| 2022-01-27 | miss | 2.44 | 1.90 | -22.4% | +0.4% | -3.3% | +1.1% |
| 2021-10-21 | beat | 1.98 | 2.40 | +21.1% | +0.5% | +9.4% | +10.5% |
| 2021-07-27 | beat | 1.47 | 2.26 | +54.1% | -1.3% | +4.4% | +2.6% |
| 2021-04-27 | beat | 1.34 | 1.54 | +14.6% | +2.2% | +0.2% | +11.0% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | -0.13 | -0.09 | +29.5% | +2.6% | -4.3% | +9.1% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | -0.23 | -0.13 | +42.1% | +0.5% | +14.8% | +17.2% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | -0.47 | -0.65 | -38.5% | -7.0% | -6.4% | -6.4% |
| 2020-04-29 | miss | -0.27 | -0.42 | -55.1% | -10.0% | -17.8% | -30.1% |
| 2020-02-04 | miss | -0.12 | -0.12 | -4.2% | -1.1% | +3.5% | +9.3% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | 0.34 | 0.45 | +31.1% | -2.4% | -0.3% | +5.5% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | — | -0.02 | -886.2% | -0.3% | -4.8% | -11.2% |
| 2019-04-30 | miss | 0.32 | 0.28 | -10.8% | -0.2% | -2.6% | -4.6% |
| 2019-02-04 | beat | 0.36 | 0.40 | +11.4% | +5.4% | +8.7% | +6.2% |
| 2018-10-29 | beat | 0.75 | 0.82 | +10.3% | +4.0% | -1.1% | +9.3% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 0.40 | 0.53 | +31.5% | +4.8% | +0.1% | +3.1% |
| 2018-05-01 | miss | 0.19 | 0.14 | -27.7% | +0.0% | +3.6% | +12.2% |
| 2018-02-06 | miss | 0.45 | 0.37 | -18.3% | -2.0% | -7.5% | -9.0% |
| 2017-10-30 | beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +4.3% | +0.9% | +2.2% | +0.6% |
| 2017-07-31 | miss | 0.17 | 0.04 | -76.7% | +0.1% | +2.4% | +2.3% |
| 2017-05-02 | miss | 0.27 | 0.15 | -46.1% | -1.6% | -3.8% | -3.7% |
| 2017-01-31 | beat | 0.09 | 0.16 | +90.2% | +5.1% | +11.9% | +11.5% |
| 2016-10-31 | miss | 0.33 | 0.20 | -41.2% | -3.0% | +0.0% | +2.4% |
| 2016-08-01 | beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +195.3% | +1.1% | -0.7% | +0.7% |
| 2016-05-02 | beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +21.4% | -4.1% | +1.5% | +0.0% |
| 2016-02-02 | miss | 0.20 | 0.17 | -15.7% | -1.2% | -12.5% | -18.4% |
| 2015-11-02 | miss | 0.32 | 0.20 | -38.4% | -1.8% | +2.3% | +3.2% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +6.6% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -6.2% |
| 2015-04-27 | beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +7.9% | -3.5% | +0.3% | -3.8% |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +18.9% | +0.0% | +1.4% | +5.7% |
| 2014-10-23 | miss | 0.41 | 0.34 | -18.5% | -6.6% | -6.5% | -2.7% |
| 2014-07-24 | beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +4.0% | -2.8% | -2.3% | -1.0% |
| 2014-04-24 | beat | 0.33 | 0.39 | +18.7% | -1.8% | -3.5% | -3.4% |
| 2014-01-27 | miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -5.2% | -5.7% | -4.2% | -6.6% |
| 2013-10-28 | beat | 0.64 | 0.91 | +42.3% | +0.0% | +4.5% | +4.7% |
| 2013-07-25 | beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +8.0% | -0.7% | -2.4% | +3.9% |
| 2013-04-25 | beat | 0.47 | 0.52 | +10.4% | -4.2% | -6.0% | -8.2% |
| 2013-01-28 | beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +10.6% | -8.9% | -5.8% | -1.0% |
| 2012-10-25 | miss | 0.47 | 0.45 | -3.4% | -3.2% | -4.0% | -1.1% |
| 2012-07-23 | beat | 0.53 | 0.63 | +18.4% | +0.0% | -6.9% | -3.6% |
| 2012-04-26 | beat | 0.42 | 0.51 | +23.7% | +0.9% | -1.9% | -9.5% |
| 2012-01-30 | beat | 0.22 | 0.25 | +11.8% | +2.0% | +0.2% | +2.8% |
| 2011-10-27 | beat | 0.57 | 0.59 | +3.5% | -7.9% | -8.4% | -8.1% |
Posted about OLN
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TRACKER - Lisa McClain · Congress
long
14.71
Tue, 13 Oct
Lisa McClain's trade date was 14 September 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $15,001–$50,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
Not investment advice.
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