OPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.5%
Next 1 week
-1.8%
Next 1 month
+4.2%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -3.2% median,
39% of the last 18 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 82
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.74%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.94 +4.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$1M/day volume
70% volatility
-52% 1-year
52-week range · 29% of the way up · -55% from the high
$4.54$21.09
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-11 (Wednesday, after close, in 8 days) · EPS est. 0.16.
1-day std dev
15.1%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+51.7%
Biggest drop
-34.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 53 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | beat | 0.11 | 0.16 | +42.9% | -3.1% | +24.7% | +13.1% |
| 2026-03-05 | beat | 0.22 | 0.51 | +127.4% | -8.4% | -10.5% | -15.0% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | 0.04 | 0.20 | +438.5% | -4.6% | -17.4% | -19.9% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | 0.02 | 0.24 | +1300.2% | +26.6% | +34.7% | +31.3% |
| 2025-05-12 | beat | -0.12 | 0.08 | +166.7% | +25.0% | +19.7% | +29.9% |
| 2025-03-12 | beat | 0.27 | 0.30 | +10.6% | +17.1% | +51.7% | +108.0% |
| 2024-11-13 | beat | 0.06 | 0.12 | +103.4% | -22.8% | -34.0% | -27.0% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -0.07 | 0.02 | +127.0% | -0.1% | -5.3% | -5.8% |
| 2024-05-14 | miss | -0.10 | -0.11 | -5.8% | +33.1% | +25.7% | +19.9% |
| 2024-04-15 | miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -2.4% | +6.8% | -3.5% | -13.4% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +150.0% | +29.2% | +15.3% | +4.4% |
| 2023-08-14 | beat | -0.02 | -0.01 | +53.3% | -30.3% | -27.8% | -37.5% |
| 2023-05-10 | miss | -0.08 | -0.09 | -12.5% | -2.3% | -5.5% | -15.5% |
| 2023-03-08 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +3.5% | -12.3% | -11.6% | -21.0% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | 0.04 | 0.07 | +88.5% | +8.8% | +22.4% | +46.6% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | 0.09 | 0.04 | -55.6% | -38.0% | -30.0% | -31.4% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +16.7% | +2.6% | -6.5% | -23.3% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +18.3% | +6.3% | +5.2% | -5.1% |
| 2021-11-09 | miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -31.8% | +2.8% | +0.0% | -14.7% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +38.9% | +9.6% | +17.3% | +9.8% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +275.0% | +0.1% | +9.2% | -7.3% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | 0.16 | 0.16 | +3.2% | +6.9% | -2.6% | -20.3% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +55.8% | +5.0% | +8.3% | -0.8% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | -0.03 | 0.02 | +166.7% | +5.9% | +10.5% | +16.1% |
| 2020-05-04 | miss | -0.03 | -0.06 | -100.0% | +5.6% | +12.2% | +7.0% |
| 2020-02-27 | miss | 0.01 | -0.03 | -700.0% | -1.8% | -16.7% | -24.8% |
| 2019-11-05 | miss | 0.08 | -0.05 | -164.5% | -24.4% | -13.8% | -20.0% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +16.1% | +5.9% | +8.4% | +10.5% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | 0.02 | 0.06 | +166.7% | +4.5% | +15.6% | +34.6% |
| 2019-02-26 | miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -18.2% | +9.5% | +3.6% | +6.3% |
| 2018-11-05 | beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +22.9% | +0.5% | -4.6% | -6.5% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +166.8% | +6.6% | +14.9% | +23.3% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | -0.03 | 0.03 | +204.9% | +1.0% | -1.9% | +9.7% |
| 2018-02-27 | beat | -0.03 | 0.02 | +157.0% | +4.2% | +9.7% | +3.5% |
| 2017-11-02 | miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -43.0% | -1.6% | +6.3% | +18.9% |
| 2016-08-08 | -0.03 | -0.03 | — | +2.6% | +0.9% | -4.4% | |
| 2016-05-09 | beat | -0.09 | -0.03 | +66.7% | +0.0% | +12.4% | +4.8% |
| 2016-03-15 | miss | 0.03 | -0.03 | -200.0% | +2.1% | +0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2015-11-12 | 0.03 | 0.03 | — | -2.3% | -3.8% | -3.8% | |
| 2015-08-11 | — | 0.03 | — | +5.6% | +2.2% | +5.6% | |
| 2015-05-14 | beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | +3.8% | +2.9% | +0.0% |
| 2015-03-31 | 0.03 | 0.03 | — | +2.3% | -0.8% | -5.3% | |
| 2014-11-13 | — | — | — | +3.3% | -5.4% | -4.3% | |
| 2014-08-15 | miss | 0.02 | — | -100.0% | +0.8% | +9.2% | +10.9% |
| 2014-03-31 | miss | 0.03 | — | -100.0% | -3.7% | +5.6% | +19.3% |
| 2013-11-14 | 0.03 | 0.03 | — | +1.1% | +8.8% | +34.1% | |
| 2013-08-12 | miss | 0.06 | 0.03 | -50.0% | -2.8% | -0.6% | -5.6% |
| 2013-03-12 | beat | -0.03 | 0.03 | +200.0% | +1.5% | +6.9% | +6.2% |
| 2012-11-14 | — | -0.03 | — | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | |
| 2012-08-14 | beat | -0.09 | -0.03 | +66.7% | +0.0% | +1.7% | +10.3% |
| 2012-05-15 | beat | -0.09 | -0.06 | +33.3% | +5.2% | -10.4% | +7.8% |
| 2012-03-30 | -0.09 | -0.09 | — | +0.0% | +0.0% | -2.2% | |
| 2011-11-14 | miss | -0.09 | -0.21 | -133.3% | -1.0% | -1.0% | +0.0% |
Not investment advice.
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