OPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+1.9%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): -10.0% median,
25% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 83
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.92 +2.3% · Seasonal tilt (8y) -0.4%
$3M/day volume
118% volatility
-65% 1-year
52-week range · 14% of the way up · -68% from the high
$0.48$2.25
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.18.
1-day std dev
9.8%
Finished up
51%
Biggest pop
+21.5%
Biggest drop
-29.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 37 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -0.15 | -0.67 | -351.8% | -5.6% | +2.7% | +6.6% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | -0.14 | -6.10 | -4259.3% | -8.7% | -14.5% | -36.3% |
| 2026-02-12 | miss | -0.01 | -0.15 | -2637.2% | +8.6% | +3.7% | -5.6% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | -0.13 | -0.13 | +3.0% | -4.7% | -3.7% | -15.8% |
| 2025-08-07 | miss | -0.02 | -0.21 | -1238.4% | -4.6% | -8.4% | -3.3% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | -0.08 | -0.16 | -110.8% | -4.0% | +4.5% | +6.8% |
| 2025-02-13 | miss | 0.04 | -0.12 | -392.6% | +10.7% | +0.7% | +1.8% |
| 2024-11-04 | miss | 0.04 | -0.07 | -285.7% | -5.4% | -2.3% | +7.7% |
| 2024-08-01 | miss | 0.07 | 0.03 | -55.4% | -15.8% | -10.0% | -22.0% |
| 2024-05-02 | miss | 0.01 | -0.05 | -833.1% | +2.5% | +1.0% | +3.4% |
| 2024-02-14 | miss | 0.07 | -0.26 | -465.9% | +2.8% | +0.9% | -15.3% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.04 | 0.15 | +250.2% | +11.7% | +6.6% | -17.9% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.09 | 0.18 | +93.2% | +8.4% | +16.8% | +10.3% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +12.3% | +0.0% | -11.8% | -15.0% |
| 2023-02-22 | miss | 0.21 | -0.43 | -307.7% | +5.8% | -3.7% | -9.2% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | 0.35 | 0.19 | -45.8% | -24.1% | -29.1% | -21.4% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | 0.31 | 0.23 | -25.3% | +9.1% | +21.5% | +18.8% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 0.31 | 0.43 | +37.3% | +1.9% | -6.7% | +2.7% |
| 2022-02-16 | beat | 0.50 | 0.56 | +11.5% | -16.6% | -17.8% | -19.7% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 0.51 | 0.58 | +14.4% | +8.0% | +9.9% | +5.9% |
| 2021-07-28 | miss | 0.47 | 0.43 | -7.9% | -4.7% | -8.4% | -14.0% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.31 | 0.58 | +88.6% | -0.4% | +3.6% | +3.2% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | 0.38 | 0.60 | +57.5% | -0.5% | -8.4% | -10.6% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.25 | 0.43 | +73.0% | -0.8% | +2.1% | +11.5% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +20.5% | +6.9% | +7.7% | +10.9% |
| 2020-04-30 | miss | 0.11 | — | -100.0% | +7.8% | -3.8% | -9.9% |
| 2020-02-12 | miss | 0.18 | — | -100.0% | -2.1% | -5.3% | -1.5% |
| 2019-11-05 | miss | 0.16 | 0.12 | -25.2% | -17.9% | -17.1% | -14.4% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -9.0% | +4.2% | +5.2% | +3.8% |
| 2019-05-02 | miss | 0.04 | -0.04 | -193.6% | +1.1% | +6.8% | +6.9% |
| 2019-02-21 | beat | 0.12 | 0.30 | +154.1% | +4.3% | +2.7% | +2.3% |
| 2018-11-05 | beat | — | 0.04 | +2802.7% | +7.5% | +7.2% | +6.6% |
| 2018-08-02 | miss | -0.08 | -0.13 | -53.7% | +0.1% | +4.2% | +4.6% |
| 2018-05-09 | miss | -0.14 | -0.17 | -18.6% | +1.9% | +7.9% | +25.1% |
| 2018-02-27 | miss | -0.03 | -0.07 | -133.3% | +0.1% | -1.5% | +11.3% |
| 2017-11-02 | miss | -0.08 | -0.25 | -213.1% | -6.5% | -7.8% | -10.6% |
| 2017-07-27 | miss | -0.10 | -0.65 | -579.3% | -0.4% | -3.9% | -4.1% |
Not investment advice.
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