ORC

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. $4.80 as of 2026-10-30
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +2.6% median, 75% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 6
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.34%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.60 +1.4% · Seasonal tilt +0.4%
$35M/day volume 24% volatility -35% 1-year
52-week range · 1% of the way up · -43% from the high
$4.75$8.40

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2027-01-28 (Thursday, after close, in 89 days) · EPS est. 0.26.

1-day std dev
3.4%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+5.1%
Biggest drop
-12.5%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 55 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-10-22 miss 0.29 0.27 -7.4% -1.8% +3.1% -2.0%
2026-07-23 beat 0.29 0.62 +112.4% +0.2% -1.1% -1.8%
2026-04-23 miss 0.33 -0.11 -133.0% +1.5% +3.1% +3.5%
2026-01-29 beat 0.19 0.20 +6.3% -1.2% -5.7% -8.0%
2025-10-23 beat 0.14 0.16 +12.5% +1.7% +2.7% -2.8%
2025-07-24 beat 0.14 0.16 +13.3% +0.0% +1.5% -3.7%
2025-04-24 beat 0.08 0.18 +125.0% +2.2% +5.1% +1.0%
2025-01-30 beat — 0.05 +1529.4% -1.4% +4.0% +3.1%
2024-10-24 beat -0.07 -0.05 +22.5% +1.0% +0.4% -4.6%
2024-07-25 miss -0.07 -0.09 -21.4% +0.4% -0.2% -2.8%
2024-04-25 miss -0.10 -0.12 -14.9% +1.7% +3.9% +1.9%
2024-02-01 beat -0.27 -0.13 +51.6% +0.2% +3.7% -0.4%
2023-10-26 miss -0.15 -0.28 -86.7% +1.0% -1.5% +12.4%
2023-07-27 miss 0.23 -0.34 -250.1% -1.6% -1.7% -7.9%
2023-04-27 miss 0.35 -0.24 -168.4% +0.2% +0.3% -8.0%
2023-03-03 miss 0.34 -0.09 -126.5% +0.4% +1.2% -10.5%
2022-10-27 miss 0.65 0.26 -60.0% -1.8% +0.3% +2.2%
2022-08-04 miss 0.70 0.63 -10.6% -2.2% -0.3% +3.5%
2022-04-28 beat 0.85 0.97 +14.7% -9.1% -3.1% +4.9%
2022-02-24 miss 1.15 1.13 -1.6% -3.3% -7.1% -12.9%
2021-10-28 miss 1.25 1.12 -10.0% +0.2% +0.2% +1.0%
2021-07-29 miss 1.35 1.21 -10.7% -0.8% -2.9% -3.1%
2021-04-29 miss 1.35 1.25 -7.0% +0.0% +0.9% +2.0%
2021-02-25 beat 1.30 1.49 +15.0% +0.4% +1.6% -2.0%
2020-10-29 beat 0.90 1.66 +84.3% +0.6% +1.4% +1.6%
2020-07-30 beat 0.80 1.51 +88.7% -0.4% +1.8% -0.6%
2020-04-30 beat 1.05 1.32 +25.4% -2.5% -1.5% -1.0%
2020-02-20 beat 1.00 1.17 +17.0% +2.0% +2.0% -12.7%
2019-10-24 miss 1.20 0.91 -24.5% -1.4% -2.4% -1.7%
2019-07-25 miss 1.20 1.06 -11.3% -0.1% +0.9% -9.3%
2019-04-25 miss 1.30 1.10 -15.4% +1.0% +1.3% -2.8%
2019-02-21 miss 1.65 1.40 -15.3% -4.3% -0.3% -4.1%
2018-10-25 miss 1.80 1.65 -8.3% -4.2% -4.8% -4.6%
2018-07-26 beat 1.75 1.81 +3.7% -1.7% -1.3% -2.4%
2018-04-26 beat 1.75 2.04 +16.7% -1.8% -3.4% -4.7%
2018-02-08 beat 2.10 2.44 +16.1% +1.2% -1.5% +5.8%
2017-10-26 beat 2.13 2.55 +20.0% +1.3% +4.1% -1.9%
2017-07-31 beat 2.15 3.08 +43.5% -1.4% +0.4% +0.4%
2017-04-27 beat 1.80 3.51 +94.7% -5.3% -3.0% -3.4%
2017-02-16 beat 2.10 3.09 +46.9% -7.6% -12.5% -21.9%
2016-10-31 beat 2.10 3.34 +58.8% +1.9% +2.2% +2.8%
2016-07-27 beat 2.25 3.14 +39.6% -1.4% +0.9% +1.3%
2016-04-27 beat 2.23 3.45 +54.5% -4.5% -10.0% -6.7%
2016-02-24 beat 2.25 3.37 +49.8% +0.0% +1.9% +5.6%
2015-10-29 beat 2.30 3.15 +37.0% -6.3% -5.4% -2.9%
2015-07-29 beat 3.00 3.26 +8.6% -3.6% +4.5% +2.1%
2015-04-27 miss 3.10 1.65 -46.8% -1.2% +0.3% -1.6%
2015-02-24 beat 2.70 2.94 +8.8% -0.3% +2.8% +3.2%
2014-10-27 miss 3.28 3.15 -3.8% -2.9% -1.2% -5.2%
2014-07-29 miss 2.75 2.64 -4.0% +0.0% -1.9% -2.5%
2014-05-01 miss 3.70 3.55 -4.0% +0.2% +0.8% +2.9%
2014-03-07 beat 2.68 3.17 +18.5% +0.6% -0.6% -1.4%
2013-11-04 miss 2.08 -1.50 -172.3% -0.2% -0.5% -1.8%
2013-08-01 miss 2.05 -2.30 -212.2% -0.1% +0.4% +1.5%
2013-05-01 beat 0.90 1.00 +11.1% +0.9% +0.0% -0.6%

Not investment advice.