ORModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
-2.3%
Next 1 month
+3.0%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +7.8% median,
50% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 1
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.86%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.29 +3.0% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.0%
$993085/day volume
79% volatility
-82% 1-year
52-week range · 0% of the way up · -89% from the high
$0.73$7.08
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. -0.17.
1-day std dev
26.4%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+102.3%
Biggest drop
-42.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 30 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -0.35 | -0.69 | -97.7% | -27.4% | -22.8% | -25.7% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | -0.29 | -0.34 | -18.0% | -19.4% | -6.3% | -4.7% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | 0.21 | 0.40 | +90.5% | +0.8% | -13.2% | -24.6% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | 0.07 | 0.18 | +153.6% | +31.4% | +44.7% | +56.8% |
| 2025-08-07 | miss | -0.01 | -0.06 | -491.0% | -10.2% | +0.8% | +4.6% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | -0.03 | -0.11 | -254.7% | -14.8% | -42.7% | -42.3% |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +231.2% | +32.2% | +102.3% | +67.9% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | 0.02 | 0.10 | +383.0% | +11.6% | +28.4% | +15.1% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | 0.02 | — | -90.0% | +6.9% | -2.7% | -2.3% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +63.7% | +10.1% | +32.9% | +20.2% |
| 2024-02-29 | miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -27.0% | -13.4% | -18.2% | -12.9% |
| 2023-11-09 | beat | 0.01 | 0.04 | +298.0% | +18.8% | +11.2% | +34.5% |
| 2023-08-09 | beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +15.0% | -29.8% | -18.9% | -23.9% |
| 2023-05-10 | — | -0.01 | — | +11.9% | +37.1% | +47.1% | |
| 2023-03-01 | beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +36.0% | -1.3% | +19.3% | +1.3% |
| 2022-11-09 | miss | 0.07 | 0.04 | -40.8% | -16.5% | -14.9% | -15.9% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | 0.08 | 0.07 | -12.5% | -13.6% | -20.0% | -26.1% |
| 2022-05-10 | miss | 0.06 | — | -100.0% | -0.5% | +6.3% | -1.3% |
| 2022-03-01 | beat | 0.10 | 0.40 | +326.1% | +12.4% | +21.4% | +18.4% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | 0.06 | 0.12 | +86.2% | -6.3% | -3.4% | -7.5% |
| 2021-08-09 | beat | 0.06 | 0.14 | +145.4% | +13.3% | +1.2% | -7.5% |
| 2021-05-10 | beat | -0.02 | 0.08 | +544.6% | -9.6% | -7.1% | -13.6% |
| 2021-03-16 | beat | 0.12 | 0.16 | +27.8% | +1.1% | +4.6% | +14.4% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | -0.07 | 0.19 | +371.4% | +7.0% | +4.6% | +4.3% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | -0.26 | -0.05 | +80.8% | +6.5% | +5.2% | +14.5% |
| 2020-05-11 | miss | -0.13 | -0.16 | -20.0% | +0.5% | -8.7% | -15.3% |
| 2020-03-09 | beat | -0.09 | -0.04 | +56.8% | +17.8% | -4.9% | +16.5% |
| 2019-11-12 | beat | -0.12 | -0.12 | +4.0% | -0.3% | +7.8% | -3.6% |
| 2019-08-09 | beat | -0.13 | -0.11 | +15.4% | +5.4% | +0.0% | +8.0% |
| 2019-05-10 | miss | -0.11 | -0.15 | -42.8% | +1.0% | -0.1% | -0.7% |
Not investment advice.
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