ORModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
-0.5%
Next 1 month
+3.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +2.5% median,
61% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 98
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.25%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.43 +3.4% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$75M/day volume
69% volatility
+251% 1-year
52-week range · 79% of the way up · -16% from the high
$25.23$115.52
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-11 (Wednesday, before open, in 9 days) · EPS est. -0.62.
1-day std dev
10.2%
Finished up
62%
Biggest pop
+25.0%
Biggest drop
-6.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 8 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | miss | -0.50 | -0.55 | -9.9% | -2.3% | +6.4% | +14.0% |
| 2026-05-13 | beat | -0.54 | -0.48 | +10.6% | +0.3% | +1.1% | -7.1% |
| 2026-03-12 | beat | -0.62 | -0.45 | +26.9% | +2.7% | +25.0% | +21.6% |
| 2025-11-12 | miss | -0.52 | -0.55 | -5.0% | +5.3% | -6.8% | -4.6% |
| 2025-08-11 | miss | -0.43 | -0.46 | -6.4% | +1.3% | +6.9% | +11.6% |
| 2025-05-14 | beat | -0.44 | -0.40 | +9.1% | +8.0% | -2.6% | +15.2% |
| 2025-03-06 | miss | -0.41 | -0.49 | -18.6% | -0.9% | +3.9% | +10.1% |
| 2024-11-13 | miss | -0.32 | -1.46 | -351.6% | -3.0% | -6.4% | -20.1% |
Not investment advice.
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