OTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+2.6%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -3.1% median,
44% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 11
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.46%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.09 +2.6% · Seasonal tilt (9y) -0.0%
$2M/day volume
152% volatility
-63% 1-year
52-week range · 13% of the way up · -82% from the high
$0.16$2.54
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-18 (Friday, before open, in 46 days) · EPS est. -0.07.
1-day std dev
12.7%
Finished up
46%
Biggest pop
+68.1%
Biggest drop
-15.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 41 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | miss | -0.07 | -0.09 | -20.0% | -5.1% | -15.0% | -27.2% |
| 2026-05-15 | miss | -0.12 | -0.17 | -43.3% | +0.9% | +0.4% | +75.4% |
| 2026-02-17 | miss | -0.17 | -0.22 | -26.9% | -3.9% | -13.9% | -16.1% |
| 2025-12-19 | miss | -0.25 | -0.29 | -17.2% | -1.0% | -2.9% | -4.3% |
| 2025-08-14 | miss | -0.39 | -0.44 | -12.8% | +2.9% | -3.7% | +10.3% |
| 2025-05-15 | beat | -0.55 | -0.34 | +39.2% | +1.5% | +4.5% | -4.5% |
| 2025-02-14 | beat | -0.62 | 0.72 | +216.8% | +2.2% | +1.6% | -17.4% |
| 2024-12-27 | miss | -0.82 | -0.94 | -14.3% | +6.5% | +18.2% | +39.4% |
| 2024-08-14 | beat | -0.84 | -0.83 | +1.7% | +2.8% | -5.3% | -6.2% |
| 2024-05-15 | miss | -1.07 | -1.55 | -43.8% | -3.9% | -1.3% | +1.3% |
| 2024-02-14 | beat | -1.07 | -0.78 | +27.1% | +7.1% | +15.5% | +4.5% |
| 2023-12-22 | beat | -1.20 | -0.94 | +22.0% | +1.7% | +5.4% | -1.4% |
| 2023-08-14 | miss | -0.87 | -1.38 | -59.5% | +1.9% | -1.3% | -19.4% |
| 2023-05-15 | beat | -1.20 | -0.52 | +56.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% | +26.7% |
| 2023-02-14 | miss | -1.30 | -1.59 | -22.6% | +0.8% | -2.5% | -2.1% |
| 2022-12-29 | beat | -1.40 | -1.29 | +8.0% | -1.0% | +5.9% | +4.0% |
| 2022-08-10 | miss | -1.33 | -1.56 | -16.7% | +0.0% | -6.5% | -2.4% |
| 2022-05-13 | miss | -1.20 | -1.77 | -47.3% | -1.2% | +0.0% | -1.9% |
| 2022-02-14 | miss | -1.20 | -1.41 | -17.7% | -0.8% | +5.3% | +6.0% |
| 2021-12-22 | miss | -1.27 | -1.60 | -26.3% | +0.7% | -0.7% | -2.2% |
| 2021-08-13 | -1.40 | -1.40 | — | -0.6% | -10.0% | -2.1% | |
| 2021-05-14 | -1.80 | -1.80 | — | -3.2% | +7.7% | +15.3% | |
| 2021-02-16 | miss | -1.65 | -2.20 | -33.3% | +2.4% | +8.7% | -16.2% |
| 2020-12-23 | beat | -1.88 | -0.51 | +72.7% | +0.0% | -1.9% | -23.4% |
| 2020-08-14 | miss | -1.90 | -2.20 | -15.8% | -0.7% | +4.5% | +3.7% |
| 2020-05-15 | miss | -2.45 | -2.60 | -6.1% | -0.9% | -4.0% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-14 | miss | -4.40 | -5.60 | -27.3% | +2.0% | +6.4% | -12.2% |
| 2019-12-19 | beat | -6.13 | 1.06 | +117.3% | +0.9% | -0.9% | -53.9% |
| 2019-08-14 | beat | -7.27 | -4.80 | +33.9% | -3.8% | -2.8% | -20.9% |
| 2019-05-15 | miss | -13.20 | -19.26 | -45.9% | +37.4% | +68.1% | +115.4% |
| 2019-02-14 | beat | -49.60 | -14.40 | +71.0% | +0.0% | +3.1% | -15.6% |
| 2018-08-14 | beat | -36.80 | -32.00 | +13.0% | -4.8% | +2.4% | -2.4% |
| 2018-05-15 | miss | -36.80 | -51.20 | -39.1% | -3.0% | +1.7% | -3.0% |
| 2018-02-14 | beat | -38.40 | -32.00 | +16.7% | +0.9% | +4.3% | +1.5% |
| 2017-12-29 | beat | -99.20 | -35.76 | +64.0% | +0.0% | -3.1% | -9.3% |
| 2017-08-14 | beat | -102.40 | -59.42 | +42.0% | +0.0% | -0.5% | -4.0% |
| 2017-05-15 | beat | -152.00 | -61.25 | +59.7% | +5.0% | -5.0% | -36.0% |
| 2017-02-14 | beat | -153.60 | -131.20 | +14.6% | -0.8% | +7.2% | -5.4% |
| 2016-12-29 | beat | -120.00 | -38.40 | +68.0% | +2.4% | +20.4% | +14.0% |
| 2016-08-15 | miss | -120.00 | -256.00 | -113.3% | +2.9% | -0.3% | +3.9% |
| 2016-06-27 | beat | -120.00 | -51.20 | +57.3% | +0.0% | -1.2% | -0.6% |
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google