OVModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+3.2%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -5.5% median,
38% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 80
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.47%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.40 +3.4% · Seasonal tilt (8y) -0.2%
$4M/day volume
75% volatility
+75% 1-year
-84% from ATH
52-week range · 71% of the way up · -18% from the high
$1.18$3.11
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-11 (Wednesday, before open, in 9 days) · EPS est. -0.08.
1-day std dev
11.8%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+56.9%
Biggest drop
-13.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 38 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | beat | -0.10 | -0.08 | +23.3% | +1.1% | +6.9% | +4.6% |
| 2026-05-12 | miss | -0.11 | -0.12 | -13.2% | -0.4% | +2.9% | -14.0% |
| 2026-03-18 | beat | -0.10 | 0.06 | +161.2% | +19.9% | +14.4% | +19.4% |
| 2025-11-12 | miss | -0.15 | -0.17 | -14.9% | -9.6% | -2.2% | -5.2% |
| 2025-08-13 | beat | -0.15 | -0.06 | +59.3% | +2.7% | +56.9% | +73.7% |
| 2025-05-13 | miss | -0.13 | -0.14 | -7.7% | +2.6% | -5.3% | -4.0% |
| 2025-03-11 | beat | -0.17 | -0.13 | +22.2% | +4.1% | +0.0% | -6.1% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | -0.23 | -0.20 | +11.9% | +1.5% | -8.8% | -24.3% |
| 2024-08-13 | beat | -0.24 | 0.12 | +150.1% | -0.6% | +3.9% | +33.7% |
| 2024-05-14 | beat | -0.23 | -0.17 | +26.6% | -0.7% | +7.0% | +3.0% |
| 2024-03-08 | miss | 0.25 | -0.22 | -187.3% | -1.6% | -2.8% | -14.2% |
| 2023-11-03 | beat | -0.19 | -0.16 | +14.2% | +1.7% | +1.1% | -7.9% |
| 2023-08-04 | beat | -0.21 | -0.18 | +13.6% | +0.9% | +5.4% | +9.0% |
| 2023-05-05 | miss | -0.17 | -0.19 | -11.0% | -3.8% | -0.5% | -0.8% |
| 2023-03-13 | beat | -0.18 | -0.16 | +12.2% | -4.0% | +0.5% | +14.5% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | -0.21 | -0.17 | +19.1% | +0.0% | +3.5% | +16.7% |
| 2022-08-09 | beat | -0.25 | -0.21 | +15.6% | -1.4% | -0.9% | +0.0% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | -0.21 | -0.20 | +2.5% | +0.4% | -1.4% | -23.4% |
| 2022-03-15 | miss | -0.16 | -0.17 | -6.6% | -2.2% | -2.2% | +0.9% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | -0.18 | -0.17 | +7.5% | -0.6% | -3.0% | -2.2% |
| 2021-08-16 | miss | -0.16 | -0.23 | -41.1% | -0.7% | -7.4% | -8.4% |
| 2021-05-13 | beat | 1.13 | 2.53 | +123.9% | +6.1% | +8.5% | +19.4% |
| 2021-03-15 | miss | -0.30 | -0.34 | -14.0% | -1.0% | +0.5% | +4.4% |
| 2020-11-12 | beat | -0.35 | -0.28 | +19.4% | +2.4% | +11.4% | +13.3% |
| 2020-08-10 | miss | -0.35 | -0.41 | -15.7% | +0.4% | -0.7% | +11.3% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | -0.32 | -0.37 | -15.6% | +2.4% | -4.3% | +11.7% |
| 2020-03-11 | beat | -0.39 | -0.35 | +11.2% | +0.0% | -13.0% | -34.1% |
| 2019-11-08 | miss | -0.36 | -0.43 | -19.5% | +0.0% | -1.9% | -0.4% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | -0.40 | -0.34 | +15.6% | +1.0% | -0.5% | -2.6% |
| 2019-05-07 | miss | -0.41 | -0.46 | -13.1% | -4.2% | -11.7% | -22.4% |
| 2019-03-07 | beat | -0.55 | -0.52 | +4.6% | +0.5% | -2.5% | -4.0% |
| 2018-11-08 | beat | -0.61 | -0.53 | +12.6% | +1.1% | -0.7% | -19.5% |
| 2018-08-09 | beat | -0.61 | -0.53 | +13.1% | +3.8% | +2.3% | +14.1% |
| 2018-05-08 | miss | -0.53 | -0.54 | -2.8% | +0.0% | +5.0% | -1.9% |
| 2018-03-29 | miss | -0.41 | -0.45 | -9.0% | -0.4% | -12.9% | +10.9% |
| 2017-11-09 | beat | -0.54 | -0.38 | +30.0% | -2.3% | +21.4% | +29.6% |
| 2017-08-10 | miss | -0.48 | -0.57 | -17.8% | +5.3% | +17.7% | +19.5% |
| 2017-06-13 | beat | -1.80 | -1.75 | +2.8% | +1.0% | -3.4% | -12.5% |
Not investment advice.
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