PAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.4%
Next 1 week
+4.1%
Next 1 month
+6.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +8.0% median,
67% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 99
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.84%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.31 +6.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.0%
$41M/day volume
95% volatility
+47% 1-year
52-week range · 77% of the way up · -16% from the high
$1.07$3.44
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. -0.13.
1-day std dev
14.1%
Finished up
38%
Biggest pop
+67.6%
Biggest drop
-24.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | -0.13 | -0.14 | -10.4% | +0.0% | -10.0% | -11.5% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.13 | -0.12 | +8.7% | -7.9% | -14.5% | -32.1% |
| 2026-02-12 | beat | -0.13 | -0.12 | +10.8% | +2.7% | -7.1% | -14.1% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | -0.14 | -0.12 | +15.1% | -5.7% | -7.3% | -15.1% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | -0.17 | -0.13 | +21.5% | +15.1% | +7.1% | +4.0% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | -0.19 | -0.15 | +20.5% | -0.8% | -6.7% | -14.2% |
| 2025-02-13 | miss | -0.17 | -0.20 | -15.5% | -3.4% | +25.0% | +10.1% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | -0.21 | -0.17 | +20.1% | -11.0% | -6.1% | -34.7% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | -0.22 | -0.20 | +10.5% | -11.1% | +9.2% | +10.5% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | -0.26 | -0.26 | +0.2% | +0.0% | +2.9% | +17.4% |
| 2024-02-15 | beat | -0.28 | -0.27 | +2.1% | -4.0% | -13.9% | -21.6% |
| 2023-10-30 | beat | -0.29 | -0.27 | +6.2% | -5.3% | -13.1% | -3.2% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | -0.31 | -0.26 | +17.3% | +1.8% | -8.0% | -4.9% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | -0.33 | -0.31 | +7.2% | -2.4% | +4.0% | +5.4% |
| 2023-02-16 | beat | -0.37 | -0.35 | +5.9% | -4.5% | -3.2% | -16.6% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | -0.33 | -0.32 | +3.0% | -4.0% | +7.2% | +33.0% |
| 2022-08-03 | -0.34 | -0.34 | — | -5.2% | +11.5% | +52.4% | |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | -0.32 | -0.37 | -16.5% | +3.2% | -11.9% | -31.6% |
| 2022-02-15 | miss | -0.29 | -0.30 | -4.7% | -9.1% | +4.4% | -3.3% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | -0.24 | -0.23 | +4.2% | +3.0% | +5.5% | -5.3% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | -0.21 | -0.21 | +2.3% | -2.8% | +6.4% | -1.2% |
| 2021-04-29 | miss | -0.31 | -0.45 | -42.9% | -10.0% | -10.8% | -25.7% |
| 2021-02-10 | miss | -0.12 | -0.12 | -3.2% | +11.1% | +11.4% | -6.3% |
| 2020-11-02 | miss | -0.13 | -0.14 | -7.7% | -11.2% | -4.1% | +10.6% |
| 2020-08-03 | beat | -0.18 | -0.15 | +18.2% | -4.3% | -0.5% | +14.3% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | -0.15 | -0.21 | -35.5% | +0.6% | +4.2% | +4.5% |
| 2020-02-06 | beat | -0.14 | -0.11 | +21.2% | +3.7% | -6.0% | -5.2% |
| 2019-11-07 | miss | -0.15 | -0.17 | -11.2% | -3.3% | -3.7% | -4.1% |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | -0.14 | -0.14 | +5.0% | +1.5% | +1.5% | +1.8% |
| 2019-05-03 | miss | -0.16 | -0.16 | -3.4% | -0.8% | -0.3% | -0.5% |
| 2019-02-11 | miss | -0.13 | -0.21 | -61.5% | -0.7% | -1.3% | +1.4% |
| 2018-11-01 | miss | -0.15 | -0.19 | -24.2% | +67.4% | +67.6% | +71.6% |
| 2018-08-02 | miss | -0.17 | -0.17 | -1.2% | -13.7% | -1.8% | +13.4% |
| 2018-05-02 | miss | -0.19 | -0.20 | -4.3% | -14.2% | -11.6% | -8.6% |
| 2018-02-01 | beat | -0.20 | -0.18 | +7.9% | -0.4% | -4.3% | -13.8% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | -0.19 | -0.19 | +1.2% | -20.3% | -24.8% | -27.5% |
| 2017-08-02 | miss | -0.24 | -0.26 | -8.3% | +1.6% | +14.4% | +28.1% |
| 2017-04-26 | miss | -0.23 | -0.26 | -11.0% | -17.2% | -21.6% | -24.9% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | -0.23 | -0.21 | +6.8% | -5.3% | -1.8% | +2.9% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | -0.20 | -0.19 | +5.9% | -10.6% | -19.7% | -6.0% |
| 2016-08-04 | beat | -0.22 | -0.21 | +6.5% | +16.1% | +14.6% | +6.7% |
| 2016-04-21 | beat | -0.24 | -0.23 | +5.7% | +6.8% | +19.2% | +7.3% |
| 2016-02-03 | beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +27.3% | -14.5% | -22.2% | -27.7% |
| 2015-10-22 | miss | -0.27 | -0.28 | -5.3% | +8.7% | +9.7% | -0.4% |
| 2015-08-05 | miss | -0.14 | -0.16 | -16.9% | -2.8% | -16.1% | -21.3% |
| 2015-05-05 | miss | -0.26 | -0.27 | -3.4% | +4.6% | +2.6% | +4.6% |
| 2015-02-03 | miss | -0.25 | -0.26 | -3.0% | -4.6% | -18.2% | -15.1% |
| 2014-10-23 | miss | -0.12 | -0.13 | -11.4% | +3.4% | +7.2% | +15.9% |
| 2014-07-24 | miss | -0.26 | -0.27 | -1.9% | -0.7% | -13.6% | -20.0% |
| 2014-04-30 | miss | -0.27 | -0.28 | -2.4% | +8.4% | +17.0% | -6.6% |
| 2014-02-04 | beat | -0.27 | -0.26 | +5.1% | -1.7% | -11.5% | -12.6% |
| 2013-10-22 | miss | -0.29 | -0.31 | -5.4% | -6.5% | -18.9% | -24.4% |
| 2013-08-01 | beat | -0.34 | -0.33 | +4.1% | +6.0% | +6.7% | +33.7% |
| 2013-04-23 | miss | -0.37 | -0.37 | -0.5% | +0.0% | -3.3% | +1.3% |
| 2013-02-05 | miss | -0.37 | -0.39 | -4.7% | -1.3% | -6.3% | -2.5% |
| 2012-10-25 | beat | -0.42 | -0.41 | +3.3% | -0.9% | +6.0% | +12.8% |
| 2012-07-26 | beat | -0.46 | -0.40 | +13.8% | -15.7% | -4.8% | -19.0% |
| 2012-05-01 | miss | -0.47 | -0.47 | -0.1% | +0.0% | -3.5% | -0.4% |
| 2012-02-07 | beat | -0.50 | -0.33 | +34.8% | -1.9% | -5.4% | -1.2% |
| 2011-10-27 | beat | -0.57 | -0.45 | +21.6% | -0.2% | -2.7% | -7.1% |
Not investment advice.
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