PAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
-0.3%
Next 1 month
+1.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +1.9% median,
59% of the last 29 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 43
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.55 +1.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$14.2B market cap (#846 US)
$138M/day volume
28% volatility
+32% 1-year
-7% from ATH
52-week range · 83% of the way up · -7% from the high
$140.12$227.00
Congressional trades in PAG Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Mar 3, 2016.
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-10 (Wednesday, before open, in 102 days) · EPS est. 3.22.
1-day std dev
3.9%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+11.2%
Biggest drop
-8.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | beat | 3.34 | 3.36 | +0.6% | +0.2% | -0.1% | — |
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 3.39 | 3.62 | +6.7% | +1.3% | +1.6% | -1.9% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | 2.88 | 3.05 | +5.7% | +3.8% | +6.3% | +5.1% |
| 2026-02-11 | miss | 3.09 | 2.85 | -7.9% | +0.0% | +5.4% | +0.8% |
| 2025-10-29 | miss | 3.40 | 3.23 | -5.0% | -5.0% | -1.4% | -3.2% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 3.56 | 3.78 | +6.1% | +0.4% | -0.7% | +6.0% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 3.28 | 3.39 | +3.4% | -0.6% | -1.2% | -1.6% |
| 2025-02-13 | beat | 3.30 | 3.54 | +7.3% | +3.5% | +6.8% | -0.6% |
| 2024-10-29 | miss | 3.41 | 3.39 | -0.7% | -3.0% | -1.7% | -0.5% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 3.39 | 3.61 | +6.6% | +0.2% | +5.6% | -3.3% |
| 2024-04-30 | miss | 3.33 | 3.21 | -3.7% | -3.1% | -1.6% | -1.4% |
| 2024-02-07 | miss | 3.65 | 3.45 | -5.4% | -1.2% | -1.0% | +0.5% |
| 2023-10-25 | miss | 3.97 | 3.92 | -1.4% | -1.7% | -0.8% | +2.9% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | 4.12 | 4.41 | +7.0% | -1.4% | -1.3% | +5.0% |
| 2023-04-26 | beat | 4.09 | 4.31 | +5.4% | +0.9% | -0.7% | -0.3% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 3.96 | 4.21 | +6.4% | +4.2% | +1.2% | +8.8% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | 4.35 | 4.61 | +6.0% | +2.1% | -0.1% | +6.1% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 4.48 | 4.93 | +10.0% | +2.3% | +1.5% | +8.2% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | 3.64 | 4.76 | +30.7% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +15.4% |
| 2022-02-09 | beat | 3.84 | 4.10 | +6.9% | +2.2% | +0.0% | -0.1% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 3.64 | 4.46 | +22.5% | +0.6% | -6.6% | -0.9% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 4.21 | 4.47 | +6.2% | +0.8% | +0.2% | +6.3% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 1.82 | 2.26 | +24.1% | -0.3% | +0.3% | +2.4% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | 2.11 | 2.49 | +18.0% | +0.8% | +0.5% | -3.0% |
| 2020-10-22 | beat | 1.63 | 2.87 | +76.1% | +0.6% | -1.8% | -7.6% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | 0.54 | 0.56 | +3.2% | +1.0% | +2.7% | -0.5% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | 0.68 | 0.64 | -5.4% | +1.4% | -2.3% | -6.1% |
| 2020-02-05 | beat | 1.20 | 1.25 | +4.0% | +4.9% | +9.7% | +10.5% |
| 2019-10-29 | miss | 1.42 | 1.42 | -0.2% | +0.1% | -2.7% | +4.7% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 1.55 | 1.58 | +1.9% | -4.2% | -3.7% | -4.2% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 1.22 | 1.32 | +8.0% | -2.8% | +0.2% | -1.2% |
| 2019-02-07 | miss | 1.17 | 1.11 | -4.9% | -0.9% | -7.9% | -9.2% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 1.36 | 1.40 | +3.3% | -1.9% | -0.3% | -1.4% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 1.44 | 1.58 | +9.9% | +3.2% | +4.3% | +5.5% |
| 2018-04-25 | beat | 1.13 | 1.26 | +11.6% | +2.0% | +4.1% | +4.3% |
| 2018-02-08 | beat | 1.00 | 1.01 | +1.2% | +1.6% | -1.0% | -1.5% |
| 2017-10-25 | beat | 1.08 | 1.10 | +1.7% | +3.0% | +4.3% | +3.0% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 1.21 | 1.23 | +1.9% | +2.2% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 2017-04-26 | beat | 0.96 | 0.97 | +0.6% | +0.9% | -2.3% | -6.2% |
| 2017-02-07 | beat | 0.88 | 0.91 | +3.5% | +2.0% | -1.3% | -2.5% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | 1.01 | 1.03 | +1.5% | +2.6% | +2.0% | +0.3% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 1.09 | 1.11 | +1.9% | +2.2% | +4.1% | +10.5% |
| 2016-04-26 | beat | 0.88 | 0.90 | +2.7% | +4.1% | +11.2% | +4.9% |
| 2016-02-11 | beat | 0.80 | 0.81 | +0.7% | +2.3% | +0.8% | +9.2% |
| 2015-10-29 | miss | 1.01 | 0.96 | -5.1% | -1.4% | -5.3% | -2.6% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | 0.99 | 1.05 | +5.8% | +1.6% | +4.8% | +8.1% |
| 2015-04-28 | beat | 0.82 | 0.85 | +3.7% | -0.1% | -4.7% | -6.0% |
| 2015-02-11 | miss | 0.80 | 0.79 | -0.8% | -5.6% | -7.1% | -7.3% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 0.84 | 0.85 | +0.6% | +1.1% | -1.4% | +4.8% |
| 2014-07-30 | beat | 0.86 | 0.89 | +3.3% | +0.6% | -1.4% | -3.0% |
| 2014-04-24 | beat | 0.71 | 0.73 | +3.0% | +2.0% | +4.4% | +8.4% |
| 2014-02-13 | beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +0.8% | +1.2% | +0.9% | +1.2% |
| 2013-10-29 | beat | 0.69 | 0.73 | +5.3% | +0.7% | -3.3% | +2.8% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | 0.64 | 0.71 | +10.8% | +1.0% | +3.3% | +7.0% |
| 2013-04-29 | beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +1.5% | +1.8% | +5.4% | +6.6% |
| 2013-02-06 | beat | 0.53 | 0.57 | +7.6% | +1.1% | -2.2% | -5.1% |
| 2012-11-02 | beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +4.9% | +0.8% | -8.5% | -16.2% |
| 2012-07-31 | beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +3.4% | +0.5% | +1.1% | +5.8% |
| 2012-04-25 | beat | 0.48 | 0.55 | +15.9% | +1.7% | +1.1% | +2.4% |
| 2012-02-15 | beat | 0.40 | 0.47 | +16.6% | -0.1% | -4.8% | -3.0% |
Not investment advice.
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