PAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+1.3%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -2.4% median,
36% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 69
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.71 +2.0% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.7%
$8M/day volume
54% volatility
-6% 1-year
-35% from ATH
52-week range · 33% of the way up · -35% from the high
$28.25$60.08
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.78.
1-day std dev
10.9%
Finished up
56%
Biggest pop
+22.0%
Biggest drop
-31.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 50 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | beat | 0.73 | 0.85 | +17.1% | +9.1% | +0.7% | +6.9% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +6.5% | -15.4% | -26.2% | -38.2% |
| 2026-02-04 | beat | 0.67 | 0.87 | +29.9% | +5.3% | +22.0% | +25.0% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.60 | 0.73 | +21.1% | +0.3% | +4.6% | +8.6% |
| 2025-08-27 | beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +9.3% | +17.7% | +19.4% | +22.5% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.52 | 0.63 | +21.1% | -0.4% | +14.7% | +22.9% |
| 2025-02-05 | beat | 0.45 | 0.54 | +19.2% | +6.8% | +9.9% | +12.6% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 0.25 | 0.35 | +41.4% | +4.3% | +1.8% | +7.8% |
| 2024-08-28 | beat | 0.33 | 0.41 | +23.1% | -5.6% | +3.2% | -6.5% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +6.7% | -0.9% | +3.0% | +4.7% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | 0.28 | 0.33 | +18.0% | +5.0% | +7.4% | +14.0% |
| 2023-11-08 | miss | 0.23 | 0.14 | -39.4% | -14.2% | -18.5% | -12.5% |
| 2023-08-30 | miss | 0.38 | 0.38 | -1.1% | -3.9% | -5.9% | -15.2% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | 0.34 | 0.29 | -15.3% | -3.9% | -8.3% | -9.6% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +12.2% | +2.8% | +0.0% | +2.4% |
| 2022-11-09 | miss | 0.27 | 0.21 | -20.9% | -3.9% | -3.1% | -12.6% |
| 2022-08-24 | miss | 0.38 | 0.36 | -5.9% | -1.5% | -5.6% | -12.0% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | 0.35 | 0.33 | -6.6% | -1.7% | -9.1% | -7.9% |
| 2022-02-09 | beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +12.9% | +5.8% | +7.0% | +12.6% |
| 2021-11-02 | miss | 0.29 | 0.25 | -14.8% | -0.6% | +4.1% | +4.9% |
| 2021-08-25 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +2.4% | +1.2% | -2.9% | +6.7% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +5.4% | +1.3% | +6.3% | +6.6% |
| 2021-02-03 | beat | 0.28 | 0.34 | +22.5% | -1.8% | +2.9% | +4.8% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +15.4% | +1.5% | +0.9% | +3.8% |
| 2020-08-26 | miss | 0.22 | 0.17 | -22.5% | -1.6% | +1.7% | -2.1% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +11.8% | -1.4% | -0.7% | -0.3% |
| 2020-02-03 | beat | 0.29 | 0.34 | +18.9% | +0.3% | +16.8% | +13.5% |
| 2019-11-04 | miss | 0.24 | 0.19 | -21.5% | -7.9% | -7.2% | -5.4% |
| 2019-08-27 | miss | 0.36 | 0.33 | -8.8% | -26.4% | -31.1% | -32.6% |
| 2019-05-06 | miss | 0.43 | 0.39 | -9.5% | -12.6% | -21.3% | -22.4% |
| 2019-02-06 | miss | 0.43 | 0.41 | -4.7% | -8.5% | -9.1% | -12.5% |
| 2018-11-06 | miss | 0.41 | 0.39 | -4.1% | -10.6% | -8.3% | -14.5% |
| 2018-08-27 | beat | 0.42 | 0.55 | +30.1% | -13.5% | -7.9% | -10.9% |
| 2018-05-07 | beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +8.8% | +0.8% | +5.1% | +2.4% |
| 2018-02-05 | miss | 0.38 | 0.35 | -8.0% | +12.4% | +12.9% | +8.9% |
| 2017-11-06 | beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +2.1% | +2.4% | -5.4% | -9.5% |
| 2017-08-30 | beat | 0.34 | 0.39 | +14.0% | +0.1% | -6.0% | -3.8% |
| 2017-05-08 | beat | 0.34 | 0.42 | +23.9% | +7.2% | +7.2% | +17.1% |
| 2017-02-06 | miss | 0.35 | 0.34 | -4.0% | +3.8% | +3.9% | +7.1% |
| 2016-11-09 | miss | 0.36 | 0.36 | -0.7% | -11.6% | +5.2% | +0.7% |
| 2016-08-29 | beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +7.3% | +5.5% | +11.8% | +23.4% |
| 2016-05-09 | miss | 0.41 | 0.38 | -8.1% | -4.8% | -11.7% | -14.2% |
| 2016-02-09 | miss | 0.40 | 0.39 | -3.3% | -10.4% | -17.7% | -16.3% |
| 2015-11-09 | beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +6.8% | +0.0% | -3.9% | -3.2% |
| 2015-09-09 | beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +14.4% | -0.9% | -2.2% | +7.3% |
| 2015-05-11 | beat | 0.36 | 0.41 | +15.3% | +0.5% | +7.9% | +7.8% |
| 2015-02-10 | beat | 0.35 | 0.35 | +0.2% | -3.6% | +5.9% | +22.5% |
| 2014-11-11 | beat | 0.35 | 0.51 | +45.8% | +6.0% | +7.0% | +9.2% |
| 2014-09-16 | miss | 0.39 | 0.22 | -43.5% | +0.8% | +8.7% | +7.5% |
| 2014-05-13 | miss | 0.41 | 0.36 | -12.6% | +2.4% | +0.4% | +3.1% |
Not investment advice.
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