PAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
-1.4%
Next 1 month
-1.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +5.6% median,
62% of the last 13 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 66
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.60 -1.5% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$65M/day volume
59% volatility
+86% 1-year
-16% from ATH
52-week range · 74% of the way up · -16% from the high
$34.37$90.74
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 3 days) · EPS est. 6.66.
1-day std dev
7.8%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+23.3%
Biggest drop
-16.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 47 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | 8.15 | 10.10 | +23.9% | +0.0% | -15.8% | -6.3% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | 0.99 | 0.78 | -21.0% | -16.1% | -10.0% | -12.5% |
| 2026-02-24 | miss | 1.28 | 1.17 | -8.5% | -10.5% | -6.1% | +21.1% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 1.96 | 5.95 | +202.9% | -1.5% | -7.2% | +1.3% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | 0.90 | 1.54 | +71.6% | +3.2% | -11.1% | -5.4% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | -0.79 | -0.94 | -18.3% | -5.1% | +10.6% | +30.3% |
| 2025-02-25 | beat | -0.97 | -0.79 | +18.9% | +4.3% | -9.7% | -19.6% |
| 2024-11-04 | beat | -0.12 | -0.10 | +18.9% | +4.6% | -4.5% | +5.9% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 0.17 | 0.49 | +188.2% | +7.2% | +1.7% | -3.0% |
| 2024-05-06 | miss | 0.90 | 0.69 | -23.6% | -4.0% | -1.8% | -6.5% |
| 2024-02-27 | beat | 1.06 | 1.08 | +1.7% | -5.9% | -8.9% | -13.0% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | 3.11 | 3.15 | +1.4% | -4.9% | +0.3% | +6.2% |
| 2023-08-07 | beat | 1.21 | 1.73 | +43.2% | +0.8% | +7.5% | +6.3% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 1.95 | 2.25 | +15.6% | -0.4% | -2.3% | -2.2% |
| 2023-02-22 | beat | 1.91 | 2.20 | +14.9% | +1.4% | +3.4% | +12.8% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | 2.01 | 2.88 | +43.0% | +1.1% | -1.0% | -2.9% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | 1.96 | 3.31 | +69.1% | +7.8% | +8.3% | +12.8% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | -0.32 | -0.53 | -64.3% | -7.1% | -11.7% | -11.6% |
| 2022-02-23 | miss | -0.15 | -0.22 | -48.2% | -6.5% | -4.9% | -19.0% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.61 | 0.76 | +23.6% | +8.4% | -2.1% | -1.7% |
| 2021-08-04 | miss | -0.71 | -0.81 | -14.1% | -2.2% | +2.9% | +11.3% |
| 2021-05-05 | miss | -1.45 | -1.55 | -7.0% | +0.8% | -10.1% | -21.4% |
| 2021-02-24 | miss | -1.28 | -1.41 | -10.0% | -3.9% | +1.4% | +4.8% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | -1.17 | -1.06 | +9.0% | +2.5% | +23.3% | +55.1% |
| 2020-08-09 | miss | -1.59 | -1.70 | -6.9% | +1.6% | +5.6% | +9.7% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | -0.53 | -0.57 | -7.5% | +4.9% | -1.8% | -14.4% |
| 2020-02-25 | beat | 0.52 | 1.02 | +97.7% | +2.8% | -3.5% | -11.6% |
| 2019-11-04 | beat | 0.07 | 0.13 | +80.6% | +0.0% | +5.5% | +7.0% |
| 2019-08-05 | miss | 0.47 | 0.45 | -5.1% | -2.0% | +0.5% | -1.7% |
| 2019-05-07 | 0.13 | 0.13 | — | +0.5% | +2.2% | +5.9% | |
| 2019-03-05 | beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +2.3% | +0.2% | +0.4% | +3.9% |
| 2018-11-06 | miss | 0.19 | 0.12 | -35.1% | -4.4% | -2.6% | -6.9% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +15.0% | +1.7% | +1.2% | -1.7% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +12.5% | -0.8% | -1.9% | -1.2% |
| 2018-03-05 | beat | 0.26 | 0.53 | +107.8% | +5.4% | +7.5% | +5.7% |
| 2017-11-06 | beat | 0.48 | 0.55 | +14.6% | -0.4% | -5.2% | -9.6% |
| 2017-08-07 | beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +4.3% | -1.5% | -4.0% | -0.8% |
| 2017-05-09 | beat | -0.03 | 0.43 | +1533.3% | +1.4% | +0.5% | -0.8% |
| 2017-02-28 | beat | 0.08 | 0.23 | +206.7% | +3.6% | +6.2% | +4.8% |
| 2016-11-02 | miss | -0.29 | -0.46 | -55.9% | -0.5% | +8.1% | +13.3% |
| 2016-08-08 | miss | -0.44 | -0.85 | -94.7% | -3.7% | -9.6% | -12.7% |
| 2016-05-04 | miss | 0.16 | -0.16 | -203.2% | -2.4% | -9.5% | -12.5% |
| 2016-02-29 | miss | 0.23 | -0.99 | -530.4% | -7.6% | -16.6% | -22.3% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | 0.12 | 0.64 | +433.3% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +7.6% |
| 2015-08-06 | beat | 0.27 | 0.31 | +14.8% | +1.1% | +11.8% | +14.5% |
| 2015-05-11 | miss | 0.57 | 0.31 | -45.6% | -2.9% | -7.7% | -1.1% |
| 2015-03-11 | beat | 0.47 | 0.84 | +78.7% | +1.1% | +7.1% | +16.1% |
Not investment advice.
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