PDModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
+1.2%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): -0.6% median,
33% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 80
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.13%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.58 +1.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$12M/day volume
31% volatility
+19% 1-year
-61% from ATH
52-week range · 86% of the way up · -5% from the high
$6.32$10.13
Congressional trades in PDM Full tracker →
3 members · 1 buys / 3 sells · $4K–$60K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-11 (Thursday, after close, in 103 days) · EPS est. -0.01.
1-day std dev
3.3%
Finished up
38%
Biggest pop
+5.4%
Biggest drop
-15.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | miss | -0.01 | -0.17 | -1471.2% | +0.8% | -3.9% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | -0.09 | -0.09 | — | +0.3% | +3.0% | +0.4% | |
| 2026-04-30 | miss | -0.03 | -0.10 | -212.0% | -1.6% | -0.4% | +1.4% |
| 2026-02-11 | miss | -0.05 | -0.35 | -601.7% | +4.0% | -7.8% | -5.9% |
| 2025-10-27 | miss | -0.05 | -0.11 | -138.7% | +0.5% | +0.8% | -5.4% |
| 2025-07-28 | miss | -0.04 | -0.14 | -221.4% | +1.2% | +4.4% | +3.2% |
| 2025-04-28 | miss | -0.07 | -0.08 | -19.5% | -8.8% | -15.4% | -4.3% |
| 2025-02-13 | miss | -0.03 | -0.24 | -683.3% | -0.4% | -8.2% | -11.4% |
| 2024-10-24 | miss | -0.05 | -0.09 | -77.3% | -3.1% | -5.1% | -9.2% |
| 2024-07-31 | miss | -0.05 | -0.08 | -65.0% | -0.8% | +0.6% | +0.7% |
| 2024-04-30 | miss | -0.09 | -0.22 | -137.3% | -0.7% | -2.2% | -0.7% |
| 2024-02-07 | miss | -0.02 | -0.23 | -984.4% | +1.4% | +5.4% | +7.8% |
| 2023-10-30 | miss | -0.04 | -0.14 | -259.0% | +2.9% | +2.2% | +16.9% |
| 2023-07-18 | miss | — | -0.02 | -773.4% | +0.6% | -1.5% | -7.9% |
| 2023-05-01 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +5.8% | -2.6% | -0.9% | +1.7% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 0.03 | 0.61 | +1861.4% | +4.7% | -2.4% | -1.5% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | 0.06 | 0.03 | -51.3% | -2.0% | -2.0% | +3.7% |
| 2022-07-27 | miss | 0.06 | 0.06 | -6.3% | +0.7% | +0.7% | -4.2% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | 0.07 | 0.49 | +617.1% | -0.3% | +2.1% | -2.3% |
| 2022-02-07 | miss | 0.08 | -0.26 | -433.2% | -2.4% | -4.8% | -3.9% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +12.3% | +1.0% | +1.8% | +3.7% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +77.9% | +0.6% | +1.2% | -2.2% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +37.6% | +0.8% | +0.9% | +0.3% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | 0.04 | 0.18 | +337.9% | +1.7% | +3.2% | +1.0% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +18.8% | +0.2% | -1.7% | +1.0% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | 0.07 | 1.52 | +2002.1% | -3.1% | -0.2% | +0.2% |
| 2020-04-29 | miss | 0.09 | 0.07 | -21.7% | -4.7% | -3.9% | -9.1% |
| 2020-02-04 | beat | 0.11 | 1.29 | +1107.5% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +1.0% |
| 2019-10-30 | miss | 0.09 | 0.07 | -25.8% | +1.0% | +4.5% | +1.8% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | 0.08 | 0.06 | -21.2% | -0.7% | -1.8% | -4.7% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.10 | 0.40 | +298.6% | +0.4% | -0.2% | -0.6% |
| 2019-02-05 | beat | 0.12 | 0.35 | +183.8% | +0.4% | +0.9% | +3.8% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.09 | 0.13 | +39.0% | +0.3% | -2.3% | +0.9% |
| 2018-08-01 | miss | 0.10 | 0.09 | -13.5% | -1.6% | -0.9% | +0.0% |
| 2018-05-01 | beat | 0.10 | 0.42 | +302.9% | +2.8% | +3.4% | +3.6% |
| 2018-02-07 | miss | 0.12 | -0.21 | -278.1% | +1.7% | -4.5% | +1.0% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 0.11 | 0.87 | +695.8% | +0.1% | +2.9% | +3.5% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 0.09 | 0.16 | +69.5% | -0.2% | -0.6% | -4.2% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.06 | 0.10 | +67.6% | +0.9% | -3.6% | -1.3% |
| 2017-02-08 | miss | 0.08 | 0.07 | -9.6% | -1.8% | +0.7% | +2.8% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | 0.07 | 0.07 | +6.1% | +0.0% | -2.7% | -4.8% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | 0.07 | 0.55 | +685.1% | +0.2% | -1.0% | -1.1% |
| 2016-05-02 | miss | 0.08 | 0.07 | -12.5% | +0.1% | -0.2% | +1.8% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | 0.13 | 0.86 | +561.5% | +1.1% | -1.0% | -5.9% |
| 2015-11-09 | beat | 0.07 | 0.11 | +64.2% | +2.2% | +0.9% | +0.9% |
| 2015-07-29 | miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -11.4% | -0.3% | -1.1% | -1.3% |
| 2015-04-29 | miss | 0.11 | 0.06 | -45.7% | -1.6% | -1.3% | +0.3% |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +30.8% | -0.4% | -4.5% | -3.2% |
| 2014-10-29 | miss | 0.06 | 0.06 | -1.3% | -0.1% | +0.9% | +2.6% |
| 2014-07-30 | beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +40.0% | -3.8% | -0.8% | -2.2% |
| 2014-04-30 | miss | 0.06 | 0.04 | -35.0% | -0.3% | +3.2% | +5.2% |
| 2014-02-06 | miss | 0.13 | 0.03 | -77.8% | +0.0% | -2.7% | +2.2% |
| 2013-10-31 | beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +21.2% | +0.2% | -1.6% | -6.1% |
| 2013-08-01 | miss | 0.10 | 0.09 | -8.9% | +0.1% | -1.3% | +0.1% |
| 2013-05-02 | beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +26.7% | -2.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2013-02-07 | beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +20.0% | -1.1% | -0.6% | +1.5% |
| 2012-10-31 | miss | 0.12 | 0.06 | -46.2% | +0.3% | +1.3% | -0.8% |
| 2012-08-01 | beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +32.0% | -0.8% | +1.5% | +1.6% |
| 2012-05-03 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +7.8% | -0.6% | -1.5% | -2.6% |
| 2012-02-09 | miss | 0.12 | 0.10 | -13.0% | +2.1% | -1.1% | -1.7% |
Not investment advice.
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