PEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
+0.0%
Next 1 month
+3.3%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -4.6% median,
30% of the last 33 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 52
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.30%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.05 +4.8% · Seasonal tilt -1.5%
$4M/day volume
64% volatility
-8% 1-year
-69% from ATH
52-week range · 34% of the way up · -40% from the high
$8.58$21.32
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 3 days) · EPS est. -0.21.
1-day std dev
7.4%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+16.2%
Biggest drop
-13.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 40 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | miss | -0.31 | -0.32 | -3.2% | +6.6% | -7.6% | -13.1% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | -0.24 | -0.40 | -66.7% | -15.2% | -8.9% | -25.0% |
| 2026-03-24 | miss | -0.09 | -0.15 | -66.7% | -9.7% | -10.4% | -11.3% |
| 2025-11-10 | beat | -0.12 | -0.10 | +16.7% | +5.3% | +16.2% | -5.3% |
| 2025-08-07 | -0.14 | -0.14 | — | +0.4% | +0.9% | +6.0% | |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | -0.14 | -0.19 | -35.7% | -2.5% | +7.3% | +8.1% |
| 2025-03-13 | miss | -0.12 | -0.22 | -83.3% | -1.1% | +1.0% | +4.1% |
| 2024-11-13 | miss | -0.10 | -0.56 | -460.0% | -3.9% | -6.9% | -1.7% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | -0.16 | -0.26 | -62.5% | -4.9% | -1.5% | +11.6% |
| 2024-05-09 | -0.25 | -0.25 | — | -1.2% | +4.1% | -2.0% | |
| 2024-03-13 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +33.3% | +1.4% | +6.8% | +24.0% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | 0.10 | 0.02 | -80.0% | -4.0% | -5.7% | -21.3% |
| 2023-08-03 | miss | 0.06 | 0.03 | -50.0% | +0.0% | +4.0% | +32.3% |
| 2023-05-10 | — | -0.30 | — | +4.0% | +13.8% | +31.9% | |
| 2016-11-18 | miss | 0.14 | -0.12 | -185.7% | +1.2% | +0.2% | -2.4% |
| 2015-11-04 | miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -30.8% | -0.7% | +4.2% | +1.5% |
| 2015-08-06 | beat | -0.01 | 0.05 | +585.0% | -4.8% | +1.9% | -1.3% |
| 2015-05-08 | miss | -0.09 | -0.16 | -77.8% | +3.8% | +7.6% | +7.0% |
| 2015-03-31 | miss | 0.16 | 0.08 | -50.0% | +0.5% | -8.9% | -17.6% |
| 2014-11-06 | beat | 0.03 | 0.20 | +566.7% | +0.2% | +0.0% | -6.5% |
| 2014-08-11 | miss | -0.01 | -0.17 | -1633.0% | -1.8% | -2.7% | -4.8% |
| 2014-05-08 | miss | -0.03 | -0.33 | -1000.0% | -1.6% | -3.7% | -6.6% |
| 2014-04-15 | miss | -0.01 | -0.29 | -2778.0% | -8.9% | -12.8% | -17.0% |
| 2013-12-12 | miss | 0.02 | -0.05 | -350.0% | -1.0% | -0.3% | +4.1% |
| 2013-08-07 | beat | -0.02 | 0.01 | +134.0% | +20.5% | +15.4% | +25.6% |
| 2013-05-10 | miss | -0.07 | -0.26 | -241.7% | -3.9% | -9.1% | -10.4% |
| 2013-03-22 | miss | 0.03 | -0.38 | -1618.0% | +0.0% | +3.8% | +2.5% |
| 2012-11-08 | miss | 0.05 | -0.03 | -165.0% | +1.2% | -3.5% | -8.1% |
| 2012-08-08 | miss | 0.15 | -0.10 | -166.7% | -0.9% | -7.5% | -7.5% |
| 2012-05-08 | — | -0.08 | — | -3.2% | -5.2% | -14.8% | |
| 2012-03-14 | beat | 0.10 | 0.49 | +386.5% | +3.0% | -3.0% | -4.2% |
| 2011-11-03 | beat | 0.15 | 0.40 | +171.2% | +10.9% | -1.4% | +2.0% |
| 2011-08-04 | beat | 0.10 | 0.25 | +156.4% | +2.6% | -2.6% | -14.7% |
| 2011-05-05 | miss | 0.11 | -0.05 | -145.4% | -2.2% | +2.2% | +1.5% |
| 2011-03-11 | beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +13.2% | +4.1% | +8.2% | +14.4% |
| 2010-11-04 | miss | 0.15 | -0.10 | -166.7% | -2.8% | -13.0% | -19.8% |
| 2010-08-05 | beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +20.0% | +2.2% | -1.6% | -9.2% |
| 2010-05-06 | miss | 0.10 | 0.05 | -50.0% | +0.0% | -9.9% | -7.2% |
| 2010-03-10 | beat | 0.15 | 0.30 | +100.0% | +4.2% | +8.3% | +10.2% |
| 2009-11-06 | beat | 0.13 | 0.25 | +100.0% | +7.0% | +1.7% | -4.8% |
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google