PFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +4.2% median,
88% of the last 24 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 38
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.56 +1.4% · Seasonal tilt +0.4%
$25.5B market cap (#571 US)
$145M/day volume
22% volatility
+35% 1-year
-8% from ATH
52-week range · 77% of the way up · -8% from the high
$80.00$121.18
Congressional trades in PFG Full tracker →
4 members · 4 buys / 3 sells · $7K–$105K disclosed · latest filing Jul 21, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-08 (Monday, after close, in 102 days) · EPS est. 2.43.
1-day std dev
3.6%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+7.5%
Biggest drop
-8.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | miss | 2.43 | 2.22 | -8.6% | -2.1% | +1.7% | — |
| 2026-07-27 | beat | 2.33 | 2.50 | +7.1% | -0.3% | +2.5% | +3.6% |
| 2026-04-23 | beat | 2.01 | 2.07 | +2.9% | +3.7% | +2.4% | +4.2% |
| 2026-02-09 | miss | 2.22 | 2.19 | -1.6% | -1.5% | -2.4% | -3.6% |
| 2025-10-27 | miss | 2.20 | 2.10 | -4.5% | +2.3% | +3.3% | +3.1% |
| 2025-07-28 | beat | 1.97 | 2.16 | +9.6% | +3.4% | -0.2% | -5.3% |
| 2025-04-24 | miss | 1.83 | 1.81 | -1.0% | -0.9% | -2.1% | +2.4% |
| 2025-02-06 | beat | 1.93 | 1.94 | +0.4% | +3.6% | +2.9% | +7.1% |
| 2024-10-24 | miss | 2.01 | 1.76 | -12.2% | -3.1% | -6.6% | -8.3% |
| 2024-07-25 | miss | 1.85 | 1.63 | -11.7% | -4.4% | -3.4% | -10.7% |
| 2024-04-24 | miss | 1.73 | 1.65 | -4.8% | -0.6% | -1.3% | -2.0% |
| 2024-02-12 | beat | 1.69 | 1.83 | +8.2% | +2.6% | +0.4% | +0.9% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 1.62 | 1.72 | +6.1% | +5.8% | -1.0% | +4.9% |
| 2023-07-27 | miss | 1.65 | 1.53 | -7.0% | -2.5% | -4.4% | -5.6% |
| 2023-04-27 | miss | 1.49 | 1.48 | -0.6% | -5.2% | +0.0% | -4.2% |
| 2023-01-30 | beat | 1.54 | 1.70 | +10.4% | -1.3% | -0.9% | -0.7% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 1.45 | 1.69 | +16.9% | +1.4% | +7.5% | +9.8% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | 1.39 | 1.65 | +18.3% | +3.4% | +7.1% | +14.8% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 1.56 | 1.63 | +4.4% | -1.1% | -3.5% | -0.5% |
| 2022-02-07 | beat | 1.65 | 1.85 | +12.3% | +2.1% | +4.3% | +1.1% |
| 2021-10-26 | beat | 1.59 | 1.69 | +6.1% | +0.0% | -4.4% | -0.5% |
| 2021-07-27 | beat | 1.52 | 1.70 | +12.2% | +0.7% | -0.1% | -1.2% |
| 2021-04-27 | beat | 1.34 | 1.53 | +14.4% | +1.1% | +1.3% | +4.4% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 1.43 | 1.48 | +3.5% | -3.4% | -6.2% | +0.1% |
| 2020-10-26 | miss | 1.40 | 0.85 | -39.3% | -3.2% | -6.3% | -0.5% |
| 2020-07-27 | beat | 1.30 | 1.46 | +12.5% | +5.1% | -2.9% | -3.3% |
| 2020-04-27 | miss | 1.16 | 1.15 | -1.1% | +8.2% | +6.1% | +10.0% |
| 2020-01-28 | beat | 1.39 | 1.41 | +1.5% | +3.8% | +1.2% | +4.3% |
| 2019-10-24 | miss | 1.45 | 1.23 | -15.3% | -7.7% | -5.0% | -5.0% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 1.40 | 1.52 | +8.9% | -0.3% | +1.0% | -8.0% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 1.31 | 1.43 | +9.5% | +0.8% | +2.9% | +3.2% |
| 2019-01-29 | miss | 1.29 | 1.11 | -14.1% | -5.1% | -3.0% | -1.7% |
| 2018-10-25 | miss | 1.69 | 1.67 | -1.1% | +0.0% | -7.0% | -3.8% |
| 2018-07-26 | miss | 1.37 | 1.35 | -1.5% | +1.9% | +4.1% | +0.6% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 1.35 | 1.40 | +3.7% | -2.1% | -1.3% | -6.7% |
| 2018-01-29 | miss | 1.36 | 1.19 | -12.5% | -6.0% | -8.1% | -13.4% |
| 2017-10-26 | miss | 1.30 | 1.28 | -1.2% | -0.9% | -0.1% | +0.2% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 1.22 | 1.31 | +7.3% | +0.7% | +1.1% | +0.6% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 1.19 | 1.27 | +6.7% | -1.2% | -0.1% | -1.3% |
| 2017-01-30 | beat | 1.15 | 1.27 | +10.8% | +0.9% | -1.1% | +3.4% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 1.12 | 1.15 | +2.8% | +0.0% | +3.2% | -0.8% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 1.05 | 1.15 | +9.1% | +0.6% | +4.3% | +5.5% |
| 2016-04-28 | miss | 0.99 | 0.97 | -2.2% | -0.9% | -0.4% | -1.6% |
| 2016-02-01 | miss | 1.05 | 1.02 | -3.1% | -9.1% | -7.6% | -5.2% |
| 2015-10-22 | beat | 1.05 | 1.06 | +0.6% | +0.3% | +1.5% | +0.8% |
| 2015-07-23 | beat | 1.04 | 1.09 | +4.7% | +1.6% | +3.8% | +5.8% |
| 2015-04-23 | beat | 1.05 | 1.09 | +4.0% | +1.0% | +0.6% | +0.7% |
| 2015-01-29 | beat | 1.04 | 1.09 | +4.7% | -2.5% | -2.4% | +3.3% |
| 2014-10-23 | beat | 1.06 | 1.19 | +12.5% | -0.9% | -0.5% | +3.5% |
| 2014-07-24 | beat | 1.01 | 1.08 | +6.8% | +0.2% | +0.0% | -5.0% |
| 2014-04-24 | beat | 0.92 | 1.06 | +15.3% | +4.1% | +3.3% | +4.2% |
| 2014-02-03 | beat | 0.93 | 0.96 | +2.7% | +0.7% | +1.3% | +4.8% |
| 2013-10-24 | beat | 0.87 | 0.90 | +3.0% | -0.2% | +0.2% | +1.6% |
| 2013-07-25 | beat | 0.82 | 0.91 | +11.1% | +3.8% | +6.3% | +9.7% |
| 2013-04-25 | beat | 0.74 | 0.79 | +6.6% | +0.1% | -0.1% | +2.6% |
| 2013-01-31 | beat | 0.74 | 0.82 | +10.2% | +1.3% | -1.6% | -0.4% |
| 2012-10-25 | miss | 0.52 | 0.45 | -13.9% | -1.0% | -2.1% | +0.0% |
| 2012-07-26 | miss | 0.73 | 0.72 | -1.9% | -3.2% | -2.5% | +1.9% |
| 2012-04-26 | miss | 0.73 | 0.70 | -4.7% | -7.8% | -5.1% | -10.6% |
| 2012-02-02 | miss | 0.75 | 0.71 | -5.0% | +0.6% | +0.1% | -4.6% |
Not investment advice.
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