PFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
+1.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +2.4% median,
79% of the last 14 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 81
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.69 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$6M/day volume
24% volatility
-24% 1-year
-54% from ATH
52-week range · 22% of the way up · -29% from the high
$6.15$9.75
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-23 (Monday, after close, in 21 days) · EPS est. 0.26.
1-day std dev
2.7%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+8.4%
Biggest drop
-9.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -2.7% | +2.2% | +1.2% | -1.1% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | 0.28 | 0.26 | -7.1% | +0.7% | -0.6% | -5.5% |
| 2026-02-09 | miss | 0.30 | 0.27 | -9.0% | -1.4% | -3.5% | -9.0% |
| 2025-11-24 | miss | 0.28 | 0.28 | -1.7% | +2.0% | -1.0% | +2.4% |
| 2025-08-11 | miss | 0.29 | 0.25 | -14.7% | -1.6% | -1.1% | -2.4% |
| 2025-05-12 | miss | 0.32 | 0.28 | -12.6% | -1.7% | -0.8% | +1.2% |
| 2025-02-10 | beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +6.8% | +0.5% | +3.1% | +2.1% |
| 2024-11-25 | miss | 0.32 | 0.24 | -24.2% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +0.1% |
| 2024-08-07 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -2.9% | -0.5% | +0.4% | +5.0% |
| 2024-05-08 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -3.7% | -0.1% | -1.0% | -2.8% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +5.4% | +1.3% | +1.3% | +1.0% |
| 2023-11-15 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +3.6% | -0.9% | +1.4% | +2.2% |
| 2023-08-09 | beat | 0.36 | 0.36 | +0.3% | -0.1% | -4.0% | -7.6% |
| 2023-05-10 | beat | 0.31 | 0.35 | +12.9% | +3.2% | +2.6% | +1.8% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +0.6% | +1.7% | +0.7% | +1.4% |
| 2022-11-16 | miss | 0.29 | 0.29 | -1.1% | -0.8% | -0.6% | +2.8% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +3.6% | -1.2% | -2.9% | -5.6% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +3.6% | +1.3% | -2.2% | -12.2% |
| 2022-02-09 | beat | 0.28 | 0.33 | +20.0% | +1.3% | +2.0% | -0.5% |
| 2021-11-17 | miss | 0.27 | 0.24 | -11.1% | -0.6% | -3.3% | -4.3% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.27 | 0.27 | +0.6% | +1.2% | +2.3% | +2.9% |
| 2021-05-05 | miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -3.0% | -0.8% | -0.2% | -3.5% |
| 2021-02-09 | miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -3.7% | -0.9% | +1.4% | -0.1% |
| 2020-11-18 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +4.7% | +1.9% | +8.4% | +13.9% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | 0.28 | 0.26 | -7.7% | -2.8% | -5.1% | +0.1% |
| 2020-05-11 | beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +4.7% | +2.6% | +7.8% | +13.6% |
| 2020-02-05 | beat | 0.29 | 0.29 | +1.2% | -2.2% | -0.2% | +3.2% |
| 2019-11-20 | 0.29 | 0.29 | — | +0.5% | -1.6% | +5.6% | |
| 2019-08-07 | 0.29 | 0.29 | — | -0.2% | +2.9% | +2.2% | |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +0.7% | -3.4% | -9.9% | -9.2% |
| 2019-02-06 | beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +2.9% | -0.4% | -0.5% | +0.6% |
| 2018-11-14 | beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +5.3% | +0.8% | -0.5% | +0.0% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +3.7% | +0.5% | +1.0% | -0.4% |
| 2018-05-10 | miss | 0.26 | 0.24 | -5.9% | +0.0% | +1.4% | +0.7% |
| 2018-02-08 | miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -2.3% | -1.0% | -6.8% | -0.9% |
| 2017-11-30 | beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.5% | -0.4% | -1.1% | +0.1% |
| 2017-08-08 | miss | 0.28 | 0.25 | -9.6% | -0.1% | +0.6% | -0.6% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -4.1% | +1.6% | +1.8% | +2.8% |
| 2017-02-09 | miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -3.5% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -2.8% |
| 2016-11-22 | beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +3.3% | -0.4% | -0.5% | +3.6% |
| 2016-08-09 | miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -1.9% | -0.1% | +1.1% | +0.9% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +3.9% | -0.7% | +0.9% | +2.9% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +6.5% | -0.6% | +0.9% | -1.8% |
| 2015-11-12 | beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +11.4% | -1.1% | -0.4% | -0.2% |
| 2015-08-06 | miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -7.7% | -0.7% | -1.0% | -5.2% |
| 2015-05-07 | miss | 0.32 | 0.30 | -6.2% | +0.3% | -1.0% | -1.5% |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +2.6% | +1.6% | +2.5% | +2.5% |
| 2014-11-13 | beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +9.1% | +0.8% | -0.6% | -0.5% |
| 2014-08-06 | beat | 0.29 | 0.29 | +1.4% | +0.5% | -0.4% | +1.1% |
| 2014-05-08 | miss | 0.29 | 0.25 | -13.8% | -0.3% | +0.7% | +1.3% |
| 2014-02-06 | miss | 0.28 | 0.22 | -21.4% | -0.4% | +0.4% | +2.5% |
| 2013-11-14 | miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -3.9% | +0.3% | +0.5% | +2.9% |
| 2013-08-08 | beat | 0.26 | 0.31 | +21.1% | +0.2% | -0.2% | -4.2% |
| 2013-05-09 | miss | 0.29 | 0.24 | -17.2% | -0.4% | +1.0% | -0.1% |
| 2013-02-07 | beat | 0.27 | 0.30 | +11.9% | +0.4% | +0.8% | +1.2% |
| 2012-11-14 | 0.27 | 0.27 | — | +0.0% | +2.5% | +3.0% | |
| 2012-08-09 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +3.9% | +0.6% | +1.2% | -1.2% |
| 2012-05-03 | miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -4.2% | -0.2% | +0.3% | +1.9% |
| 2012-02-09 | miss | 0.22 | 0.20 | -7.0% | +0.3% | +0.5% | +0.0% |
| 2011-11-17 | miss | 0.21 | 0.18 | -14.3% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +1.6% |
Not investment advice.
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