PJModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+2.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +5.1% median,
90% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 58
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.95 +2.4% · Seasonal tilt (10y) +0.0%
$65M/day volume
33% volatility
-11% 1-year
-24% from ATH
52-week range · 32% of the way up · -24% from the high
$127.73$195.62
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, before open, in 3 days) · EPS est. 1.35.
1-day std dev
5.4%
Finished up
60%
Biggest pop
+9.3%
Biggest drop
-8.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 40 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | beat | 1.57 | 1.97 | +25.6% | -1.0% | +2.6% | +1.4% |
| 2026-04-28 | beat | 1.53 | 1.54 | +0.7% | +2.5% | -1.7% | -2.5% |
| 2026-02-03 | beat | 2.40 | 2.55 | +6.4% | -2.2% | -7.7% | -7.3% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 1.40 | 1.85 | +32.1% | +4.4% | +0.6% | +3.7% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | 1.43 | 1.54 | +7.7% | +0.6% | -2.7% | -0.4% |
| 2025-04-29 | beat | 1.01 | 1.05 | +4.0% | -1.1% | +4.5% | +5.4% |
| 2025-02-04 | beat | 1.13 | 1.90 | +67.7% | +7.7% | +5.1% | +4.2% |
| 2024-10-29 | beat | 0.91 | 0.93 | +2.0% | -3.3% | -1.7% | +0.1% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 0.70 | 1.19 | +71.2% | +5.0% | +3.5% | -4.1% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 0.45 | 0.98 | +119.3% | +5.3% | +5.3% | +7.2% |
| 2024-02-06 | beat | 0.88 | 0.96 | +9.1% | +0.5% | -2.4% | -1.0% |
| 2023-10-31 | beat | 0.50 | 0.78 | +56.0% | +5.5% | +6.9% | +12.5% |
| 2023-07-25 | beat | 0.61 | 0.99 | +63.0% | +6.8% | +6.5% | +3.5% |
| 2023-05-02 | miss | 0.65 | 0.54 | -16.9% | -2.7% | -8.1% | -11.7% |
| 2023-02-07 | miss | 1.23 | 1.08 | -12.1% | -2.0% | -6.6% | -0.7% |
| 2022-10-25 | beat | 0.96 | 0.96 | +0.4% | -0.9% | -7.7% | +3.4% |
| 2022-07-26 | beat | 0.83 | 0.88 | +5.8% | +0.4% | +3.8% | +3.9% |
| 2022-04-26 | beat | 0.75 | 1.00 | +33.6% | +5.6% | +3.8% | +1.7% |
| 2022-02-01 | miss | 1.73 | 1.52 | -12.0% | -5.7% | -8.0% | -7.1% |
| 2021-10-26 | miss | 1.27 | 0.98 | -22.8% | -5.0% | -8.6% | -5.9% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 0.97 | 1.06 | +9.7% | +1.4% | +2.5% | +2.9% |
| 2021-04-27 | beat | 0.73 | 0.89 | +21.9% | +1.1% | +3.4% | -4.2% |
| 2021-02-02 | beat | 1.13 | 1.81 | +60.5% | +3.5% | +1.2% | -1.0% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | 0.78 | 1.36 | +74.9% | +3.9% | +5.0% | +0.3% |
| 2020-07-28 | beat | 0.68 | 1.00 | +47.1% | +0.8% | +3.3% | +2.9% |
| 2020-04-28 | beat | 0.45 | 0.71 | +56.6% | +3.5% | +7.1% | -1.1% |
| 2020-02-06 | beat | 0.91 | 1.02 | +12.5% | +1.4% | +5.0% | +6.2% |
| 2019-10-29 | beat | 0.54 | 0.60 | +11.6% | +1.4% | +9.0% | +8.6% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 0.33 | 0.51 | +53.4% | +4.9% | +8.5% | +6.5% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | 0.40 | 0.28 | -29.6% | +0.4% | -0.3% | +1.6% |
| 2019-02-07 | miss | 0.78 | 0.60 | -23.5% | -3.3% | -2.5% | -0.3% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +18.1% | +0.0% | +4.0% | +12.7% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 0.35 | 0.42 | +20.0% | +4.4% | +9.3% | +4.8% |
| 2018-05-02 | miss | 0.59 | 0.44 | -25.4% | -2.4% | -4.2% | -3.4% |
| 2018-02-07 | beat | 0.66 | 0.79 | +19.1% | +0.7% | +6.1% | +7.2% |
| 2017-10-31 | miss | 0.16 | 0.10 | -37.5% | +0.2% | -1.1% | -3.2% |
| 2017-08-02 | miss | 0.34 | 0.27 | -20.6% | -2.7% | -4.5% | -6.2% |
| 2017-05-02 | beat | 0.30 | 0.38 | +26.7% | +0.0% | +7.5% | +9.2% |
| 2017-02-09 | beat | 0.48 | 0.70 | +45.8% | +0.0% | +6.4% | +18.4% |
| 2016-02-11 | miss | 0.20 | -0.33 | -265.0% | -4.2% | -5.3% | +11.3% |
Not investment advice.
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