PKModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+2.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +2.3% median,
58% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 22
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.21 +2.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$9M/day volume
46% volatility
+35% 1-year
-66% from ATH
52-week range · 35% of the way up · -35% from the high
$18.25$39.86
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-12 (Tuesday, after close, in 73 days) · EPS est. 0.17.
1-day std dev
5.7%
Finished up
44%
Biggest pop
+16.9%
Biggest drop
-11.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 39 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | beat | 0.16 | 0.21 | +31.2% | -1.7% | -11.1% | -11.3% |
| 2026-07-20 | beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +21.4% | +12.2% | +7.3% | +5.2% |
| 2019-01-03 | beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +42.9% | +9.8% | +11.0% | +19.3% |
| 2018-10-04 | miss | 0.17 | 0.11 | -35.1% | -9.6% | -1.1% | -6.6% |
| 2018-06-22 | beat | 0.12 | 0.17 | +41.7% | +9.1% | +16.9% | +16.4% |
| 2018-05-07 | beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +25.0% | +0.6% | +4.3% | +11.2% |
| 2018-01-04 | miss | 0.13 | 0.06 | -53.9% | -0.8% | +3.3% | +10.4% |
| 2017-10-03 | miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -7.7% | -2.1% | +1.7% | -0.5% |
| 2017-06-28 | miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -7.7% | +0.5% | +0.6% | -3.1% |
| 2017-05-02 | miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -3.7% | +0.1% | +2.6% | +0.5% |
| 2017-01-05 | miss | 0.12 | 0.09 | -25.0% | -2.6% | -6.6% | -4.0% |
| 2016-10-06 | miss | 0.21 | 0.10 | -51.2% | -6.4% | -10.0% | -20.4% |
| 2016-06-29 | miss | 0.22 | 0.15 | -30.2% | +1.9% | -5.6% | -0.7% |
| 2016-05-03 | 0.24 | 0.24 | — | -0.6% | -6.8% | -5.1% | |
| 2016-01-07 | 0.21 | 0.21 | — | +2.9% | +2.3% | +0.2% | |
| 2015-10-07 | miss | 0.30 | 0.23 | -23.3% | -5.4% | -3.8% | -4.4% |
| 2015-06-23 | miss | 0.26 | 0.24 | -7.7% | -1.2% | -1.0% | -9.5% |
| 2015-04-29 | beat | 0.14 | 0.24 | +65.5% | +3.7% | +7.6% | +1.1% |
| 2015-01-08 | miss | 0.20 | 0.12 | -40.0% | -1.9% | -1.5% | -11.1% |
| 2014-10-02 | miss | 0.41 | 0.24 | -40.7% | -7.6% | +0.1% | -5.2% |
| 2014-07-01 | beat | 0.34 | 0.41 | +22.4% | +0.2% | +2.1% | +15.0% |
| 2014-05-16 | miss | 0.23 | 0.21 | -8.7% | -10.6% | -1.4% | -3.0% |
| 2014-01-10 | miss | 0.28 | 0.23 | -18.8% | -2.9% | +1.0% | +8.9% |
| 2013-09-30 | miss | 0.29 | 0.29 | -1.1% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -5.2% |
| 2013-06-26 | miss | 0.27 | 0.25 | -8.5% | +0.7% | -0.6% | +4.4% |
| 2013-05-09 | miss | 0.27 | 0.22 | -17.5% | -2.0% | -4.1% | -2.5% |
| 2012-12-19 | miss | 0.29 | 0.25 | -14.8% | -4.0% | -5.7% | -3.5% |
| 2012-09-21 | beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +3.7% | +1.8% | -0.6% | -7.8% |
| 2012-06-25 | miss | 0.24 | 0.24 | -1.2% | -2.3% | -2.1% | +8.1% |
| 2012-05-01 | miss | 0.31 | 0.19 | -39.4% | -3.8% | -9.7% | -12.3% |
| 2011-12-21 | miss | 0.32 | 0.26 | -17.9% | -1.8% | -3.2% | -2.1% |
| 2011-09-27 | miss | 0.37 | 0.32 | -14.3% | +2.4% | -0.4% | -1.9% |
| 2011-06-27 | miss | 0.41 | 0.35 | -15.3% | -4.3% | +1.9% | +6.2% |
| 2011-05-02 | beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +14.3% | -1.7% | +1.2% | -2.8% |
| 2010-12-22 | miss | 0.40 | 0.31 | -22.5% | -4.0% | -3.6% | -1.7% |
| 2010-09-23 | beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +2.2% | -0.7% | -5.1% | -2.1% |
| 2010-06-24 | beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +7.9% | -0.3% | -2.8% | -1.6% |
| 2010-04-28 | beat | 0.26 | 0.40 | +56.9% | +2.1% | +8.0% | +3.5% |
| 2009-12-22 | beat | 0.24 | 0.35 | +48.9% | +5.1% | +4.3% | +14.2% |
Not investment advice.
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