PLModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.9%
Next 1 week
+1.6%
Next 1 month
+4.8%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -2.9% median,
44% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 43
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.11 +4.9% · Seasonal tilt (9y) -0.1%
$19M/day volume
88% volatility
+213% 1-year
-10% from ATH
52-week range · 87% of the way up · -10% from the high
$12.56$58.90
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. -0.29.
1-day std dev
16.0%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+35.5%
Biggest drop
-28.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 24 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | -0.28 | -0.28 | +1.5% | -1.0% | +10.9% | +16.5% |
| 2026-05-04 | miss | -0.22 | -0.24 | -9.7% | -1.6% | -3.8% | -8.4% |
| 2026-02-19 | beat | -0.21 | -0.18 | +14.3% | -2.6% | -14.6% | -25.3% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | -0.31 | -0.29 | +6.5% | -8.1% | -3.3% | -13.1% |
| 2025-08-12 | miss | -0.26 | -0.28 | -7.7% | +1.3% | +11.2% | +5.6% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | -0.24 | -0.18 | +25.0% | -2.9% | -9.2% | -4.5% |
| 2023-08-10 | beat | -0.24 | -0.22 | +8.3% | +12.6% | +5.6% | +22.5% |
| 2023-05-11 | miss | -0.22 | -0.26 | -18.2% | +0.0% | +6.3% | -10.6% |
| 2023-03-30 | miss | -0.24 | -0.25 | -4.2% | +12.1% | +35.5% | +53.6% |
| 2022-11-10 | miss | -0.45 | -0.49 | -8.9% | +3.4% | -1.9% | -7.7% |
| 2022-08-10 | miss | -0.40 | -0.44 | -10.9% | +0.0% | +1.8% | -9.9% |
| 2022-05-11 | miss | -0.52 | -0.58 | -10.8% | -14.5% | -23.3% | +10.9% |
| 2022-03-31 | miss | -0.51 | -0.52 | -2.0% | -14.0% | -27.0% | -26.1% |
| 2021-11-15 | beat | -0.53 | -0.48 | +10.0% | +2.2% | -0.5% | -0.9% |
| 2021-08-09 | beat | -0.52 | -0.48 | +8.5% | +2.5% | +9.3% | -3.1% |
| 2021-05-10 | beat | -0.49 | -0.44 | +11.7% | -0.9% | +10.2% | +8.4% |
| 2021-02-22 | miss | -0.45 | -0.54 | -20.0% | -4.2% | -6.5% | -14.7% |
| 2020-11-09 | miss | -0.44 | -0.51 | -15.9% | +5.7% | +18.4% | +20.1% |
| 2020-08-10 | miss | -0.50 | -0.53 | -6.0% | +0.1% | -1.6% | -1.8% |
| 2020-05-11 | miss | -0.47 | -0.57 | -21.3% | +4.1% | +11.5% | -13.9% |
| 2020-03-16 | miss | -0.61 | -0.66 | -8.2% | +4.2% | +33.7% | +20.5% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | -0.61 | -0.57 | +6.6% | +1.0% | +0.6% | -1.5% |
| 2019-08-08 | miss | -0.51 | -0.55 | -7.8% | -0.3% | -6.8% | -5.1% |
| 2019-04-30 | miss | -0.44 | -0.49 | -11.4% | -6.9% | -28.8% | -19.9% |
Not investment advice.
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