PLModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
-2.5%
Next 1 month
+1.4%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -13.3% median,
26% of the last 27 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 55
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.72%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.06 +2.5% · Seasonal tilt -1.2%
$2M/day volume
54% volatility
+9% 1-year
52-week range · 61% of the way up · -19% from the high
$1.65$3.19
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, before open, in 10 days) · EPS est. -0.02.
1-day std dev
9.3%
Finished up
37%
Biggest pop
+14.5%
Biggest drop
-40.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | beat | -0.01 | 0.05 | +600.0% | +2.5% | +7.8% | -3.3% |
| 2026-05-13 | beat | -0.01 | 0.22 | +2300.0% | +3.1% | +1.0% | +5.2% |
| 2026-03-18 | miss | 0.01 | -0.07 | -1500.0% | -18.3% | -20.8% | -22.6% |
| 2025-11-13 | miss | 0.06 | 0.03 | -45.5% | -14.0% | -9.8% | -18.7% |
| 2025-08-14 | miss | 0.03 | — | -100.0% | -3.1% | -5.6% | -1.9% |
| 2025-05-09 | miss | 0.08 | -0.05 | -162.5% | -17.3% | -40.5% | -42.2% |
| 2025-03-17 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +28.6% | +5.8% | +9.4% | +16.1% |
| 2024-11-14 | miss | 0.06 | 0.03 | -50.0% | +1.6% | +13.7% | +33.9% |
| 2024-08-14 | miss | 0.02 | -0.03 | -250.0% | +0.0% | -10.6% | -6.7% |
| 2024-05-10 | miss | -0.02 | -0.06 | -200.0% | -16.8% | -12.0% | -8.8% |
| 2024-03-14 | miss | -0.02 | -0.07 | -180.0% | +1.3% | -9.9% | -13.2% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | -0.07 | -0.03 | +57.1% | -9.2% | -18.4% | -27.0% |
| 2023-08-07 | beat | -0.04 | 0.21 | +625.0% | +14.5% | +14.5% | +19.9% |
| 2023-02-27 | beat | -0.15 | -0.07 | +53.3% | -1.1% | +2.7% | +15.4% |
| 2022-11-14 | beat | -0.15 | -0.07 | +53.3% | +2.9% | +1.9% | +1.0% |
| 2022-08-15 | beat | -0.18 | -0.11 | +38.9% | -1.6% | +0.8% | -8.1% |
| 2022-05-16 | miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -25.0% | -0.9% | +0.9% | +3.8% |
| 2022-03-31 | miss | -0.11 | -0.14 | -27.3% | +0.0% | +1.0% | +34.3% |
| 2021-11-15 | beat | -0.12 | -0.09 | +25.0% | -3.5% | +0.9% | -16.7% |
| 2021-08-16 | miss | -0.10 | -0.25 | -150.0% | +2.2% | -1.5% | +0.0% |
| 2021-05-14 | beat | -0.17 | -0.14 | +17.6% | +2.1% | -4.5% | +1.4% |
| 2021-03-30 | beat | -0.04 | 0.03 | +175.0% | -1.9% | -4.0% | +9.4% |
| 2020-10-29 | miss | -0.08 | -0.14 | -75.0% | -2.8% | -5.6% | -11.3% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | -0.20 | -0.13 | +36.6% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +9.5% |
| 2020-06-01 | beat | -0.30 | 0.10 | +133.3% | +5.7% | +3.0% | +15.3% |
| 2020-03-12 | beat | -0.63 | 0.01 | +101.6% | +2.1% | -4.2% | -8.8% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | -0.35 | -0.20 | +42.9% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -13.0% |
| 2019-08-08 | miss | -0.30 | -0.50 | -66.7% | -27.0% | -37.8% | -32.4% |
| 2019-05-06 | miss | -0.25 | -0.50 | -100.0% | -2.3% | -4.5% | -9.1% |
| 2019-03-18 | beat | -0.45 | 0.70 | +255.6% | +2.0% | -2.0% | -16.3% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | -0.40 | -1.00 | -150.0% | -2.0% | -6.1% | -14.3% |
| 2018-08-09 | miss | -0.40 | -0.80 | -100.0% | -6.0% | +0.0% | -4.0% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | -0.90 | -0.60 | +33.3% | +2.5% | +0.0% | +5.0% |
| 2018-03-06 | miss | -0.60 | -1.10 | -83.3% | -2.9% | -2.9% | -5.9% |
| 2017-11-08 | miss | -0.45 | -0.90 | -100.0% | +0.0% | -2.7% | -8.2% |
| 2017-08-09 | miss | -0.35 | -1.08 | -209.4% | +4.6% | -4.6% | -13.8% |
| 2017-05-10 | beat | -0.90 | -0.70 | +22.2% | +4.3% | -3.3% | -9.8% |
| 2017-03-16 | miss | -1.10 | -1.27 | -15.6% | +0.8% | -6.2% | -10.9% |
| 2016-11-09 | beat | -1.00 | -0.70 | +30.0% | +2.4% | +7.3% | +26.8% |
| 2016-08-08 | miss | -0.90 | -1.10 | -22.2% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -1.6% |
| 2016-05-09 | miss | -0.75 | -0.90 | -20.0% | +0.0% | +1.2% | +0.0% |
| 2015-11-09 | beat | -0.80 | -0.40 | +50.0% | -2.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 2015-08-10 | beat | -0.80 | -0.50 | +37.5% | +2.5% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2015-05-07 | beat | -0.80 | -0.60 | +25.0% | +0.5% | +2.8% | +0.9% |
| 2015-03-12 | miss | -0.60 | -0.90 | -50.0% | -3.3% | -3.8% | -3.3% |
| 2014-11-10 | miss | -0.80 | -0.90 | -12.5% | -6.3% | -2.4% | +4.9% |
| 2014-08-07 | miss | -0.67 | -0.70 | -5.0% | -0.3% | +1.7% | -9.9% |
| 2014-05-08 | miss | -0.67 | -0.80 | -20.0% | +0.0% | +1.0% | +0.3% |
| 2014-03-13 | miss | -0.24 | -1.20 | -400.0% | -0.4% | -1.4% | -9.9% |
| 2013-11-07 | miss | -0.40 | -0.60 | -50.0% | +0.5% | +2.5% | +2.3% |
| 2013-08-08 | miss | -0.43 | -0.70 | -61.5% | +0.0% | -0.6% | -3.1% |
| 2013-05-09 | miss | -0.47 | -0.50 | -7.1% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -1.9% |
| 2013-02-28 | miss | -0.65 | -1.10 | -69.2% | -0.5% | -1.0% | +3.0% |
| 2012-11-07 | beat | -0.90 | -0.60 | +33.3% | -0.2% | -0.4% | +8.6% |
| 2012-08-03 | beat | 0.45 | 1.00 | +122.2% | +0.0% | +1.7% | -2.3% |
| 2012-05-09 | beat | -0.82 | -0.70 | +15.2% | -0.9% | +7.5% | -5.3% |
| 2012-02-27 | beat | -1.02 | -1.00 | +2.4% | +1.5% | -0.6% | +0.6% |
| 2011-11-07 | miss | -0.97 | -1.00 | -2.6% | +0.6% | +1.9% | +1.9% |
| 2011-08-08 | miss | -0.87 | -1.60 | -84.6% | -9.2% | -13.9% | -12.9% |
| 2011-05-04 | beat | -0.66 | -0.60 | +9.1% | -0.5% | +0.2% | -0.8% |
Not investment advice.
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