PMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+2.3%
Next 1 month
+3.2%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -9.2% median,
30% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 59
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.10%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.18 +3.4% · Seasonal tilt (10y) -0.2%
$4M/day volume
72% volatility
+62% 1-year
-61% from ATH
52-week range · 75% of the way up · -16% from the high
$10.81$31.25
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.83.
1-day std dev
18.1%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+41.3%
Biggest drop
-47.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 38 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | 0.46 | 0.43 | -6.0% | +5.6% | +7.6% | +27.6% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +3.2% | +0.0% | -6.8% | -7.7% |
| 2026-03-05 | beat | 0.69 | 1.48 | +115.8% | +16.0% | +41.3% | +24.2% |
| 2025-11-04 | miss | 0.62 | 0.45 | -28.1% | -15.9% | -20.8% | -20.4% |
| 2025-08-08 | miss | 0.69 | 0.29 | -57.9% | -32.0% | -28.8% | -16.2% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | 0.69 | 0.47 | -31.9% | -16.0% | -20.4% | -8.9% |
| 2025-03-04 | miss | 0.72 | 0.58 | -19.5% | +1.1% | -6.7% | -10.5% |
| 2024-11-05 | miss | 0.55 | 0.52 | -4.8% | +3.1% | +7.1% | +21.9% |
| 2024-08-05 | miss | 0.65 | 0.57 | -12.7% | -3.8% | -17.8% | -7.3% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | 0.55 | 0.47 | -14.2% | -1.1% | +12.8% | +18.4% |
| 2024-03-07 | miss | 0.32 | 0.22 | -32.0% | -2.7% | -13.7% | -7.2% |
| 2023-11-07 | miss | 0.50 | 0.33 | -33.3% | -10.4% | -10.3% | -3.8% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | 0.33 | 0.55 | +66.7% | +4.5% | +16.7% | -6.7% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 0.60 | 0.91 | +52.9% | +2.2% | -26.3% | -35.5% |
| 2023-03-08 | beat | 0.37 | 1.06 | +187.2% | +4.0% | +19.5% | +19.2% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 0.58 | 1.01 | +74.1% | +0.2% | +10.6% | +7.8% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | 0.37 | 0.52 | +40.5% | +0.0% | +5.6% | +9.2% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 0.24 | 0.58 | +143.2% | +6.5% | +17.7% | +47.7% |
| 2022-03-08 | miss | 0.35 | 0.06 | -82.9% | -8.1% | -7.1% | +4.9% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | -0.22 | 0.37 | +269.5% | +12.3% | +21.2% | +29.2% |
| 2020-03-09 | beat | -0.27 | -0.14 | +48.4% | +0.0% | +5.7% | -10.1% |
| 2019-11-06 | miss | 0.06 | -0.06 | -194.3% | +13.6% | -1.2% | -21.6% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | -0.04 | -0.13 | -188.9% | -2.0% | +6.6% | +4.5% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | -0.40 | -0.27 | +33.5% | +15.1% | +8.8% | +15.6% |
| 2019-03-06 | miss | -0.09 | -0.48 | -433.3% | -2.4% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | 0.03 | — | -100.0% | -5.0% | -1.0% | -3.5% |
| 2018-08-09 | beat | -0.25 | 0.10 | +139.2% | +1.4% | +23.2% | +14.2% |
| 2018-05-08 | miss | -0.23 | -0.47 | -101.4% | +0.4% | -8.2% | -3.3% |
| 2018-03-12 | beat | -0.08 | -0.03 | +64.0% | +11.5% | -0.3% | -3.5% |
| 2017-11-07 | miss | 0.24 | 0.10 | -57.6% | -9.6% | -4.4% | -15.9% |
| 2017-08-02 | miss | 0.16 | — | -100.0% | -30.7% | -36.6% | -52.5% |
| 2017-05-03 | miss | 0.13 | -0.25 | -292.3% | -3.2% | -16.7% | -12.7% |
| 2017-03-01 | beat | -0.16 | — | +100.0% | +10.2% | +6.8% | +0.0% |
| 2016-11-09 | miss | 0.71 | 0.55 | -22.2% | -20.8% | -26.7% | -24.8% |
| 2016-08-10 | miss | 0.27 | 0.25 | -7.9% | +1.9% | +10.3% | +16.5% |
| 2016-05-11 | miss | 0.68 | 0.65 | -3.7% | -40.7% | -47.7% | -53.1% |
| 2016-02-24 | beat | 0.76 | 0.80 | +5.7% | +0.3% | +5.5% | +5.9% |
| 2015-11-12 | miss | 1.27 | 1.22 | -4.6% | +1.6% | -4.6% | -17.9% |
Not investment advice.
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