POModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.5%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+4.3%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +0.1% median,
51% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 14
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.51%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.48 +5.8% · Seasonal tilt -1.5%
$120M/day volume
64% volatility
+22% 1-year
-53% from ATH
52-week range · 26% of the way up · -53% from the high
$92.59$328.00
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-17 (Tuesday, after close, in 14 days) · EPS est. 1.56.
1-day std dev
13.2%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+45.3%
Biggest drop
-18.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | miss | 1.47 | 1.42 | -3.4% | -12.7% | -3.8% | -5.2% |
| 2026-05-04 | miss | 1.36 | 1.25 | -8.3% | +3.1% | +9.2% | +14.1% |
| 2026-02-03 | beat | 0.97 | 1.13 | +16.6% | +2.8% | +16.3% | +30.7% |
| 2025-11-18 | beat | 1.26 | 1.41 | +11.6% | +6.4% | -11.3% | +0.0% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | 1.26 | 1.32 | +5.0% | -12.4% | -3.6% | +9.9% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | 1.15 | 1.27 | +10.7% | -1.8% | -8.0% | -2.8% |
| 2025-02-06 | beat | 0.87 | 0.95 | +9.6% | -6.0% | -6.5% | -12.8% |
| 2024-11-19 | beat | 1.18 | 1.26 | +6.2% | -14.0% | -16.2% | -16.0% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 0.72 | 1.26 | +75.5% | +26.8% | +37.8% | +16.9% |
| 2024-04-30 | beat | 0.59 | 0.92 | +54.9% | +28.0% | +18.9% | +10.6% |
| 2024-01-30 | beat | 0.28 | 0.66 | +135.7% | +22.9% | +45.3% | +61.9% |
| 2023-12-05 | beat | 0.40 | 0.65 | +61.8% | +2.4% | -6.0% | -0.7% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 0.22 | 0.51 | +130.3% | +20.7% | +39.6% | +29.4% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 0.07 | 0.23 | +233.3% | +15.8% | +21.7% | +29.7% |
| 2023-01-31 | beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +299.6% | +2.9% | +12.4% | +13.3% |
| 2022-12-05 | beat | 0.06 | 0.19 | +202.7% | +18.5% | +19.8% | +38.0% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +18.2% | +5.8% | +5.2% | +9.0% |
| 2022-05-03 | miss | -0.03 | -0.03 | -11.1% | +4.8% | +16.3% | +28.9% |
| 2022-02-08 | miss | -0.01 | -0.08 | -700.0% | -5.1% | -17.6% | -19.8% |
| 2021-12-07 | beat | -0.01 | 0.09 | +722.2% | +8.9% | +9.8% | +14.7% |
| 2021-08-03 | miss | — | -0.06 | -1796.7% | -1.6% | -4.3% | -5.6% |
| 2021-05-04 | miss | 0.04 | -0.01 | -117.4% | -4.9% | -0.3% | -2.4% |
| 2021-02-02 | miss | 0.07 | -0.01 | -114.0% | -2.3% | -2.9% | -1.7% |
| 2020-12-08 | miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -5.7% | -5.6% | +3.1% | +4.1% |
| 2020-08-04 | miss | 0.11 | 0.10 | -7.7% | -5.3% | -0.1% | -2.6% |
| 2020-05-05 | beat | 0.13 | 0.21 | +69.9% | +17.2% | +17.5% | +0.5% |
| 2020-02-04 | miss | 0.10 | 0.08 | -23.4% | -2.0% | -7.9% | -8.7% |
| 2019-12-04 | beat | 0.13 | 0.19 | +48.7% | +8.7% | +14.8% | +26.5% |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | 0.08 | 0.15 | +94.1% | +5.6% | +8.4% | +6.4% |
| 2019-05-07 | beat | -0.08 | 0.03 | +132.4% | +11.0% | +14.1% | +18.6% |
| 2019-02-05 | miss | -0.04 | -0.08 | -91.7% | -1.7% | +6.7% | +11.5% |
| 2018-12-11 | miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -10.4% | -7.3% | -6.3% | -9.2% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | -0.06 | 0.01 | +117.7% | +4.4% | +5.9% | +4.9% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | -0.12 | -0.10 | +17.1% | +5.4% | +13.7% | +11.5% |
| 2018-02-06 | miss | -0.07 | -0.16 | -141.0% | -4.2% | -0.4% | -7.1% |
| 2017-12-05 | miss | -0.08 | -0.14 | -64.7% | -8.7% | +0.1% | +1.3% |
| 2017-08-08 | miss | -0.04 | -0.09 | -110.0% | -5.2% | -2.7% | -11.7% |
| 2017-05-02 | beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +77.8% | +12.9% | -0.6% | +0.7% |
| 2017-02-07 | beat | -0.05 | -0.01 | +80.0% | +0.4% | -8.3% | -10.8% |
| 2016-12-06 | beat | 0.02 | 0.18 | +700.0% | -1.0% | -14.5% | -16.2% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 0.04 | 0.16 | +283.7% | +9.2% | +0.8% | +3.9% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | 0.10 | 0.23 | +140.0% | +10.8% | +6.9% | +11.0% |
| 2016-02-02 | miss | 0.14 | -0.01 | -109.9% | -9.1% | -9.0% | +4.9% |
| 2015-12-01 | beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +16.8% | -12.2% | -18.0% | -24.3% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +10.6% | +11.0% | -7.7% | -4.0% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | 0.03 | 0.06 | +97.7% | +4.9% | +7.5% | +10.3% |
| 2015-02-03 | miss | 0.10 | -0.01 | -107.0% | -7.5% | -13.0% | -18.6% |
| 2014-12-02 | beat | -0.03 | 0.07 | +350.1% | +1.3% | +8.8% | +11.1% |
| 2014-08-05 | miss | 0.29 | 0.08 | -72.8% | -4.3% | -5.3% | -5.5% |
| 2014-05-06 | miss | 0.23 | 0.19 | -17.6% | +2.1% | -0.8% | -3.2% |
| 2014-02-04 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +1.9% | -0.9% | -1.1% | +8.6% |
| 2013-12-03 | beat | 0.20 | 0.29 | +45.8% | +0.8% | +1.3% | -0.8% |
| 2013-08-06 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +2.9% | +0.2% | +2.9% | +5.5% |
| 2013-05-07 | beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +20.0% | -3.4% | -3.2% | +5.2% |
| 2013-02-05 | beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +6.0% | +0.3% | +14.9% | +26.1% |
| 2012-12-04 | beat | 0.22 | 0.33 | +51.8% | +4.7% | -1.5% | -1.6% |
| 2012-08-07 | beat | 0.15 | 0.34 | +133.2% | +12.8% | +5.9% | +1.8% |
| 2012-05-08 | beat | 0.07 | 0.21 | +197.2% | +3.3% | +4.5% | +8.5% |
| 2012-02-07 | miss | 0.06 | -0.05 | -177.3% | -11.4% | -10.8% | -12.7% |
| 2011-12-06 | miss | -0.10 | -0.20 | -92.4% | +4.5% | +17.7% | +1.2% |
Not investment advice.
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