PRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
-0.7%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -0.9% median,
46% of the last 13 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 14
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.13%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.94 +2.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$5M/day volume
48% volatility
-21% 1-year
52-week range · 14% of the way up · -30% from the high
$7.73$11.80
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. -0.30.
1-day std dev
4.8%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+12.0%
Biggest drop
-8.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 53 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | -0.38 | -0.31 | +18.4% | -0.5% | +2.1% | +3.3% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.30 | 0.68 | +324.0% | +4.6% | +2.0% | -7.2% |
| 2026-02-19 | beat | -0.46 | -0.46 | +0.7% | +3.9% | -0.1% | -4.0% |
| 2025-11-06 | miss | -0.54 | -0.67 | -24.6% | +4.1% | +4.8% | -1.5% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | -1.79 | -1.73 | +3.3% | +1.3% | +1.3% | +8.6% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | -1.03 | -1.12 | -8.6% | -1.1% | +4.6% | +1.1% |
| 2025-02-20 | miss | -1.04 | -1.08 | -3.7% | +4.3% | +2.0% | +3.7% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | -1.18 | -1.10 | +6.6% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -17.1% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -1.03 | 1.22 | +217.9% | +10.0% | +4.4% | +5.5% |
| 2024-05-08 | miss | -1.22 | -1.34 | -10.0% | -3.0% | -4.5% | +1.6% |
| 2024-02-15 | miss | -1.19 | -1.26 | -5.8% | -0.2% | -1.8% | -1.2% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | -0.34 | 0.38 | +210.6% | +10.0% | +7.4% | -4.7% |
| 2023-08-03 | miss | -0.97 | -1.03 | -5.7% | +5.4% | -7.3% | -6.6% |
| 2023-05-04 | miss | -0.84 | -0.89 | -5.7% | -0.4% | +12.0% | +3.8% |
| 2023-02-23 | beat | -0.47 | 0.12 | +125.8% | +5.9% | +7.1% | +6.1% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | -0.62 | -0.97 | -56.7% | -6.0% | -5.4% | -1.4% |
| 2022-08-08 | miss | -0.53 | -0.88 | -66.8% | +0.5% | -8.3% | -2.7% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | -0.64 | -0.78 | -22.3% | -5.9% | +2.7% | -9.4% |
| 2022-02-17 | miss | -0.44 | -0.71 | -62.8% | -4.3% | -4.0% | -1.3% |
| 2021-11-04 | miss | 2.24 | 2.13 | -4.7% | -2.1% | +4.4% | +1.3% |
| 2021-08-05 | miss | 1.17 | 0.58 | -50.2% | -0.3% | +2.6% | +4.5% |
| 2021-05-11 | miss | -0.49 | -0.91 | -85.7% | -0.1% | -4.9% | +4.4% |
| 2021-02-11 | miss | -0.74 | -0.77 | -3.4% | +0.6% | -0.2% | +47.8% |
| 2020-11-04 | miss | -0.65 | -0.77 | -19.2% | +0.7% | -1.5% | -11.3% |
| 2020-08-06 | miss | -0.59 | -0.66 | -11.2% | -2.2% | -1.5% | -4.6% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | -0.56 | -0.59 | -5.4% | -18.7% | -6.0% | -6.8% |
| 2020-02-12 | beat | -0.55 | -0.54 | +1.8% | +3.6% | -4.4% | -12.1% |
| 2019-11-05 | miss | -0.46 | -0.49 | -5.4% | -4.8% | -4.2% | +8.7% |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | -0.58 | -0.40 | +31.0% | -4.3% | -2.4% | -11.6% |
| 2019-05-07 | beat | -0.59 | -0.52 | +11.0% | +1.7% | +4.8% | -5.8% |
| 2019-02-14 | beat | -0.89 | -0.60 | +32.0% | +1.7% | +3.1% | +5.8% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | -0.82 | -0.70 | +14.9% | +4.8% | +1.6% | -13.8% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | -1.24 | -1.00 | +20.0% | -4.6% | -0.9% | -0.5% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | -1.34 | -1.26 | +6.3% | -10.5% | -4.8% | +15.3% |
| 2018-02-14 | beat | -1.48 | -1.24 | +16.1% | +6.6% | +3.7% | +11.8% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | -1.46 | -1.37 | +6.1% | -6.5% | -7.8% | -9.6% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | -0.81 | -0.46 | +43.0% | +4.2% | -4.4% | -6.5% |
| 2017-05-09 | beat | -1.36 | -0.99 | +27.1% | +1.3% | +7.3% | +6.8% |
| 2017-02-14 | miss | -1.21 | -1.41 | -16.5% | -5.9% | +1.6% | +4.5% |
| 2016-11-01 | miss | -1.18 | -1.26 | -6.8% | -1.6% | -5.8% | +17.0% |
| 2016-08-02 | miss | -0.91 | -1.18 | -29.1% | -1.1% | +4.8% | -1.1% |
| 2016-05-03 | miss | -0.77 | -0.81 | -5.7% | -2.0% | -7.1% | -4.9% |
| 2016-02-18 | beat | -0.81 | -0.76 | +6.7% | -6.4% | +8.9% | +9.0% |
| 2015-11-02 | miss | -0.65 | -0.73 | -12.0% | -1.7% | +3.8% | +7.0% |
| 2015-08-04 | miss | -0.57 | -0.59 | -4.3% | -2.9% | -2.1% | -8.3% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | -0.62 | -0.55 | +11.2% | +1.8% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| 2015-03-05 | beat | -0.65 | -0.48 | +26.1% | +5.7% | -1.7% | +7.9% |
| 2014-11-03 | beat | -0.62 | -0.48 | +22.7% | +0.0% | -7.1% | +7.0% |
| 2014-08-04 | beat | -0.13 | 0.06 | +145.6% | -0.6% | +3.1% | +11.4% |
| 2014-05-05 | beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +2.2% | +0.5% | -0.2% | -2.9% |
| 2014-03-06 | miss | -0.42 | -0.52 | -22.8% | -0.2% | +0.3% | +3.5% |
| 2013-11-12 | beat | -0.66 | -0.55 | +17.0% | -0.7% | +6.0% | +2.5% |
| 2013-08-12 | miss | -0.54 | -0.64 | -18.5% | +0.7% | -1.6% | +6.1% |
Not investment advice.
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