PTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -1.0% median,
44% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 16
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.12%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.86 +2.0% · Seasonal tilt (9y) -0.2%
$97M/day volume
40% volatility
+79% 1-year
-13% from ATH
52-week range · 75% of the way up · -13% from the high
$75.44$160.81
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. 2.66.
1-day std dev
14.4%
Finished up
59%
Biggest pop
+83.7%
Biggest drop
-22.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 41 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 1.94 | 2.29 | +18.3% | +5.6% | +6.5% | +10.3% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | -0.65 | 0.05 | +107.6% | +3.8% | +4.8% | +4.7% |
| 2026-02-25 | miss | -0.54 | -0.69 | -27.4% | +0.5% | +1.5% | +4.9% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | -0.64 | -0.62 | +3.6% | +0.4% | -0.3% | +6.1% |
| 2025-08-06 | miss | -0.52 | -0.55 | -4.8% | +0.5% | -5.4% | +2.1% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | 0.11 | -0.19 | -272.7% | -0.6% | +2.6% | +4.2% |
| 2025-02-21 | beat | 0.25 | 1.98 | +692.0% | +2.9% | +0.7% | -2.3% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | -0.53 | -0.54 | -1.9% | +2.6% | -2.9% | -13.7% |
| 2024-08-06 | miss | -0.41 | -0.50 | -21.1% | -1.1% | +1.2% | +12.6% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 1.60 | 3.26 | +103.8% | +5.0% | +5.1% | +22.0% |
| 2024-02-27 | beat | -0.18 | 0.44 | +344.3% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +5.7% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | -0.70 | -0.58 | +17.3% | +2.3% | +8.0% | +0.5% |
| 2023-08-03 | miss | -0.66 | -0.68 | -3.7% | -0.2% | +3.3% | +1.8% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | -0.70 | -0.67 | +4.3% | +4.8% | +5.1% | +7.5% |
| 2023-03-15 | miss | -0.61 | -0.69 | -13.0% | -0.2% | -3.7% | -12.6% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | -0.85 | -0.64 | +24.4% | +1.8% | -0.4% | +3.5% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | -0.98 | -0.84 | +14.3% | -2.2% | -2.1% | -2.6% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | -0.60 | -0.43 | +27.9% | +3.9% | -0.2% | -15.1% |
| 2022-02-28 | miss | -0.76 | -0.77 | -1.2% | +0.0% | +8.1% | -1.1% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | -0.66 | -0.70 | -5.7% | -0.2% | +2.8% | +10.1% |
| 2021-08-04 | miss | -0.53 | -0.69 | -30.2% | -0.4% | -1.6% | -0.8% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | -0.56 | -0.54 | +4.4% | +0.0% | -0.9% | -0.2% |
| 2021-03-10 | miss | -0.47 | -0.48 | -1.5% | +3.7% | +4.1% | -1.4% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | -0.56 | -0.21 | +62.5% | +3.7% | +8.6% | +6.9% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.58 | -0.57 | +1.8% | +0.3% | +9.2% | -4.6% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | -0.68 | -0.72 | -6.4% | +27.3% | +83.7% | +109.6% |
| 2020-03-10 | beat | -0.70 | -0.63 | +10.0% | -3.9% | -6.2% | -29.2% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | -0.73 | -0.61 | +16.1% | +3.4% | -14.4% | -6.9% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | -0.27 | -1.18 | -331.7% | -7.1% | +2.2% | +2.1% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | -0.63 | -0.58 | +8.4% | +11.5% | +6.2% | +20.3% |
| 2019-03-12 | miss | -0.47 | -0.57 | -20.2% | -4.9% | -1.5% | +37.5% |
| 2018-11-06 | miss | -0.33 | -0.38 | -15.2% | -1.8% | +4.1% | -6.4% |
| 2018-08-07 | miss | -0.29 | -0.41 | -43.0% | -7.9% | -0.6% | -21.9% |
| 2018-05-09 | miss | -0.24 | -0.36 | -50.0% | -3.6% | -22.4% | -28.7% |
| 2018-03-07 | beat | -0.37 | -0.15 | +59.5% | -0.2% | -3.2% | -1.4% |
| 2017-11-06 | beat | -0.61 | -0.29 | +52.2% | +1.0% | +8.6% | +12.6% |
| 2017-08-08 | miss | -0.81 | -0.89 | -9.9% | -1.8% | -8.7% | +3.9% |
| 2017-05-10 | miss | -0.59 | -0.84 | -41.2% | +3.4% | +7.7% | +2.2% |
| 2017-03-07 | miss | -0.49 | -0.67 | -35.4% | +0.7% | +0.9% | -5.6% |
| 2016-11-14 | miss | -0.64 | -0.87 | -34.9% | -2.6% | -1.1% | +4.4% |
| 2016-09-15 | beat | -0.94 | -0.44 | +52.9% | +2.3% | +7.6% | +27.6% |
Not investment advice.
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