PVModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.7%
Next 1 month
+4.0%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): -4.6% median,
40% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 55
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.70 +4.2% · Seasonal tilt (10y) -0.3%
$30M/day volume
83% volatility
+94% 1-year
-81% from ATH
52-week range · 83% of the way up · -9% from the high
$71.55$161.38
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. -1.73.
Biggest pop
+12.6%
Biggest drop
-13.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 7 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | miss | -1.15 | -1.52 | -32.0% | -3.9% | +8.0% | +9.6% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | -0.93 | -1.20 | -29.3% | -0.9% | -13.0% | -8.6% |
| 2026-03-31 | miss | -0.91 | -1.08 | -18.6% | +4.4% | +12.6% | +11.3% |
| 2025-11-10 | miss | -0.85 | -1.03 | -21.3% | -5.2% | -3.0% | +3.3% |
| 2025-08-14 | miss | -0.77 | -0.86 | -12.0% | -1.8% | +3.3% | +14.9% |
| 2025-05-15 | beat | -1.32 | -0.74 | +43.9% | -2.8% | -0.4% | +1.9% |
| 2025-03-31 | miss | -0.60 | -5.37 | -798.7% | +2.4% | -0.4% | -28.6% |
Not investment advice.
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