RAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+2.8%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -5.8% median,
30% of the last 20 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 11
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.49 +3.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.7%
$2M/day volume
66% volatility
-52% 1-year
52-week range · 2% of the way up · -72% from the high
$3.85$14.90
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. -0.14.
1-day std dev
12.9%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+24.1%
Biggest drop
-35.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | miss | — | -0.02 | -700.6% | -8.9% | +3.6% | -6.6% |
| 2026-05-04 | miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -100.0% | +0.6% | -4.2% | -1.7% |
| 2026-03-09 | miss | 0.19 | 0.16 | -14.3% | -19.0% | -21.1% | -36.9% |
| 2025-11-10 | beat | 0.16 | 0.24 | +54.8% | +5.0% | +11.8% | -9.1% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | 0.06 | 0.11 | +100.0% | +10.9% | +4.8% | -5.2% |
| 2025-05-05 | miss | 0.08 | 0.05 | -37.5% | +0.0% | +9.0% | +13.6% |
| 2025-03-12 | beat | 0.05 | 0.21 | +366.7% | +19.6% | +17.5% | +3.2% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | 0.05 | 0.08 | +60.0% | -18.5% | -35.3% | -31.0% |
| 2024-08-12 | 0.05 | 0.05 | — | +14.6% | +16.8% | +65.3% | |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +100.0% | +0.2% | -10.7% | -5.0% |
| 2024-03-18 | miss | -0.01 | -0.07 | -600.0% | +5.3% | +10.9% | +21.2% |
| 2023-11-06 | miss | -0.04 | -0.14 | -300.0% | -3.7% | -7.4% | -14.1% |
| 2023-08-07 | beat | -0.12 | 0.02 | +116.7% | +7.1% | +4.4% | +0.3% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | -0.21 | -0.21 | +2.3% | +0.3% | -4.2% | +3.8% |
| 2023-03-27 | miss | -0.13 | -0.31 | -138.5% | -3.5% | -5.0% | -2.5% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | -0.24 | -0.21 | +14.3% | -3.2% | -10.9% | -11.8% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | -0.09 | -0.04 | +56.3% | +14.5% | +14.5% | +12.8% |
| 2022-05-10 | miss | -0.07 | -0.28 | -269.7% | -2.4% | -32.9% | -3.7% |
| 2022-03-22 | beat | -0.15 | -0.13 | +13.8% | +10.6% | +24.1% | +39.4% |
| 2021-11-15 | miss | -0.16 | -0.46 | -188.7% | +3.5% | -3.1% | -23.0% |
| 2021-08-16 | miss | -0.15 | -0.31 | -100.4% | +0.8% | +6.5% | +1.7% |
| 2021-05-17 | miss | -0.24 | -0.38 | -53.4% | -11.2% | -17.7% | -13.8% |
| 2021-03-24 | beat | -0.67 | -0.09 | +86.2% | +2.8% | +20.1% | +103.7% |
| 2020-11-09 | miss | -0.75 | -0.83 | -9.5% | -5.2% | -11.5% | -9.8% |
| 2020-08-10 | miss | -0.94 | -0.95 | -1.0% | -10.7% | -17.2% | -23.3% |
| 2020-05-11 | miss | -0.74 | -1.22 | -65.3% | +1.5% | -10.4% | -23.1% |
| 2020-02-25 | miss | -0.59 | -0.98 | -64.7% | -1.3% | -5.8% | +6.5% |
| 2019-10-30 | miss | -0.43 | -1.09 | -151.5% | -4.8% | -20.1% | -31.8% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | -0.75 | -0.44 | +42.1% | -2.9% | -0.2% | -12.8% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | -0.55 | -1.12 | -105.5% | -2.1% | -6.9% | -10.5% |
| 2019-02-26 | miss | -0.42 | -2.06 | -392.8% | -10.1% | -5.5% | -14.6% |
| 2018-10-31 | miss | -0.26 | -0.54 | -107.2% | -14.7% | -24.5% | -26.9% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | -0.46 | -0.19 | +58.3% | +4.7% | -1.7% | +0.1% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | -0.61 | -0.51 | +17.1% | +3.6% | +14.5% | +13.9% |
| 2018-02-26 | miss | -0.33 | -0.81 | -141.7% | -13.5% | -3.3% | -5.9% |
| 2017-11-01 | miss | -0.17 | -0.73 | -337.2% | -13.0% | -11.9% | -23.0% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | -0.07 | -0.02 | +70.8% | -0.7% | +5.4% | +15.7% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | -0.10 | 0.14 | +234.3% | +9.5% | +23.5% | +37.1% |
| 2017-02-27 | miss | 0.14 | 0.07 | -53.1% | -1.4% | -6.1% | -10.6% |
| 2016-10-31 | miss | 0.15 | 0.13 | -14.0% | -6.8% | -8.1% | -10.9% |
| 2016-08-01 | miss | 0.43 | -0.04 | -109.2% | -11.6% | -4.7% | -5.0% |
| 2016-05-02 | miss | 0.48 | 0.28 | -41.9% | -8.6% | -13.4% | -15.6% |
| 2016-02-22 | beat | 0.79 | 0.94 | +19.8% | +10.0% | -9.0% | -17.0% |
| 2015-11-02 | beat | 0.78 | 0.96 | +22.9% | +4.2% | +7.8% | +16.1% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | 0.34 | 0.60 | +75.4% | +12.1% | +15.6% | +21.8% |
| 2015-05-04 | miss | 0.32 | -0.17 | -153.6% | -10.1% | -9.9% | -12.9% |
| 2015-02-17 | miss | 0.46 | 0.39 | -15.7% | -3.7% | +7.4% | +6.1% |
| 2014-10-30 | miss | 0.50 | 0.48 | -4.0% | +2.0% | -2.4% | -1.2% |
| 2014-08-06 | beat | 0.01 | 0.13 | +910.9% | +2.8% | +9.9% | +17.3% |
| 2014-05-02 | miss | -0.07 | -0.58 | -696.0% | -7.3% | -4.7% | -0.3% |
| 2014-02-18 | miss | 0.03 | -0.45 | -1583.8% | -7.2% | -8.1% | +3.8% |
| 2013-10-30 | beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +11.1% | +1.3% | -4.0% | +2.8% |
| 2013-08-02 | miss | -0.10 | -0.29 | -177.7% | -0.5% | +9.3% | +7.3% |
| 2013-05-01 | miss | 0.06 | -0.18 | -381.3% | -3.0% | -6.6% | -7.9% |
| 2013-02-19 | miss | 0.27 | -0.08 | -129.8% | -15.7% | -9.1% | -14.6% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 0.33 | 0.40 | +21.7% | +0.7% | +2.9% | -1.6% |
| 2012-08-06 | miss | 0.57 | 0.46 | -19.3% | -17.6% | -8.7% | -6.0% |
| 2012-05-08 | beat | 0.36 | 0.81 | +124.1% | +15.6% | +2.4% | -0.9% |
| 2012-02-17 | beat | 0.15 | 0.71 | +384.1% | +14.6% | +18.9% | +33.1% |
| 2011-11-01 | miss | 0.03 | -0.20 | -736.3% | -7.7% | +7.3% | +26.9% |
Not investment advice.
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