RCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.2%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+3.5%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -7.1% median,
38% of the last 13 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 18
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.19%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.72 +4.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$6M/day volume
95% volatility
+320% 1-year
-72% from ATH
52-week range · 89% of the way up · -9% from the high
$3.22$16.90
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. -0.29.
1-day std dev
19.5%
Finished up
59%
Biggest pop
+63.6%
Biggest drop
-25.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 22 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | -0.39 | -0.36 | +7.9% | +26.5% | +63.6% | +65.3% |
| 2026-05-14 | miss | -0.38 | -0.48 | -27.3% | +6.9% | +4.6% | +5.0% |
| 2026-02-12 | beat | -0.55 | -0.54 | +2.8% | -1.6% | +11.8% | +30.4% |
| 2025-11-06 | miss | -0.46 | -0.71 | -56.3% | -0.9% | +10.9% | +10.3% |
| 2025-08-07 | miss | -0.36 | -0.58 | -63.2% | -30.7% | -21.0% | +4.6% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | -0.51 | -0.83 | -60.7% | -22.3% | -25.3% | -30.8% |
| 2025-02-13 | beat | -0.74 | -0.70 | +6.1% | +13.0% | +20.4% | +7.2% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | -0.69 | -0.93 | -34.9% | -3.2% | -3.6% | -3.6% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | -0.78 | -0.91 | -17.8% | +7.4% | +20.7% | +14.5% |
| 2024-05-13 | miss | -0.73 | -1.10 | -50.8% | -4.9% | +4.4% | -2.5% |
| 2024-02-22 | beat | -0.58 | -0.43 | +25.6% | -8.2% | +0.5% | +6.2% |
| 2023-11-09 | beat | -0.68 | -0.53 | +21.9% | +21.5% | +14.3% | +27.5% |
| 2023-08-10 | miss | -0.46 | -0.63 | -37.0% | +8.1% | +1.0% | -13.3% |
| 2023-05-11 | miss | -0.36 | -0.55 | -54.9% | -1.2% | -23.0% | -27.5% |
| 2023-02-23 | beat | -0.41 | -0.31 | +23.9% | +18.7% | +36.5% | +57.4% |
| 2022-11-10 | beat | -0.51 | -0.33 | +34.9% | +0.0% | +14.4% | +20.8% |
| 2022-08-11 | beat | -0.57 | -0.35 | +38.0% | -11.3% | -8.2% | -14.4% |
| 2022-05-12 | miss | -0.52 | -0.55 | -6.1% | +0.0% | -0.5% | -1.6% |
| 2021-05-13 | beat | -0.50 | -0.34 | +32.0% | +1.4% | +3.3% | -8.0% |
| 2021-02-11 | beat | -0.59 | -0.34 | +43.2% | -5.2% | -3.8% | -6.6% |
| 2020-11-10 | miss | -0.49 | -0.66 | -35.9% | +0.6% | -1.3% | +2.2% |
| 2020-08-27 | — | -0.83 | — | -0.2% | -1.5% | +4.2% |
Not investment advice.
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