RCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.8%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+4.0%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +0.8% median,
50% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 49
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.75 +4.1% · Seasonal tilt (10y) -0.1%
$5M/day volume
68% volatility
-33% 1-year
52-week range · 9% of the way up · -55% from the high
$2.16$5.45
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. -0.41.
1-day std dev
4.8%
Finished up
60%
Biggest pop
+12.4%
Biggest drop
-7.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 35 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | miss | 0.27 | -0.38 | -244.2% | +0.5% | -3.8% | -8.2% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.43 | -0.42 | +3.1% | +2.7% | -1.1% | -11.4% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | -0.42 | -0.38 | +10.4% | +1.3% | +10.6% | -2.6% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | -0.52 | -0.45 | +12.7% | +0.9% | -1.9% | -5.6% |
| 2025-08-06 | miss | -0.53 | -0.59 | -11.4% | +0.0% | +2.3% | +0.3% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | -0.58 | -0.56 | +4.0% | -0.5% | -0.7% | -7.7% |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | -0.72 | -0.62 | +13.6% | +1.6% | +0.5% | -6.7% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | -0.75 | -0.71 | +5.3% | +0.2% | +1.2% | -19.0% |
| 2024-08-05 | miss | -0.72 | -0.74 | -3.2% | +4.5% | +0.9% | -4.2% |
| 2024-05-05 | beat | -0.67 | -0.66 | +1.9% | +0.8% | +0.7% | +0.8% |
| 2024-02-25 | beat | -0.77 | -0.64 | +17.4% | +5.0% | +3.2% | -7.5% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | -0.78 | -0.75 | +3.5% | +2.3% | -4.4% | +6.7% |
| 2023-08-09 | miss | -0.78 | -0.82 | -5.1% | -2.4% | -1.1% | -9.6% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | -0.84 | -0.73 | +13.2% | +1.7% | +12.4% | +6.8% |
| 2023-02-28 | miss | -0.82 | -0.89 | -8.1% | +0.2% | +5.4% | +6.2% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | -0.77 | -0.87 | -12.8% | -1.5% | -4.3% | +9.9% |
| 2022-08-08 | miss | -0.68 | -0.83 | -22.0% | -1.6% | +2.5% | +13.2% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | -0.70 | -0.67 | +4.8% | +1.9% | -5.5% | -9.1% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | -0.73 | -0.69 | +5.8% | -1.6% | +4.0% | -8.1% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | -0.62 | -0.79 | -27.8% | -0.9% | +6.2% | +6.6% |
| 2021-08-09 | beat | -0.65 | -0.55 | +15.3% | +4.3% | -1.8% | -7.3% |
| 2021-05-10 | beat | -0.69 | -0.65 | +5.7% | -7.7% | -3.0% | -4.4% |
| 2021-02-25 | miss | -0.50 | -1.08 | -114.2% | -0.1% | -7.3% | -10.5% |
| 2020-11-04 | miss | -0.45 | -0.53 | -18.5% | +1.3% | +7.2% | +6.1% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | -0.50 | -0.45 | +10.2% | +2.3% | +4.7% | +13.2% |
| 2020-05-08 | -0.45 | -0.45 | — | -0.5% | +8.8% | +7.7% | |
| 2020-03-05 | beat | -0.48 | -0.39 | +18.3% | -2.9% | -3.4% | -35.7% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | -0.51 | -0.38 | +26.2% | +0.7% | +7.9% | -4.0% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | -0.61 | -0.38 | +37.7% | -0.2% | +4.1% | -2.2% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | -0.53 | -0.43 | +18.9% | -1.4% | -2.3% | -7.6% |
| 2019-03-07 | miss | -0.44 | -0.66 | -48.9% | -1.3% | -5.6% | -2.0% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | -0.44 | -0.40 | +9.1% | +3.7% | +4.5% | -19.3% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | -0.44 | -0.40 | +9.1% | +0.0% | +1.2% | -8.7% |
| 2018-05-11 | beat | -0.39 | -0.28 | +28.2% | +0.0% | +5.5% | +7.9% |
| 2018-03-07 | beat | -0.31 | -0.18 | +41.9% | -3.0% | +0.2% | +4.8% |
Not investment advice.
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