RIModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.1%
Next 1 week
+7.4%
Next 1 month
+11.2%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +20.7% median,
56% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 21
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.23%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.90 +11.2% · Seasonal tilt (9y) +0.0%
$272M/day volume
88% volatility
-42% 1-year
-84% from ATH
52-week range · 7% of the way up · -58% from the high
$11.50$30.32
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.31.
1-day std dev
8.3%
Finished up
36%
Biggest pop
+12.4%
Biggest drop
-19.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 36 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | miss | -0.32 | -0.58 | -83.5% | +21.5% | +4.3% | -2.5% |
| 2026-04-30 | miss | -0.28 | -0.35 | -25.3% | +7.4% | +7.3% | +39.7% |
| 2026-03-02 | miss | -0.39 | -1.88 | -384.1% | -3.1% | -6.9% | -10.9% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | -0.09 | 0.19 | +309.6% | +2.9% | -6.2% | -19.3% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | -0.19 | 0.99 | +620.7% | -10.4% | -17.7% | -17.4% |
| 2025-05-01 | miss | -0.21 | -0.90 | -329.4% | +1.5% | +8.0% | +9.1% |
| 2025-02-24 | beat | 0.14 | 0.44 | +217.3% | -5.2% | -6.7% | -15.8% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | 0.02 | -0.20 | -1120.5% | -4.9% | -11.8% | +18.2% |
| 2024-07-31 | miss | 0.02 | -0.42 | -2219.0% | -0.9% | -8.5% | -18.6% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | -0.21 | 0.72 | +443.5% | -2.6% | -2.9% | +2.4% |
| 2024-02-23 | beat | -0.29 | 0.47 | +260.3% | -3.8% | -5.6% | -8.2% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | -0.28 | -0.24 | +14.7% | +8.0% | -0.7% | -1.2% |
| 2023-08-09 | miss | -0.24 | -0.24 | -0.7% | +0.4% | -8.2% | -28.3% |
| 2023-05-10 | miss | -0.20 | -0.29 | -46.4% | -2.7% | -12.8% | -9.9% |
| 2023-03-02 | miss | -0.13 | -0.34 | -151.7% | -3.3% | +2.6% | -14.2% |
| 2022-11-07 | miss | -0.04 | -0.16 | -312.1% | -7.1% | -7.3% | -9.2% |
| 2022-08-15 | miss | -0.04 | -0.65 | -1529.5% | -2.3% | -6.0% | -27.3% |
| 2022-05-10 | miss | 0.16 | -0.05 | -131.1% | -6.0% | -9.2% | -8.0% |
| 2022-03-16 | miss | 0.39 | 0.02 | -95.7% | -1.6% | +12.4% | +31.4% |
| 2021-11-15 | miss | 0.36 | -0.14 | -138.4% | -13.5% | -12.3% | -14.2% |
| 2021-08-23 | beat | 0.05 | 0.08 | +67.6% | +0.9% | +5.3% | +4.5% |
| 2021-05-17 | miss | 0.20 | 0.09 | -55.0% | -4.6% | +5.1% | +3.4% |
| 2021-03-31 | beat | -0.07 | 0.10 | +244.0% | +2.8% | -2.3% | -6.8% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | -0.08 | -0.04 | +52.2% | -1.5% | -1.4% | +73.9% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | -0.17 | -0.03 | +79.9% | -8.5% | -12.3% | -2.2% |
| 2020-05-08 | beat | -0.19 | -0.12 | +39.2% | -2.7% | -14.1% | +18.4% |
| 2020-03-25 | beat | -0.11 | -0.09 | +18.2% | +6.1% | +5.6% | +0.9% |
| 2019-11-12 | beat | -0.11 | -0.08 | +30.9% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -5.9% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | -0.23 | -0.09 | +61.5% | +2.9% | +5.3% | -10.6% |
| 2019-05-10 | beat | -0.27 | -0.21 | +23.7% | +0.8% | +11.3% | +12.1% |
| 2019-04-02 | beat | -0.40 | -0.39 | +1.9% | +7.1% | +12.0% | +12.7% |
| 2018-11-19 | beat | -0.61 | -0.42 | +30.5% | -3.7% | -2.1% | +10.6% |
| 2018-08-14 | miss | -0.06 | -0.62 | -939.8% | -2.3% | -19.5% | -15.3% |
| 2018-05-17 | miss | -0.14 | -0.19 | -34.0% | -0.3% | -5.4% | -20.2% |
| 2016-08-10 | beat | -0.48 | -0.22 | +54.2% | -2.5% | +2.2% | -3.4% |
| 2016-05-11 | beat | -0.56 | -0.35 | +37.4% | -13.4% | +0.4% | +16.8% |
| 2016-03-23 | miss | -0.56 | -0.72 | -28.6% | — | — | — |
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google