RYModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.2% median,
70% of the last 30 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 96
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.70 +1.8% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$287.4B market cap (#62 US)
$296M/day volume
16% volatility
+38% 1-year
-6% from ATH
52-week range · 82% of the way up · -6% from the high
$143.38$218.57
Congressional trades in RY Full tracker →
1 member · 3 buys / 3 sells · $34K–$125K disclosed · latest filing Aug 12, 2024.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-03 (Thursday, before open, in 36 days) · EPS est. 4.15.
1-day std dev
2.4%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+5.5%
Biggest drop
-4.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | beat | 4.07 | 4.28 | +5.2% | -0.2% | -1.3% | +2.3% |
| 2026-05-28 | beat | 3.79 | 3.90 | +2.8% | -0.8% | -0.1% | +3.1% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | 3.84 | 4.08 | +6.2% | -0.2% | -2.2% | -5.3% |
| 2025-12-03 | beat | 3.55 | 3.85 | +8.4% | +0.7% | +1.5% | +6.9% |
| 2025-08-27 | beat | 3.29 | 3.84 | +16.8% | +2.8% | +5.5% | +5.9% |
| 2025-05-29 | miss | 3.20 | 3.12 | -2.5% | -0.2% | -3.1% | -1.5% |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | 3.24 | 3.62 | +11.6% | -0.2% | -3.6% | -4.4% |
| 2024-12-04 | beat | 3.01 | 3.07 | +2.0% | +1.2% | +0.5% | +1.0% |
| 2024-08-28 | beat | 2.95 | 3.26 | +10.3% | +0.7% | +2.1% | +4.4% |
| 2024-05-30 | beat | 2.74 | 2.92 | +6.4% | +2.2% | +5.4% | +4.6% |
| 2024-02-28 | beat | 2.79 | 2.85 | +2.3% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +1.4% |
| 2023-11-30 | beat | 2.62 | 2.78 | +6.0% | +1.5% | +3.5% | +4.7% |
| 2023-08-24 | beat | 2.71 | 2.84 | +4.9% | +0.5% | +1.6% | +1.4% |
| 2023-05-25 | miss | 2.81 | 2.65 | -5.8% | -1.3% | -2.2% | +1.5% |
| 2023-03-01 | beat | 2.93 | 3.05 | +3.9% | -1.1% | -3.1% | -2.1% |
| 2022-11-30 | beat | 2.68 | 2.78 | +3.7% | +1.5% | +1.4% | -1.8% |
| 2022-08-24 | miss | 2.68 | 2.55 | -4.9% | -2.6% | -2.6% | -4.6% |
| 2022-05-26 | beat | 2.69 | 2.99 | +11.1% | +0.5% | +2.3% | +4.6% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | 2.72 | 2.87 | +5.4% | -3.5% | -2.2% | -0.2% |
| 2021-12-01 | miss | 2.81 | 2.71 | -3.6% | +1.5% | -1.0% | +3.5% |
| 2021-08-25 | beat | 2.71 | 3.00 | +10.7% | +0.1% | +0.9% | -2.0% |
| 2021-05-27 | beat | 2.51 | 2.79 | +11.3% | +0.3% | -0.5% | -0.2% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | 2.28 | 2.69 | +18.2% | +1.2% | +0.5% | -2.4% |
| 2020-12-02 | beat | 2.08 | 2.27 | +9.2% | +0.1% | -0.6% | +0.3% |
| 2020-08-26 | beat | 1.90 | 2.23 | +17.1% | +1.9% | +1.5% | -0.1% |
| 2020-05-27 | miss | 1.63 | 1.03 | -37.0% | -0.7% | +5.0% | +9.7% |
| 2020-02-21 | beat | 2.30 | 2.44 | +5.9% | +0.8% | +1.5% | -8.5% |
| 2019-12-04 | miss | 2.29 | 2.22 | -2.9% | -0.7% | -1.5% | -2.5% |
| 2019-08-21 | miss | 2.30 | 2.26 | -1.8% | -0.5% | +0.8% | -0.7% |
| 2019-05-23 | beat | 2.22 | 2.23 | +0.6% | -1.4% | -2.8% | -4.1% |
| 2019-02-22 | miss | 2.19 | 2.19 | -0.1% | -0.5% | +0.1% | +0.7% |
| 2018-11-28 | beat | 2.14 | 2.24 | +4.5% | +1.2% | +3.0% | -0.3% |
| 2018-08-22 | beat | 2.11 | 2.14 | +1.3% | +0.7% | +1.9% | +3.1% |
| 2018-05-24 | beat | 2.05 | 2.10 | +2.2% | -0.6% | -2.5% | -4.0% |
| 2018-02-23 | beat | 1.99 | 2.05 | +3.0% | +0.6% | +1.0% | -3.7% |
| 2017-11-29 | beat | 1.87 | 1.92 | +2.9% | +0.2% | +0.7% | +1.0% |
| 2017-08-23 | beat | 1.87 | 1.89 | +0.9% | +0.1% | +1.3% | +0.0% |
| 2017-05-25 | beat | 1.81 | 1.88 | +3.9% | +1.3% | +0.5% | +0.4% |
| 2017-02-24 | beat | 1.78 | 1.87 | +5.2% | +0.5% | -1.5% | -1.9% |
| 2016-11-30 | beat | 1.72 | 1.73 | +0.6% | -0.8% | -3.3% | -0.4% |
| 2016-08-24 | beat | 1.70 | 1.92 | +12.7% | +0.6% | -0.3% | -2.3% |
| 2016-05-26 | beat | 1.64 | 1.70 | +3.7% | +1.1% | +1.4% | +0.6% |
| 2016-02-24 | miss | 1.67 | 1.62 | -2.9% | -2.7% | -2.1% | +3.2% |
| 2015-12-02 | beat | 1.64 | 1.79 | +9.4% | +0.6% | +0.0% | -4.6% |
| 2015-08-26 | beat | 1.67 | 1.68 | +0.9% | +2.2% | +0.1% | -0.8% |
| 2015-05-28 | beat | 1.60 | 1.61 | +0.9% | -0.1% | +0.3% | -0.3% |
| 2015-02-25 | beat | 1.58 | 1.67 | +6.0% | +2.5% | +4.2% | +3.2% |
| 2013-12-05 | beat | 1.38 | 1.41 | +2.4% | -0.6% | -0.9% | -0.9% |
| 2013-08-29 | beat | 1.37 | 1.48 | +8.0% | +1.1% | +0.6% | +3.9% |
| 2013-05-30 | miss | 1.31 | 1.31 | -0.3% | -0.8% | -1.3% | -5.7% |
| 2013-02-28 | beat | 1.31 | 1.37 | +4.2% | +0.9% | +0.1% | -1.8% |
| 2012-11-29 | miss | 1.26 | 1.25 | -0.5% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.4% |
| 2012-08-30 | beat | 1.18 | 1.29 | +9.2% | +0.3% | +0.5% | +4.2% |
| 2012-05-24 | miss | 1.18 | 1.15 | -2.6% | -1.2% | -3.3% | -7.1% |
| 2012-03-01 | beat | 1.11 | 1.33 | +19.3% | +1.1% | +2.4% | +2.1% |
| 2011-12-02 | beat | 0.99 | 1.20 | +21.9% | +3.1% | +3.2% | +5.1% |
| 2011-08-26 | beat | 1.09 | 1.11 | +1.6% | -3.4% | -2.7% | -3.2% |
| 2011-05-27 | miss | 1.12 | 1.08 | -4.0% | -1.9% | -2.6% | -7.9% |
| 2011-03-03 | beat | 1.01 | 1.31 | +29.8% | +4.6% | +5.3% | +4.1% |
| 2010-12-03 | miss | 1.00 | 0.89 | -11.4% | -4.0% | -4.3% | -6.0% |
Not investment advice.
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