RYModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+2.5%
Next 1 month
+4.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +10.8% median,
68% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 77
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.41 +4.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.4%
$25.5B market cap (#512 US)
$102M/day volume
37% volatility
-12% 1-year
-28% from ATH
52-week range · 12% of the way up · -28% from the high
$51.02$74.24
Congressional trades in RYAAY Full tracker →
3 members · 5 buys / 2 sells · $21K–$140K disclosed · latest filing May 9, 2019.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, before open, in 3 days) · EPS est. 3.55.
1-day std dev
4.5%
Finished up
60%
Biggest pop
+8.7%
Biggest drop
-15.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | miss | 1.29 | 1.17 | -9.1% | -2.9% | -5.8% | -8.2% |
| 2026-05-18 | beat | -1.00 | -0.85 | +14.5% | +5.8% | +5.1% | +13.0% |
| 2026-01-26 | beat | 0.15 | 0.26 | +67.3% | -3.2% | -2.8% | +1.5% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | 3.63 | 3.71 | +2.3% | +3.6% | +4.0% | +3.2% |
| 2025-07-21 | beat | 1.48 | 1.79 | +20.2% | +4.4% | +6.6% | +11.7% |
| 2025-05-19 | beat | -0.64 | -0.63 | +0.9% | +5.3% | +7.9% | +12.8% |
| 2025-01-27 | beat | 0.08 | 0.29 | +280.9% | +2.4% | +0.2% | +0.5% |
| 2024-11-04 | beat | 2.81 | 6.99 | +148.9% | +0.5% | -3.2% | +1.8% |
| 2024-07-22 | miss | 1.17 | 0.68 | -41.5% | -16.0% | -15.4% | -12.8% |
| 2024-05-20 | beat | -0.53 | -0.52 | +1.6% | -0.4% | -2.3% | -2.5% |
| 2024-01-29 | miss | 0.16 | 0.03 | -82.1% | +1.3% | +2.6% | +4.8% |
| 2023-11-06 | miss | 2.91 | 2.84 | -2.3% | +9.2% | +4.2% | +13.7% |
| 2023-07-24 | beat | 0.97 | 1.28 | +32.3% | -5.4% | -9.0% | -4.6% |
| 2023-05-22 | beat | -0.40 | -0.30 | +26.9% | +1.1% | -0.4% | +5.0% |
| 2023-01-30 | beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +14.4% | -2.9% | -4.2% | -0.8% |
| 2022-11-07 | miss | 2.13 | 2.11 | -1.0% | +6.3% | +3.3% | +11.5% |
| 2022-07-25 | miss | 0.32 | 0.30 | -4.8% | +5.8% | +4.6% | +4.3% |
| 2022-05-16 | beat | -0.42 | -0.39 | +7.4% | -1.2% | -2.4% | +4.7% |
| 2022-01-31 | beat | -0.24 | -0.19 | +20.9% | -2.3% | +0.6% | +6.9% |
| 2021-11-01 | miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -0.9% | +0.0% | +2.4% | +11.1% |
| 2021-07-26 | miss | -0.55 | -0.57 | -4.1% | +2.0% | +2.6% | +4.4% |
| 2021-05-17 | miss | -0.64 | -0.66 | -3.3% | +0.4% | -2.0% | -1.4% |
| 2021-02-01 | miss | -0.48 | -0.66 | -35.4% | +3.0% | +1.6% | +11.7% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | -0.13 | -0.05 | +63.7% | +3.9% | +2.4% | +29.6% |
| 2020-05-17 | beat | -0.52 | -0.45 | +12.2% | +1.2% | +2.6% | +21.6% |
| 2020-02-03 | beat | -0.05 | 0.17 | +446.8% | +6.5% | +6.2% | +3.9% |
| 2019-11-04 | beat | 1.66 | 1.81 | +8.7% | +7.8% | +8.7% | +11.4% |
| 2019-07-29 | beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +5.7% | -2.6% | +0.5% | -5.0% |
| 2019-05-20 | miss | -0.23 | -0.29 | -25.8% | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.6% |
| 2019-02-04 | miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -147.1% | -1.6% | -1.1% | +0.5% |
| 2018-10-22 | beat | 1.74 | 1.74 | +0.2% | +2.9% | +2.5% | -1.0% |
| 2018-07-23 | beat | 0.60 | 0.64 | +5.6% | -5.8% | -8.6% | -8.7% |
| 2018-05-21 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +7.9% | +2.9% | +4.9% | +4.3% |
| 2018-02-05 | beat | 0.18 | 0.22 | +20.7% | -3.1% | -6.1% | -3.7% |
| 2017-10-31 | miss | 1.75 | 1.73 | -1.0% | +5.8% | +6.7% | +6.4% |
| 2017-07-24 | beat | 0.59 | 0.75 | +26.9% | -2.3% | -0.9% | +0.8% |
| 2017-05-30 | beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +18.3% | +1.1% | +1.4% | +2.4% |
| 2017-02-06 | miss | 0.18 | 0.16 | -8.9% | -2.7% | -4.6% | -2.8% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | 1.54 | 1.60 | +3.9% | +4.9% | +5.2% | +9.6% |
| 2016-07-25 | beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +6.0% | +3.5% | +1.6% | +3.8% |
| 2016-05-23 | beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +4.9% | +1.3% | +1.2% | +10.1% |
| 2016-02-01 | miss | 0.17 | 0.17 | -0.6% | +5.1% | +4.0% | -5.3% |
| 2015-11-02 | miss | 1.39 | 1.36 | -2.2% | +4.2% | +3.0% | +5.5% |
| 2015-07-27 | miss | 0.44 | 0.41 | -7.2% | +0.7% | -0.5% | +3.1% |
| 2015-05-26 | miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -19.8% | +5.1% | +1.6% | +2.8% |
| 2015-02-02 | beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +10.8% | -3.6% | -3.9% | -5.8% |
| 2014-11-03 | miss | 1.26 | 1.10 | -12.6% | +7.1% | +6.1% | +11.2% |
| 2014-07-30 | beat | -0.11 | -0.07 | +33.6% | -0.1% | -0.2% | -4.0% |
| 2014-07-28 | beat | 0.30 | 0.39 | +28.8% | +3.2% | +2.8% | +2.9% |
| 2014-02-03 | miss | -0.05 | -0.07 | -53.8% | +6.7% | +1.8% | +11.9% |
| 2013-11-04 | beat | 1.00 | 1.02 | +2.0% | -13.5% | -9.4% | -6.9% |
| 2013-07-29 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +2.2% | -4.0% | -3.4% | -0.2% |
| 2013-05-20 | beat | -0.10 | -0.08 | +19.7% | +7.5% | +5.3% | +10.4% |
| 2013-01-27 | beat | -0.03 | 0.03 | +205.2% | +0.9% | +1.3% | +1.0% |
| 2012-11-05 | beat | 0.81 | 0.90 | +10.9% | +3.1% | +3.4% | +9.1% |
| 2012-07-30 | miss | 0.25 | 0.17 | -30.3% | -1.8% | -1.4% | -0.3% |
| 2012-05-21 | beat | -0.15 | -0.10 | +35.6% | -2.1% | +0.9% | +0.5% |
| 2012-01-30 | beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +167.2% | -1.9% | -0.5% | +2.2% |
| 2011-11-07 | miss | 0.86 | 0.77 | -10.4% | +2.6% | +1.9% | +4.9% |
| 2011-07-25 | beat | 0.27 | 0.27 | +0.0% | -1.0% | -0.8% | -3.9% |
Not investment advice.
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