RYModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+1.6%
Next 1 month
+3.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +7.5% median,
62% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 61
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.07 +3.1% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.0%
$60M/day volume
46% volatility
-19% 1-year
-24% from ATH
52-week range · 38% of the way up · -24% from the high
$74.50$122.20
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, before open, in 4 days) · EPS est. -0.74.
1-day std dev
8.1%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+27.5%
Biggest drop
-16.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 36 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | -0.83 | -0.73 | +12.3% | -2.0% | +2.9% | +9.8% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | -0.86 | -0.83 | +3.6% | +9.7% | +7.9% | +6.7% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | -0.78 | -0.73 | +6.4% | +4.1% | -1.1% | -7.8% |
| 2025-11-04 | miss | -0.73 | -0.82 | -11.7% | -9.9% | -7.7% | -12.2% |
| 2025-08-05 | miss | -0.67 | -0.75 | -12.1% | -3.4% | -1.9% | +6.9% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | -0.68 | -0.81 | -19.4% | -2.6% | +3.1% | -8.7% |
| 2025-02-26 | beat | -0.73 | -0.72 | +1.4% | +1.4% | +4.5% | +3.8% |
| 2024-11-05 | beat | -0.87 | -0.73 | +15.9% | +6.7% | +11.4% | +6.8% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | -0.72 | -0.55 | +23.8% | +4.2% | +0.0% | +4.4% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | -2.39 | -2.35 | +1.7% | -6.9% | -10.3% | -8.0% |
| 2024-02-22 | beat | -0.71 | -0.70 | +0.9% | +0.4% | -9.7% | -11.0% |
| 2023-11-07 | miss | -0.76 | -0.76 | -0.4% | -2.2% | -0.5% | +21.9% |
| 2023-08-01 | miss | -0.78 | -0.82 | -4.7% | +6.4% | +27.5% | +38.5% |
| 2023-05-02 | miss | -0.77 | -0.92 | -19.1% | -6.8% | -7.3% | -15.3% |
| 2023-03-01 | beat | -0.78 | -0.74 | +5.1% | +3.3% | -5.8% | -18.9% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | -0.98 | -0.79 | +19.1% | -1.4% | +2.5% | +15.4% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | -1.03 | -0.89 | +13.4% | +4.7% | +13.8% | +81.9% |
| 2022-05-03 | miss | -1.04 | -1.05 | -0.8% | -1.4% | -2.7% | -45.2% |
| 2022-03-01 | beat | -0.93 | -0.85 | +8.6% | +3.3% | +11.4% | +24.8% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | -0.83 | -0.70 | +15.7% | +7.9% | +6.6% | +9.4% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | -0.74 | -0.70 | +5.4% | -7.9% | -16.5% | -17.0% |
| 2021-05-03 | beat | -0.69 | -0.47 | +32.4% | +0.2% | +1.8% | -4.9% |
| 2021-03-01 | -0.79 | -0.79 | — | +1.0% | +3.5% | -3.7% | |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | -0.80 | -0.77 | +3.8% | +6.9% | +2.0% | +14.7% |
| 2020-08-03 | beat | -0.82 | -0.71 | +13.4% | +1.5% | +5.1% | -1.0% |
| 2020-05-04 | beat | -0.82 | -0.78 | +4.6% | +0.4% | +5.9% | +13.6% |
| 2020-03-02 | beat | -0.92 | -0.78 | +15.0% | +0.9% | +7.0% | -12.4% |
| 2019-11-01 | beat | -1.10 | -1.04 | +5.2% | +2.6% | +1.8% | +0.8% |
| 2019-07-29 | miss | -0.85 | -1.24 | -45.3% | -9.5% | -4.2% | -4.5% |
| 2019-05-03 | miss | -0.73 | -0.84 | -15.6% | +1.1% | -1.0% | +1.2% |
| 2019-03-08 | miss | -0.66 | -0.74 | -12.1% | +0.0% | +1.3% | +8.9% |
| 2018-11-09 | beat | -0.61 | -0.52 | +14.8% | -3.4% | -6.3% | -8.4% |
| 2018-08-08 | miss | -0.47 | -0.52 | -10.6% | +3.2% | +1.7% | -4.3% |
| 2018-05-14 | miss | -0.42 | -0.60 | -42.9% | -0.2% | +12.8% | +22.5% |
| 2018-03-12 | beat | -0.55 | -0.41 | +25.4% | +2.0% | +6.6% | -18.3% |
| 2017-11-14 | miss | -0.56 | -0.66 | -18.9% | -3.1% | -5.7% | +9.6% |
Not investment advice.
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