RZModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+3.2%
Next 1 month
+2.2%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): -1.1% median,
42% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 23
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.82%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.08 +2.6% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$7M/day volume
128% volatility
-59% 1-year
52-week range · 28% of the way up · -66% from the high
$1.07$11.46
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. -0.18.
1-day std dev
7.4%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+15.4%
Biggest drop
-16.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 38 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | miss | -0.14 | -0.20 | -40.4% | +1.3% | -1.0% | +1.8% |
| 2026-02-12 | miss | -0.18 | -0.22 | -22.2% | -0.6% | +5.8% | -11.8% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | -0.26 | -0.18 | +31.2% | -1.6% | +12.1% | +2.8% |
| 2025-09-17 | miss | -0.23 | -0.26 | -10.6% | -0.1% | +6.4% | +13.7% |
| 2025-05-13 | miss | -0.24 | -0.27 | -12.5% | -4.9% | -4.9% | +9.3% |
| 2025-02-12 | beat | -0.26 | -0.22 | +15.4% | +8.6% | -1.0% | -6.8% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | -0.34 | -0.22 | +36.2% | +2.1% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 2024-09-19 | miss | -0.33 | -0.44 | -35.1% | +8.1% | +5.4% | +3.3% |
| 2024-05-15 | miss | -0.32 | -0.34 | -7.6% | +0.0% | -3.4% | +15.5% |
| 2024-02-13 | beat | -0.29 | -0.27 | +6.9% | -1.8% | +13.8% | +46.8% |
| 2023-11-13 | beat | -0.28 | -0.28 | +0.9% | +6.7% | -7.4% | -5.7% |
| 2023-09-14 | beat | -0.36 | -0.25 | +29.8% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -8.4% |
| 2023-05-11 | -0.30 | -0.30 | — | +2.5% | +2.0% | +5.4% | |
| 2023-02-10 | beat | -0.32 | -0.26 | +18.2% | +2.2% | -3.2% | -14.4% |
| 2022-11-09 | beat | -0.35 | -0.19 | +46.2% | +8.4% | +0.0% | +2.1% |
| 2022-09-15 | beat | -0.35 | -0.30 | +14.3% | +1.1% | +0.4% | +4.4% |
| 2022-05-12 | beat | -0.97 | -0.65 | +33.0% | +2.9% | +6.2% | -4.9% |
| 2022-02-09 | miss | -0.66 | -0.80 | -21.5% | -2.3% | -0.7% | -9.1% |
| 2021-11-12 | miss | -0.89 | -0.92 | -3.6% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -14.3% |
| 2021-09-15 | beat | -0.86 | -0.78 | +9.7% | -4.3% | -8.7% | -13.8% |
| 2021-05-17 | beat | -0.78 | -0.66 | +15.9% | +0.7% | -4.2% | +7.8% |
| 2021-02-10 | miss | -0.75 | -0.88 | -17.3% | +3.9% | +5.5% | -5.5% |
| 2020-11-12 | beat | -0.84 | -0.62 | +26.2% | -3.6% | -3.7% | -0.8% |
| 2020-10-13 | beat | -1.00 | -0.54 | +46.0% | -5.5% | +1.1% | -29.2% |
| 2020-05-14 | -1.00 | -1.00 | — | -25.0% | -1.0% | -26.0% | |
| 2020-02-12 | -1.00 | -1.00 | — | +0.0% | +0.0% | +2.6% | |
| 2019-11-14 | -1.00 | -1.00 | — | +14.4% | +15.3% | +62.2% | |
| 2019-09-10 | miss | -1.50 | -1.87 | -24.9% | +23.1% | +15.4% | +7.7% |
| 2016-09-28 | miss | -7.50 | -19.00 | -153.3% | -8.0% | +4.0% | +28.0% |
| 2016-05-16 | beat | -9.00 | -7.50 | +16.7% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -4.2% |
| 2016-02-16 | miss | -7.50 | -8.50 | -13.3% | -4.5% | -6.4% | -9.1% |
| 2015-11-16 | -7.00 | -7.00 | — | +0.0% | +0.0% | -11.0% | |
| 2015-09-28 | beat | -9.50 | -6.00 | +36.8% | -6.5% | -0.8% | +8.1% |
| 2015-05-15 | beat | -7.50 | -7.00 | +6.7% | -10.6% | -13.9% | -5.0% |
| 2015-02-17 | miss | -5.00 | -8.00 | -60.0% | +6.2% | +2.1% | +6.2% |
| 2014-11-12 | -6.00 | -6.00 | — | +0.0% | +11.6% | +6.6% | |
| 2014-09-30 | beat | -8.00 | -3.57 | +55.4% | -1.4% | +14.6% | +4.2% |
| 2014-05-14 | miss | -7.00 | -38.00 | -442.9% | -26.6% | -16.2% | -58.1% |
Not investment advice.
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