SAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.3%
Next 1 week
+0.2%
Next 1 month
+5.1%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -3.7% median,
43% of the last 21 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 9
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.33%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.70 +6.3% · Seasonal tilt -1.2%
$13M/day volume
69% volatility
+1% 1-year
-40% from ATH
52-week range · 11% of the way up · -40% from the high
$22.00$40.06
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, after close, in 10 days) · EPS est. -0.06.
1-day std dev
4.0%
Finished up
46%
Biggest pop
+8.2%
Biggest drop
-7.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 50 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | beat | -0.04 | 0.77 | +1901.7% | +1.7% | +4.2% | -6.2% |
| 2026-05-13 | miss | -0.04 | -0.09 | -99.7% | -0.6% | -5.1% | -10.2% |
| 2026-03-26 | miss | -0.03 | -0.32 | -1034.8% | -0.6% | +3.1% | +21.6% |
| 2025-11-12 | miss | -0.03 | -0.23 | -688.0% | +0.0% | -6.8% | -4.0% |
| 2023-11-13 | miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -45.1% | +1.8% | +8.2% | +7.3% |
| 2023-08-14 | beat | -0.03 | 0.08 | +372.3% | -0.3% | -2.8% | -1.2% |
| 2023-05-15 | miss | -0.02 | -0.10 | -337.8% | +0.0% | -7.6% | -9.2% |
| 2023-03-29 | miss | -0.04 | -0.23 | -414.8% | +1.9% | +3.1% | +3.6% |
| 2022-11-14 | beat | -0.05 | 0.05 | +191.3% | +0.3% | -1.3% | -0.2% |
| 2022-08-12 | beat | -0.07 | 0.19 | +368.0% | -1.1% | -0.9% | -7.3% |
| 2022-05-16 | miss | -0.03 | -0.06 | -93.7% | +1.6% | -0.2% | +2.0% |
| 2022-03-23 | miss | -0.03 | -0.09 | -174.2% | +1.0% | -2.1% | -5.8% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | -0.04 | -0.01 | +79.9% | +1.9% | +5.4% | +4.8% |
| 2021-08-13 | beat | -0.05 | 0.15 | +381.4% | +0.7% | +3.3% | +1.0% |
| 2021-05-13 | miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -9.8% | +1.7% | +3.9% | +6.3% |
| 2021-03-24 | miss | -0.04 | -0.16 | -308.7% | -1.5% | -2.5% | +1.4% |
| 2020-11-12 | beat | -0.04 | 0.05 | +227.2% | +1.6% | +1.2% | -7.6% |
| 2020-08-10 | miss | -0.04 | -0.04 | -23.1% | -4.1% | -7.9% | -0.6% |
| 2020-05-13 | beat | -0.04 | -0.04 | +1.3% | +1.0% | +3.6% | +9.6% |
| 2020-03-26 | miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -57.9% | -3.2% | -7.0% | -12.9% |
| 2019-11-13 | beat | -0.03 | -0.03 | +14.1% | +0.8% | +2.3% | -0.7% |
| 2019-08-13 | beat | -0.05 | -0.02 | +50.7% | +1.6% | -1.1% | -3.7% |
| 2019-05-13 | miss | -0.01 | -0.05 | -246.4% | +0.0% | -3.7% | -4.8% |
| 2019-03-26 | miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -41.0% | +0.0% | +0.1% | -20.1% |
| 2018-11-14 | beat | -0.05 | -0.04 | +17.9% | +0.2% | +3.0% | +0.5% |
| 2018-08-09 | beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +33.3% | +7.9% | +7.5% | -2.2% |
| 2017-03-29 | miss | -0.03 | -0.03 | -7.1% | -2.5% | -7.2% | -4.7% |
| 2016-11-09 | beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +75.2% | +1.9% | -6.1% | -13.1% |
| 2016-08-11 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +23.1% | +1.5% | -0.8% | -2.0% |
| 2016-05-13 | beat | -0.04 | -0.04 | +8.4% | +2.7% | +3.8% | +2.6% |
| 2015-11-16 | beat | -0.04 | -0.04 | +7.8% | -1.1% | -7.3% | +1.8% |
| 2015-08-14 | beat | -0.05 | -0.02 | +67.8% | +4.0% | -1.6% | +15.9% |
| 2015-05-14 | beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +33.3% | -1.5% | +0.6% | -1.8% |
| 2015-03-13 | beat | -0.06 | -0.05 | +14.8% | -2.8% | -7.1% | -0.2% |
| 2014-11-14 | beat | -0.07 | -0.05 | +28.2% | -1.5% | +2.0% | +10.6% |
| 2014-08-13 | miss | -0.05 | -0.07 | -37.3% | +0.1% | -1.2% | -0.7% |
| 2013-08-14 | miss | -0.07 | -0.20 | -190.4% | -0.4% | +3.0% | +7.5% |
| 2013-05-13 | miss | -0.04 | -0.08 | -97.8% | -1.1% | -1.4% | -12.8% |
| 2013-03-26 | miss | -0.04 | -0.07 | -68.6% | -0.8% | +2.4% | -0.6% |
| 2012-09-30 | miss | -0.05 | -0.12 | -143.6% | +0.7% | -0.5% | -5.2% |
| 2012-08-14 | beat | -0.06 | -0.06 | +7.6% | -0.1% | +1.1% | +8.4% |
| 2012-05-16 | beat | -0.05 | -0.04 | +20.9% | +1.8% | +2.4% | +24.9% |
| 2012-03-29 | miss | -0.08 | -0.12 | -53.8% | +2.0% | +0.9% | -6.1% |
| 2011-11-11 | miss | -0.04 | -0.08 | -99.6% | -1.4% | -1.3% | -8.5% |
| 2011-08-15 | miss | -0.04 | -0.20 | -407.9% | -1.1% | +1.6% | +0.3% |
| 2011-06-02 | miss | -0.03 | -0.07 | -137.9% | +0.3% | -2.4% | -9.2% |
| 2011-03-31 | beat | -0.03 | — | +93.1% | +0.1% | +2.5% | +7.6% |
| 2010-11-11 | beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +66.9% | -3.2% | -3.5% | -3.7% |
| 2010-08-09 | miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -29.9% | -0.8% | -0.4% | +13.4% |
| 2010-05-13 | beat | -0.03 | — | +100.0% | +3.1% | -0.2% | -15.2% |
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google