SAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+1.3%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.5% median,
53% of the last 36 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 59
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.64 +1.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$9M/day volume
34% volatility
-22% 1-year
52-week range · 10% of the way up · -35% from the high
$10.61$17.45
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 0.43.
1-day std dev
3.4%
Finished up
54%
Biggest pop
+7.9%
Biggest drop
-10.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 37 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | beat | 0.42 | 0.42 | +1.0% | +4.0% | +2.1% | +2.8% |
| 2026-04-30 | miss | 0.44 | 0.40 | -8.2% | -3.4% | -7.2% | -5.6% |
| 2026-02-11 | beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +3.2% | +2.3% | -1.4% | +5.9% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +4.3% | +1.0% | -10.7% | -6.6% |
| 2025-08-05 | miss | 0.41 | 0.39 | -3.8% | -1.7% | -1.3% | +8.0% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +4.8% | +4.6% | +4.0% | -1.2% |
| 2025-02-05 | miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -1.6% | +1.6% | +7.9% | +5.8% |
| 2024-10-28 | beat | 0.37 | 0.37 | +0.0% | +1.6% | -4.4% | -12.1% |
| 2024-07-29 | beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +9.2% | +0.2% | +2.4% | +1.3% |
| 2024-05-06 | beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +11.5% | +4.9% | +3.7% | +6.7% |
| 2024-02-12 | beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +3.0% | -4.1% | -5.9% | -0.4% |
| 2023-10-31 | miss | 0.35 | 0.33 | -4.7% | -1.7% | -2.4% | +3.9% |
| 2023-08-01 | miss | 0.35 | 0.35 | -0.5% | -1.6% | -4.6% | -15.7% |
| 2023-04-26 | beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +10.2% | +0.7% | +1.5% | -1.2% |
| 2023-02-14 | beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +6.9% | -0.9% | -0.1% | -12.3% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +6.6% | +2.3% | +4.6% | -2.1% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | 0.40 | 0.37 | -7.6% | +0.9% | +0.3% | +5.1% |
| 2022-04-21 | miss | 0.43 | 0.43 | -0.1% | +1.1% | -3.2% | -7.3% |
| 2022-02-15 | miss | 0.40 | 0.38 | -4.6% | +2.4% | +3.3% | -5.6% |
| 2021-10-21 | beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +8.6% | +0.2% | +0.5% | +1.7% |
| 2021-07-22 | miss | 0.33 | 0.28 | -14.9% | -0.3% | -0.6% | +3.3% |
| 2021-04-22 | miss | 0.33 | 0.32 | -3.1% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.0% |
| 2021-02-11 | miss | 0.29 | 0.29 | -0.7% | +0.7% | -0.2% | +2.9% |
| 2020-10-22 | beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +3.8% | +0.3% | +2.0% | +1.1% |
| 2020-07-23 | miss | 0.29 | 0.24 | -17.8% | -1.0% | -2.5% | -3.4% |
| 2020-04-23 | miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -3.8% | +0.5% | +1.0% | +30.0% |
| 2020-02-13 | miss | 0.32 | 0.25 | -21.4% | -0.7% | +3.2% | +6.6% |
| 2019-10-24 | miss | 0.23 | 0.21 | -9.3% | +0.5% | -0.9% | +0.5% |
| 2019-07-26 | miss | 0.23 | 0.18 | -20.8% | +0.3% | +0.7% | +4.5% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.31 | 0.36 | +14.7% | -0.6% | -0.3% | +0.3% |
| 2019-02-14 | beat | 0.12 | 0.23 | +98.7% | -0.1% | -0.6% | +3.5% |
| 2018-10-25 | miss | 0.13 | 0.11 | -13.6% | +0.2% | +1.1% | +1.2% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +33.6% | +0.3% | +0.1% | -0.3% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.13 | 0.20 | +59.2% | +0.3% | +1.3% | +3.8% |
| 2018-02-15 | miss | -0.04 | -0.07 | -75.0% | +0.1% | +0.4% | +2.8% |
| 2017-10-26 | -0.04 | -0.04 | — | +0.0% | +0.2% | -4.7% | |
| 2017-07-27 | miss | -0.01 | -0.09 | -572.6% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -4.7% |
Not investment advice.
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