SAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
-0.4%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +0.1% median,
50% of the last 30 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 37
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.26 -0.7% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$39M/day volume
37% volatility
-13% 1-year
-85% from ATH
52-week range · 37% of the way up · -25% from the high
$158.68$264.46
Congressional trades in SAM Full tracker →
1 member · 2 buys / 1 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Aug 9, 2021.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-24 (Wednesday, after close, in 118 days) · EPS est. -0.46.
1-day std dev
9.6%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+25.7%
Biggest drop
-26.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | beat | 4.21 | 4.37 | +3.8% | +0.2% | +3.4% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | miss | 4.83 | 3.65 | -24.4% | -1.5% | +3.2% | +5.0% |
| 2026-04-30 | miss | 1.97 | 1.64 | -16.8% | -10.3% | -9.6% | -16.7% |
| 2026-02-24 | beat | -2.51 | -2.12 | +15.6% | -8.7% | -4.3% | +2.1% |
| 2025-10-23 | beat | 3.34 | 4.25 | +27.4% | +6.0% | +5.5% | -5.8% |
| 2025-07-24 | beat | 3.96 | 5.45 | +37.6% | +10.4% | +6.5% | +3.8% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 0.69 | 2.16 | +212.8% | +4.4% | +2.3% | -1.2% |
| 2025-02-25 | miss | -1.33 | -1.68 | -26.0% | +0.3% | +3.0% | +1.4% |
| 2024-10-24 | beat | 4.95 | 5.36 | +8.4% | -1.6% | -2.0% | -2.3% |
| 2024-07-25 | miss | 5.02 | 4.61 | -8.2% | -3.1% | +7.5% | +3.2% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | -0.08 | 1.06 | +1376.2% | +9.7% | -1.4% | -3.5% |
| 2024-02-27 | miss | -0.28 | -1.49 | -435.7% | -11.8% | -15.8% | -20.1% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 4.24 | 4.76 | +12.3% | -4.5% | -12.4% | -7.3% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 3.40 | 4.82 | +41.6% | +11.4% | +16.8% | +12.6% |
| 2023-04-27 | miss | -0.34 | -0.70 | -108.7% | -1.8% | +0.4% | -1.9% |
| 2023-02-15 | miss | 0.59 | -0.92 | -256.8% | -13.4% | -14.7% | -15.5% |
| 2022-10-20 | beat | 3.17 | 3.85 | +21.5% | +5.2% | +19.7% | +14.2% |
| 2022-07-21 | beat | 4.32 | 4.36 | +1.1% | -5.9% | +6.2% | +13.2% |
| 2022-04-21 | miss | 1.71 | 0.17 | -89.8% | -4.5% | +1.4% | +8.4% |
| 2022-02-16 | beat | -4.41 | -4.32 | +2.1% | -2.9% | -2.7% | -6.8% |
| 2021-10-21 | miss | 4.20 | -1.67 | -139.8% | -4.1% | +1.6% | -4.8% |
| 2021-07-22 | miss | 6.68 | 4.81 | -28.0% | -23.5% | -26.0% | -25.1% |
| 2021-04-22 | beat | 2.89 | 5.28 | +82.8% | +7.4% | +3.0% | -2.4% |
| 2021-02-17 | beat | 2.84 | 3.55 | +25.1% | -9.5% | -8.0% | -14.7% |
| 2020-10-22 | beat | 4.79 | 6.80 | +41.8% | +9.9% | +18.8% | +13.2% |
| 2020-07-23 | beat | 2.45 | 5.28 | +115.8% | +7.9% | +25.7% | +22.9% |
| 2020-04-22 | miss | 1.92 | 1.74 | -9.8% | -6.2% | +2.0% | +9.4% |
| 2020-02-19 | miss | 1.59 | 1.24 | -21.9% | -5.8% | -7.6% | -9.9% |
| 2019-10-29 | beat | 2.89 | 3.42 | +18.2% | +1.8% | -0.5% | -4.4% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 1.91 | 2.34 | +22.4% | +1.4% | +3.1% | -0.7% |
| 2019-04-24 | beat | 0.88 | 1.87 | +112.2% | +8.5% | +8.5% | +15.0% |
| 2019-02-20 | beat | 1.74 | 1.84 | +5.7% | +4.6% | +14.3% | +16.5% |
| 2018-10-25 | miss | 3.33 | 2.82 | -15.4% | +4.4% | +3.1% | +7.5% |
| 2018-07-26 | miss | 2.84 | 1.88 | -33.8% | -15.3% | -11.0% | -11.6% |
| 2018-04-25 | beat | 0.32 | 0.55 | +71.1% | +4.4% | -0.2% | +4.7% |
| 2018-02-21 | beat | 0.79 | 0.84 | +6.1% | -4.9% | -13.6% | -15.1% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 1.97 | 2.74 | +39.0% | -1.0% | -5.0% | -1.4% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 1.49 | 2.33 | +56.6% | +10.6% | +13.6% | +9.4% |
| 2017-04-26 | miss | 0.25 | 0.17 | -33.3% | -2.0% | -0.7% | +0.6% |
| 2017-02-22 | beat | 1.22 | 1.74 | +42.5% | -3.4% | -5.4% | -3.2% |
| 2016-10-20 | miss | 2.57 | 2.48 | -3.5% | -4.6% | +4.3% | +0.9% |
| 2016-07-21 | beat | 1.95 | 2.06 | +5.7% | +4.4% | +15.4% | +11.0% |
| 2016-04-21 | miss | 0.96 | 0.53 | -44.6% | -12.4% | -8.0% | -9.9% |
| 2016-02-18 | beat | 1.14 | 1.22 | +7.0% | -6.0% | -1.8% | +2.5% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 2.69 | 2.87 | +6.9% | -6.6% | -10.3% | -14.3% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 1.95 | 2.18 | +11.8% | -3.3% | -1.3% | +5.2% |
| 2015-04-29 | beat | 0.68 | 1.00 | +46.7% | -1.1% | -4.6% | -4.3% |
| 2015-02-24 | beat | 1.37 | 1.42 | +3.2% | -13.6% | -10.3% | -15.8% |
| 2014-10-30 | beat | 2.32 | 2.88 | +24.4% | +2.6% | +7.6% | +11.9% |
| 2014-07-30 | beat | 1.79 | 1.88 | +5.2% | -2.0% | -2.0% | +2.3% |
| 2014-04-30 | miss | 0.68 | 0.62 | -8.8% | -4.3% | -4.4% | -5.9% |
| 2014-02-25 | miss | 1.51 | 1.35 | -10.6% | -3.4% | +0.8% | +3.7% |
| 2013-10-30 | beat | 1.84 | 1.96 | +6.9% | -3.1% | -7.3% | -4.9% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | 1.34 | 1.45 | +8.0% | +7.7% | +14.1% | +18.5% |
| 2013-05-01 | miss | 0.62 | 0.51 | -17.1% | -4.9% | -11.6% | -12.5% |
| 2013-02-20 | miss | 1.28 | 1.26 | -1.5% | -1.9% | -2.0% | +1.6% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 1.35 | 1.53 | +13.1% | +2.8% | +7.9% | +4.5% |
| 2012-08-01 | miss | 1.24 | 1.06 | -14.4% | -5.6% | +2.6% | +4.2% |
| 2012-05-02 | beat | 0.41 | 0.56 | +37.9% | -0.4% | +1.5% | -2.2% |
| 2012-02-22 | beat | 1.11 | 1.17 | +5.8% | -0.6% | -4.4% | -8.4% |
Not investment advice.
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