SAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.2%
Next 1 month
+0.9%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +0.4% median,
56% of the last 18 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 38
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.43 +1.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$3M/day volume
28% volatility
-39% 1-year
52-week range · 4% of the way up · -43% from the high
$13.23$24.07
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-06 (Wednesday, after close, in 66 days) · EPS est. 0.49.
1-day std dev
3.8%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+6.2%
Biggest drop
-14.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | miss | 0.49 | 0.45 | -8.2% | -3.9% | -5.7% | -5.6% |
| 2026-07-07 | miss | 0.54 | 0.47 | -12.2% | -6.8% | -14.1% | -6.3% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | 0.55 | 0.53 | -3.6% | -2.0% | -3.1% | -5.2% |
| 2026-01-07 | beat | 0.59 | 0.61 | +3.2% | +0.0% | +1.5% | +5.4% |
| 2025-10-07 | miss | 0.68 | 0.58 | -15.0% | +0.2% | -4.7% | -5.1% |
| 2025-07-08 | miss | 0.72 | 0.66 | -7.8% | -0.2% | -2.9% | +0.8% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | 0.73 | 0.56 | -23.4% | -3.4% | -7.9% | -1.5% |
| 2025-01-08 | beat | 0.84 | 0.90 | +6.8% | +0.0% | -1.3% | +1.6% |
| 2024-10-08 | beat | 0.95 | 1.33 | +40.4% | +5.1% | +5.3% | +3.2% |
| 2024-07-09 | beat | 0.96 | 1.05 | +9.9% | +2.6% | +2.7% | +4.5% |
| 2024-05-06 | miss | 0.96 | 0.94 | -2.1% | -2.0% | -1.1% | -1.2% |
| 2024-01-09 | beat | 1.05 | 1.09 | +4.3% | -3.3% | -9.9% | -10.9% |
| 2023-10-09 | beat | 1.03 | 1.15 | +11.5% | +0.2% | -2.2% | +1.2% |
| 2023-07-10 | beat | 0.85 | 1.35 | +58.4% | +1.8% | -3.9% | -4.2% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 0.80 | 0.81 | +0.8% | +0.7% | +0.1% | +3.0% |
| 2023-01-10 | beat | 0.63 | 0.83 | +31.8% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -0.2% |
| 2022-10-04 | beat | 0.51 | 0.64 | +25.9% | +3.7% | +1.2% | -3.6% |
| 2022-07-06 | beat | 0.54 | 0.66 | +23.4% | -2.9% | -2.1% | -4.2% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | 0.54 | 0.48 | -11.1% | -0.1% | +0.6% | -2.9% |
| 2022-01-05 | miss | 0.54 | 0.45 | -17.3% | -1.7% | -3.6% | -2.2% |
| 2021-10-05 | beat | 0.50 | 0.57 | +13.0% | +1.9% | +1.2% | -1.1% |
| 2021-07-07 | miss | 0.50 | 0.23 | -54.3% | +1.0% | +0.9% | +1.9% |
| 2021-05-05 | miss | 0.50 | 0.38 | -24.3% | +0.5% | +1.4% | -3.9% |
| 2021-01-06 | miss | 0.47 | 0.40 | -15.5% | +2.4% | +6.2% | +4.5% |
| 2020-10-07 | beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +3.2% | +4.5% | +5.5% | +14.7% |
| 2020-07-08 | beat | 0.50 | 0.80 | +59.5% | +4.2% | +3.4% | +9.6% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | 0.28 | 0.01 | -96.4% | -10.0% | -7.2% | -9.7% |
| 2020-01-08 | miss | 0.58 | 0.46 | -21.8% | +2.0% | +3.7% | +11.0% |
| 2019-10-09 | beat | 0.59 | 0.59 | +0.8% | +2.0% | +1.2% | +1.5% |
| 2019-07-10 | miss | 0.59 | 0.48 | -18.9% | -0.5% | +2.3% | +3.5% |
| 2019-05-08 | miss | 0.65 | 0.54 | -16.4% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -3.1% |
| 2019-01-09 | beat | 0.62 | 0.69 | +11.2% | +0.6% | +1.9% | +1.2% |
| 2018-10-10 | beat | 0.54 | 0.74 | +38.6% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -1.9% |
| 2018-07-10 | beat | 0.55 | 0.63 | +15.2% | -8.2% | -7.7% | -8.4% |
| 2018-05-14 | miss | 0.53 | 0.53 | -0.3% | +2.8% | +4.8% | +5.6% |
| 2018-01-10 | miss | 0.53 | 0.50 | -5.8% | +1.0% | -1.6% | -1.0% |
| 2017-10-11 | miss | 0.51 | 0.49 | -4.4% | +3.0% | +1.5% | +5.4% |
| 2017-07-12 | beat | 0.47 | 0.60 | +28.6% | -0.2% | -6.9% | -9.1% |
| 2017-05-16 | miss | 0.33 | 0.19 | -42.4% | +0.2% | -1.2% | -5.3% |
| 2017-01-11 | beat | 0.48 | 0.60 | +25.7% | +0.1% | -2.4% | -4.9% |
| 2016-10-12 | beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +0.8% | +2.1% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| 2016-07-13 | miss | 0.51 | 0.44 | -13.2% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +2.1% |
| 2016-05-17 | beat | 0.40 | 0.54 | +35.0% | +1.2% | +0.1% | -0.7% |
| 2016-01-13 | miss | 0.44 | 0.42 | -4.5% | -1.3% | +0.7% | -2.1% |
| 2015-10-13 | beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +6.1% | -1.0% | -0.8% | -1.2% |
| 2015-07-14 | beat | 0.44 | 0.53 | +20.4% | +2.5% | +0.8% | +2.2% |
| 2015-05-20 | beat | 0.45 | 0.53 | +17.8% | -3.0% | -3.7% | -2.6% |
| 2015-01-14 | beat | 0.42 | 0.50 | +20.0% | +3.4% | +1.4% | +5.0% |
| 2014-10-14 | beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +5.4% | -0.6% | -3.0% | -0.6% |
| 2014-07-14 | beat | 0.36 | 0.40 | +11.1% | -1.4% | -1.1% | -2.4% |
| 2014-05-27 | miss | 0.44 | 0.28 | -37.4% | +1.2% | -2.2% | -1.7% |
| 2014-01-14 | beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +9.4% | +0.0% | +3.9% | +0.5% |
| 2013-10-15 | miss | 0.54 | 0.48 | -11.1% | -0.3% | -0.6% | -1.7% |
| 2013-01-14 | beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +6.1% | -1.0% | -0.8% | +7.8% |
| 2012-10-15 | miss | 0.48 | 0.34 | -29.2% | +0.0% | +0.8% | +1.7% |
| 2012-07-16 | miss | 0.43 | 0.33 | -23.3% | +0.2% | +0.2% | -0.8% |
| 2012-05-23 | miss | 0.47 | 0.40 | -14.9% | +0.2% | +2.3% | -0.6% |
| 2012-01-12 | miss | 0.50 | 0.25 | -50.0% | -0.5% | +1.4% | +2.2% |
| 2011-10-12 | beat | 0.50 | 0.83 | +66.0% | -1.0% | +0.4% | -2.0% |
| 2011-07-14 | miss | 0.50 | 0.18 | -64.8% | +1.0% | +1.9% | +1.7% |
Not investment advice.
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