SCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+1.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +3.2% median,
67% of the last 33 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 86
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.29 +0.7% · Seasonal tilt +0.6%
$14M/day volume
35% volatility
+37% 1-year
-31% from ATH
52-week range · 60% of the way up · -18% from the high
$26.38$48.07
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-17 (Thursday, after close, in 46 days) · EPS est. 3.52.
1-day std dev
8.5%
Finished up
44%
Biggest pop
+23.9%
Biggest drop
-20.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 59 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | miss | -3.42 | -3.63 | -6.1% | -14.2% | -7.1% | +3.9% |
| 2026-07-23 | beat | 2.16 | 2.19 | +1.4% | -8.7% | -7.1% | -12.5% |
| 2026-03-19 | beat | -0.36 | -0.15 | +58.9% | +10.3% | +8.8% | +13.1% |
| 2025-12-18 | beat | 2.07 | 2.57 | +24.1% | +2.9% | -6.2% | +7.1% |
| 2025-09-18 | miss | -2.41 | -2.52 | -4.6% | -14.6% | -12.0% | +0.1% |
| 2025-07-24 | beat | 0.85 | 0.87 | +2.4% | +15.0% | +23.9% | +15.8% |
| 2025-03-20 | beat | -0.78 | -0.05 | +93.6% | +6.3% | +12.9% | -0.7% |
| 2024-12-19 | miss | 2.30 | 1.82 | -20.9% | -14.7% | -20.2% | -16.2% |
| 2024-09-26 | beat | -2.48 | -2.13 | +14.1% | +8.7% | +6.2% | -10.0% |
| 2024-07-18 | miss | 2.66 | 1.23 | -53.8% | -14.4% | -19.9% | -13.6% |
| 2024-03-21 | -0.80 | -0.80 | — | -0.3% | +1.7% | -3.2% | |
| 2023-12-14 | miss | 2.65 | 2.45 | -7.5% | -10.9% | -11.6% | -9.6% |
| 2023-09-21 | miss | -1.35 | -2.20 | -63.0% | -15.7% | -13.2% | -2.1% |
| 2023-07-20 | beat | 1.70 | 2.26 | +32.9% | +10.2% | +11.5% | +9.2% |
| 2020-12-17 | miss | 1.38 | 1.02 | -26.1% | -9.8% | -9.8% | -6.4% |
| 2020-09-24 | beat | -1.74 | -1.16 | +33.3% | -4.1% | +3.4% | +7.3% |
| 2020-07-23 | beat | -0.93 | -0.23 | +75.3% | +2.0% | -8.3% | -16.3% |
| 2020-03-19 | miss | -0.64 | -1.25 | -95.3% | +9.5% | -13.4% | +12.7% |
| 2019-12-19 | beat | 1.77 | 2.06 | +16.4% | +15.1% | +8.3% | -0.5% |
| 2019-09-19 | beat | -1.80 | -1.68 | +6.7% | +6.9% | +5.6% | -1.0% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 0.85 | 1.14 | +34.1% | +3.2% | +2.6% | +5.3% |
| 2019-03-21 | beat | -0.47 | -0.32 | +31.9% | -5.9% | -6.2% | -1.7% |
| 2018-12-20 | miss | 2.16 | 2.09 | -3.2% | -8.1% | -4.0% | -5.4% |
| 2018-09-27 | beat | -1.93 | -1.74 | +9.8% | +2.7% | +9.3% | +4.5% |
| 2018-07-19 | beat | 1.37 | 1.45 | +5.8% | -0.2% | -8.1% | -11.4% |
| 2018-03-21 | miss | -1.04 | -1.41 | -35.6% | -0.4% | +2.1% | +5.3% |
| 2017-12-14 | miss | 1.75 | 1.60 | -8.6% | -1.7% | -4.5% | -3.9% |
| 2017-09-21 | miss | -1.29 | -1.67 | -29.5% | -10.3% | -7.1% | -3.8% |
| 2017-07-20 | beat | 1.12 | 1.31 | +17.0% | -2.3% | -1.2% | -7.4% |
| 2017-03-23 | miss | -0.25 | -0.36 | -44.0% | -2.9% | -5.1% | -5.7% |
| 2016-12-15 | beat | 1.92 | 1.99 | +3.6% | +3.6% | +4.6% | +4.1% |
| 2016-09-22 | beat | -1.17 | -1.15 | +1.7% | -1.0% | +2.5% | -0.1% |
| 2016-07-21 | beat | 0.95 | 1.22 | +28.4% | +3.2% | +1.4% | +1.3% |
| 2016-03-24 | beat | -0.32 | -0.06 | +81.2% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +6.1% |
| 2015-12-17 | miss | 2.10 | 1.89 | -9.8% | -3.5% | -10.8% | -6.7% |
| 2015-09-24 | beat | -1.51 | -1.42 | +6.0% | -1.4% | +0.2% | -9.7% |
| 2015-07-23 | beat | 0.89 | 0.93 | +4.5% | +1.2% | -1.6% | -1.4% |
| 2015-03-26 | miss | -0.56 | -0.59 | -5.4% | -0.9% | -0.8% | +5.0% |
| 2014-12-18 | miss | 2.22 | 2.17 | -2.2% | +0.7% | -3.7% | +3.3% |
| 2014-09-25 | miss | -0.84 | -1.03 | -22.6% | -6.1% | -5.7% | -6.1% |
| 2014-07-24 | beat | 0.91 | 1.25 | +37.4% | +2.4% | +6.2% | +5.9% |
| 2014-03-20 | miss | -0.37 | -0.68 | -83.8% | -0.5% | -2.0% | -2.3% |
| 2013-12-19 | miss | 2.20 | 2.17 | -1.4% | -0.2% | +3.5% | +17.2% |
| 2013-09-19 | miss | -0.68 | -0.90 | -32.4% | +0.3% | -0.9% | -5.4% |
| 2013-07-18 | beat | 0.83 | 0.90 | +8.9% | -6.5% | -8.3% | -4.3% |
| 2013-03-21 | miss | -0.39 | -0.57 | -45.9% | -10.2% | -13.9% | -14.2% |
| 2012-12-20 | miss | 2.05 | 1.89 | -7.8% | -0.3% | -1.7% | -1.8% |
| 2012-09-20 | beat | -1.05 | -1.02 | +2.9% | -0.7% | +0.2% | -4.0% |
| 2012-07-19 | beat | 1.71 | 1.96 | +14.8% | +0.3% | -2.8% | -2.4% |
| 2012-03-15 | beat | -0.69 | -0.02 | +97.2% | +14.9% | +12.9% | +16.5% |
| 2011-12-15 | beat | 2.33 | 2.84 | +22.1% | +4.6% | +4.2% | +13.2% |
| 2011-09-22 | beat | -1.03 | -0.77 | +25.6% | +2.8% | +6.8% | +10.4% |
| 2011-07-21 | beat | 0.76 | 0.92 | +21.6% | +1.8% | +11.0% | +10.4% |
| 2011-03-24 | miss | -0.22 | -0.68 | -209.1% | -13.6% | -11.2% | -13.4% |
| 2010-12-16 | beat | 2.13 | 2.23 | +4.9% | -6.9% | -8.6% | -2.6% |
| 2010-09-23 | miss | -0.57 | -0.92 | -61.4% | +6.0% | +4.7% | +9.1% |
| 2010-07-22 | beat | 0.82 | 0.97 | +18.3% | +1.8% | +6.7% | +4.1% |
| 2010-04-01 | miss | -0.11 | -0.15 | -30.4% | +0.1% | -4.4% | -1.3% |
| 2009-12-17 | beat | 1.89 | 2.29 | +21.5% | -6.7% | -1.8% | +4.4% |
Not investment advice.
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