SCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.2%
Next 1 month
+0.9%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +0.6% median,
52% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 81
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.63 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt -0.7%
$11M/day volume
37% volatility
+58% 1-year
-50% from ATH
52-week range · 96% of the way up · -2% from the high
$41.82$70.81
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-22 (Monday, before open, in 115 days) · EPS est. 0.38.
1-day std dev
6.6%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+14.0%
Biggest drop
-20.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | beat | 0.73 | 0.94 | +29.7% | +4.3% | +4.9% | — |
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 0.61 | 1.18 | +93.4% | +8.1% | +14.0% | +10.8% |
| 2026-04-28 | beat | 0.39 | 0.45 | +16.9% | -3.8% | -6.3% | -0.7% |
| 2026-02-23 | miss | 0.40 | -0.02 | -105.1% | -9.3% | -20.4% | -24.9% |
| 2025-10-29 | miss | 0.62 | 0.48 | -21.9% | -1.0% | -0.4% | -1.0% |
| 2025-07-30 | miss | 0.90 | 0.52 | -42.2% | -4.4% | -9.7% | -10.8% |
| 2025-04-29 | beat | 0.60 | 0.84 | +40.8% | +6.2% | +7.1% | +11.1% |
| 2025-02-19 | miss | 0.33 | 0.12 | -63.6% | -3.5% | +0.1% | -0.5% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 0.65 | 1.03 | +57.6% | +3.0% | +2.0% | +11.1% |
| 2024-07-31 | miss | 0.67 | 0.41 | -38.8% | -6.1% | -6.0% | -19.4% |
| 2024-04-30 | beat | 0.35 | 0.64 | +81.6% | +3.1% | -1.8% | +2.8% |
| 2024-02-20 | miss | 0.37 | 0.33 | -10.8% | -4.4% | -2.3% | -3.3% |
| 2023-10-18 | miss | 0.76 | 0.64 | -15.2% | -4.2% | +6.2% | +8.1% |
| 2023-07-26 | miss | 1.17 | 0.53 | -54.6% | -4.5% | -3.2% | -2.4% |
| 2023-04-25 | miss | 0.94 | 0.71 | -24.7% | -1.2% | -8.9% | -9.4% |
| 2023-02-16 | beat | 0.56 | 0.59 | +5.8% | -2.0% | -5.0% | -4.4% |
| 2022-10-19 | beat | 1.61 | 2.01 | +25.2% | +3.8% | +3.6% | +2.5% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 1.90 | 2.30 | +21.4% | +2.8% | +5.1% | +2.1% |
| 2022-04-26 | beat | 1.31 | 1.76 | +34.1% | +1.7% | +1.7% | +5.5% |
| 2022-02-17 | miss | 1.00 | 0.97 | -3.5% | -0.5% | -1.1% | -5.4% |
| 2021-10-20 | beat | 1.39 | 1.57 | +12.8% | +2.0% | +3.4% | +0.2% |
| 2021-07-28 | miss | 1.84 | 1.81 | -1.4% | +1.0% | -0.3% | -3.1% |
| 2021-04-27 | miss | 1.43 | 1.04 | -27.4% | +1.5% | -1.8% | +2.3% |
| 2021-02-18 | beat | 1.08 | 1.42 | +31.1% | +0.0% | -3.0% | -1.0% |
| 2020-10-21 | beat | 1.40 | 1.56 | +11.7% | +1.0% | +0.3% | -0.5% |
| 2020-07-22 | beat | 1.20 | 1.65 | +37.5% | +2.5% | +3.2% | +7.9% |
| 2020-04-21 | beat | 0.78 | 1.04 | +32.8% | -0.1% | -1.5% | +5.5% |
| 2020-02-20 | beat | 0.88 | 1.10 | +25.0% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -14.8% |
| 2019-10-23 | beat | 1.14 | 1.20 | +5.6% | -0.3% | +0.7% | +4.4% |
| 2019-07-24 | beat | 1.34 | 1.50 | +12.4% | +1.0% | +4.8% | +5.4% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 1.27 | 1.31 | +3.1% | +0.2% | +1.5% | -2.9% |
| 2019-02-21 | beat | 0.81 | 1.02 | +25.5% | +0.5% | +1.5% | +1.7% |
| 2018-10-24 | beat | 1.00 | 1.11 | +11.0% | +5.1% | +2.2% | +0.3% |
| 2018-07-25 | beat | 1.38 | 1.38 | +0.2% | +0.0% | +4.6% | +6.8% |
| 2018-04-24 | miss | 1.46 | 1.37 | -6.4% | -9.2% | -16.6% | -20.8% |
| 2018-02-22 | beat | 0.72 | 1.06 | +47.9% | +7.0% | +8.1% | +10.6% |
| 2017-10-25 | miss | 1.09 | 0.92 | -15.3% | -2.6% | -8.7% | -7.0% |
| 2017-07-26 | miss | 1.34 | 1.32 | -1.5% | -1.2% | -4.2% | -12.3% |
| 2017-04-25 | beat | 1.19 | 1.36 | +14.6% | +3.8% | +9.1% | +4.4% |
| 2017-02-22 | miss | 0.69 | 0.52 | -24.3% | -5.9% | -9.2% | +0.4% |
| 2016-10-18 | beat | 0.95 | 1.06 | +12.0% | +4.0% | +7.5% | +1.3% |
| 2016-07-20 | beat | 1.17 | 1.31 | +11.7% | +0.7% | +0.3% | +2.5% |
| 2016-04-26 | beat | 0.98 | 1.29 | +31.2% | +5.0% | +6.6% | +0.9% |
| 2016-02-24 | beat | 0.53 | 0.74 | +38.8% | +1.0% | +10.4% | +17.8% |
| 2015-10-21 | beat | 0.79 | 0.92 | +16.5% | +1.8% | +13.2% | +13.5% |
| 2015-07-22 | miss | 0.94 | 0.91 | -3.2% | -3.5% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 2015-04-28 | beat | 0.64 | 0.90 | +41.4% | +4.2% | +13.0% | +11.6% |
| 2015-02-18 | miss | 0.46 | 0.38 | -16.5% | -0.5% | -0.6% | -1.0% |
| 2014-10-22 | miss | 0.90 | 0.68 | -24.5% | -0.5% | -4.9% | -5.9% |
| 2014-07-23 | beat | 0.88 | 0.90 | +1.9% | -1.5% | -0.9% | -4.2% |
| 2014-04-29 | miss | 0.86 | 0.56 | -34.6% | +0.0% | -2.2% | -7.6% |
| 2014-02-18 | miss | 0.89 | 0.62 | -30.5% | -0.8% | -3.3% | -5.7% |
| 2013-10-21 | beat | 0.92 | 0.92 | +0.2% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -1.8% |
| 2013-07-24 | miss | 0.99 | 0.89 | -9.8% | -4.4% | -0.6% | +1.0% |
| 2013-04-30 | miss | 1.19 | 0.94 | -21.2% | -0.7% | -5.2% | -9.3% |
| 2013-02-19 | beat | 0.72 | 0.79 | +9.7% | -0.5% | +3.0% | -1.3% |
| 2012-10-24 | miss | 1.03 | 0.91 | -12.0% | -2.8% | -5.8% | -0.4% |
| 2012-07-25 | miss | 1.09 | 1.00 | -9.0% | +0.0% | -4.2% | -6.3% |
| 2012-04-24 | beat | 0.98 | 1.05 | +6.5% | -1.2% | +2.4% | +4.6% |
| 2012-02-14 | miss | 0.73 | 0.68 | -6.5% | +4.2% | -2.3% | +1.1% |
Not investment advice.
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