SCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +1.8% median,
58% of the last 31 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 4
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.07 +2.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.7%
$15M/day volume
38% volatility
+37% 1-year
-14% from ATH
52-week range · 73% of the way up · -14% from the high
$33.76$66.78
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 1.11.
1-day std dev
8.2%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+17.6%
Biggest drop
-18.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | beat | 1.19 | 1.46 | +23.2% | +26.1% | +9.7% | +13.0% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 0.92 | 0.94 | +1.8% | +5.7% | +5.8% | +4.9% |
| 2026-02-05 | miss | 1.01 | 0.80 | -20.8% | -16.7% | -18.0% | -21.8% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | 0.93 | 1.06 | +14.0% | -10.8% | -1.6% | -2.5% |
| 2025-08-21 | beat | 0.92 | 1.02 | +10.5% | +3.6% | -6.2% | +3.9% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | 0.78 | 0.86 | +11.0% | +2.3% | +6.3% | +12.9% |
| 2025-01-30 | miss | 0.91 | 0.85 | -6.2% | -4.3% | -14.8% | -22.4% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | 0.78 | 0.84 | +7.7% | +0.0% | +0.7% | -2.0% |
| 2024-08-27 | miss | 0.93 | 0.80 | -14.3% | -5.3% | -2.1% | -1.1% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | 0.84 | 0.69 | -17.5% | -9.9% | +1.9% | +9.2% |
| 2024-02-06 | miss | 0.97 | 0.85 | -12.4% | -19.9% | -5.4% | +3.0% |
| 2023-11-09 | miss | 0.90 | 0.74 | -18.1% | -3.3% | -7.7% | +3.3% |
| 2023-08-22 | beat | 0.75 | 0.76 | +1.3% | -3.1% | -1.8% | +14.3% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 0.90 | 0.96 | +6.7% | +2.8% | +6.1% | +7.5% |
| 2023-02-07 | beat | 1.04 | 1.06 | +2.2% | +0.0% | -9.9% | -8.7% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | 1.05 | 1.07 | +2.2% | +1.0% | -3.2% | +1.2% |
| 2022-08-23 | miss | 0.97 | 0.91 | -6.2% | -9.9% | -16.8% | -15.2% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | 0.67 | 1.04 | +55.2% | +3.0% | +7.8% | +19.4% |
| 2022-02-08 | beat | 0.84 | 1.02 | +21.4% | +4.7% | +1.7% | -6.8% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | 0.72 | 0.99 | +37.5% | +1.4% | -11.8% | -10.7% |
| 2021-08-24 | beat | 0.57 | 0.96 | +67.4% | +9.5% | +15.3% | +12.7% |
| 2021-05-10 | beat | 0.48 | 0.71 | +46.9% | -1.0% | -4.6% | -2.6% |
| 2021-02-02 | beat | 0.53 | 0.65 | +23.4% | +5.0% | +9.1% | +9.0% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | 0.34 | 0.42 | +24.8% | +3.9% | +11.7% | +8.1% |
| 2020-08-31 | miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -10.9% | -10.9% | -13.3% | -21.9% |
| 2020-05-11 | miss | 0.42 | 0.37 | -11.9% | -4.1% | -14.3% | -9.3% |
| 2020-02-04 | miss | 0.81 | 0.77 | -4.9% | -3.2% | -10.5% | -10.2% |
| 2019-11-12 | miss | 0.73 | 0.72 | -1.4% | -2.5% | +2.2% | +3.2% |
| 2019-08-20 | miss | 0.82 | 0.71 | -13.8% | -3.8% | -3.6% | -10.2% |
| 2019-05-09 | miss | 0.78 | 0.77 | -1.3% | -5.7% | -9.6% | -12.6% |
| 2019-02-05 | beat | 0.97 | 0.99 | +2.1% | +0.8% | +0.7% | -0.4% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 0.86 | 0.89 | +3.5% | -3.1% | -1.2% | -6.6% |
| 2018-08-28 | beat | 0.77 | 0.77 | +0.4% | -1.0% | -12.7% | -5.7% |
| 2018-05-08 | miss | 0.70 | 0.68 | -2.2% | +1.4% | -0.3% | +2.3% |
| 2018-02-06 | beat | 0.81 | 0.90 | +11.8% | +10.0% | +5.8% | +0.5% |
| 2017-11-06 | miss | 0.78 | 0.76 | -2.9% | -0.9% | -9.3% | -16.2% |
| 2017-08-29 | 0.68 | 0.68 | — | -3.8% | -2.7% | -6.3% | |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | 0.67 | 0.65 | -2.6% | -1.4% | -2.2% | -7.6% |
| 2017-02-07 | beat | 0.72 | 0.75 | +4.5% | +1.2% | +8.5% | +8.4% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | 0.66 | 0.68 | +3.8% | +2.0% | +1.2% | +5.8% |
| 2016-08-29 | miss | 0.71 | 0.51 | -28.2% | -11.9% | -16.9% | -16.3% |
| 2016-05-10 | miss | 0.65 | 0.64 | -1.9% | -1.5% | +3.7% | -0.6% |
| 2016-02-09 | beat | 0.76 | 0.88 | +16.6% | +6.2% | +17.6% | +19.5% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.56 | 0.68 | +21.4% | +1.0% | -15.1% | -3.1% |
| 2015-08-20 | beat | 0.57 | 0.66 | +14.8% | -15.4% | -4.6% | +2.9% |
| 2015-04-30 | miss | 0.56 | 0.47 | -16.1% | -2.1% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| 2015-01-29 | beat | 0.65 | 0.68 | +4.2% | -1.1% | -12.7% | -6.0% |
| 2014-10-30 | beat | 0.61 | 0.73 | +20.3% | +6.6% | +3.1% | +4.8% |
| 2014-08-21 | beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +1.7% | -0.5% | -1.9% | -1.8% |
| 2014-05-01 | beat | 0.54 | 0.59 | +8.6% | +0.7% | +3.4% | -3.3% |
| 2014-01-30 | miss | 0.65 | 0.64 | -0.8% | -1.3% | -5.5% | -9.2% |
| 2013-10-24 | beat | 0.58 | 0.71 | +21.7% | +0.3% | +5.4% | +8.8% |
| 2013-08-22 | beat | 0.61 | 0.71 | +17.4% | -1.1% | -4.0% | -11.7% |
| 2013-04-25 | beat | 0.49 | 0.50 | +2.0% | -0.8% | +0.3% | +6.5% |
| 2013-01-24 | beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +3.2% | -6.3% | -14.5% | -13.6% |
| 2012-10-25 | beat | 0.61 | 0.65 | +6.6% | -0.6% | +0.2% | +5.8% |
| 2012-08-16 | beat | 0.62 | 0.68 | +9.7% | -1.5% | +0.5% | -0.3% |
| 2012-04-26 | miss | 0.54 | 0.53 | -1.4% | -0.8% | -2.2% | -4.1% |
| 2012-01-26 | beat | 0.69 | 0.77 | +12.4% | +1.3% | +0.1% | +4.9% |
| 2011-10-27 | beat | 0.64 | 0.73 | +13.1% | -5.9% | -4.7% | -5.9% |
Not investment advice.
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