SCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+3.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +3.8% median,
64% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 22
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.44 +3.6% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.0%
$463619/day volume
73% volatility
-31% 1-year
52-week range · 4% of the way up · -59% from the high
$3.53$9.12
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.72.
1-day std dev
7.6%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+12.7%
Biggest drop
-36.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 50 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | beat | -0.51 | 0.63 | +224.3% | +1.3% | -6.2% | -0.3% |
| 2026-05-11 | miss | -0.99 | -3.36 | -240.5% | -7.3% | -5.3% | -20.3% |
| 2026-03-04 | beat | 1.01 | 2.00 | +97.4% | -4.5% | +2.3% | +14.8% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | -1.60 | -1.36 | +15.0% | -2.9% | -5.5% | -6.5% |
| 2025-08-13 | beat | -1.52 | -1.12 | +26.3% | +2.5% | -5.1% | -3.7% |
| 2025-05-15 | beat | -1.55 | -0.88 | +43.1% | -8.9% | -19.3% | -20.7% |
| 2025-03-12 | miss | -0.16 | -0.72 | -350.0% | -0.4% | -5.9% | +14.0% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | -0.78 | -0.48 | +38.5% | -0.8% | +0.8% | -4.5% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | -1.62 | -2.40 | -48.5% | -1.0% | -7.9% | -9.4% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | -1.55 | 0.08 | +105.2% | +7.6% | +2.2% | +31.0% |
| 2024-03-28 | miss | -0.58 | -3.12 | -437.9% | +3.4% | +1.4% | +10.9% |
| 2023-11-13 | beat | -1.17 | -0.32 | +72.6% | +0.3% | -0.3% | -3.8% |
| 2023-08-14 | beat | 11.62 | 19.68 | +69.4% | +15.4% | -1.8% | +10.4% |
| 2023-05-10 | miss | -2.20 | -5.68 | -158.2% | -1.4% | -4.8% | -0.7% |
| 2023-03-31 | beat | -3.25 | -2.32 | +28.6% | +3.7% | +2.0% | +12.2% |
| 2022-11-09 | miss | -3.94 | -4.96 | -26.0% | -1.8% | -19.6% | -9.8% |
| 2022-08-15 | beat | -4.72 | -2.48 | +47.5% | -2.4% | +2.1% | -9.8% |
| 2022-05-12 | beat | -6.20 | -1.36 | +78.1% | -3.2% | +0.0% | +12.3% |
| 2022-03-29 | miss | -6.05 | -6.78 | -12.0% | -6.4% | -13.0% | -18.5% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | -5.64 | -5.56 | +1.5% | +6.2% | +1.2% | +19.3% |
| 2021-08-16 | beat | -4.72 | 0.48 | +110.2% | -1.3% | +1.8% | -2.9% |
| 2021-05-17 | beat | -5.55 | -0.60 | +89.1% | +0.1% | +12.7% | +27.4% |
| 2021-03-29 | miss | -6.97 | -30.59 | -338.7% | +5.2% | -5.2% | +10.2% |
| 2020-11-06 | miss | -8.56 | -9.12 | -6.5% | +0.2% | +3.6% | +21.6% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | -9.52 | -4.24 | +55.4% | +0.3% | +4.3% | -5.6% |
| 2020-05-11 | beat | -12.00 | -5.60 | +53.3% | +0.8% | -2.5% | -8.6% |
| 2020-03-11 | miss | -14.40 | -17.60 | -22.2% | +1.1% | -7.3% | -34.6% |
| 2019-11-12 | beat | -18.08 | -11.20 | +38.0% | -0.9% | +5.3% | -1.8% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | -15.60 | -12.27 | +21.3% | +3.4% | -0.9% | -6.3% |
| 2019-05-08 | miss | -15.31 | -35.84 | -134.0% | -5.7% | -5.7% | -10.1% |
| 2019-03-14 | beat | -13.07 | 4.80 | +136.7% | -5.1% | -5.1% | -0.6% |
| 2018-11-13 | beat | -13.60 | -11.19 | +17.7% | +2.8% | -5.1% | -14.1% |
| 2018-08-09 | miss | -14.06 | -18.40 | -30.9% | -2.1% | -4.1% | -5.5% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | -15.20 | -9.60 | +36.8% | +0.0% | -0.8% | +2.3% |
| 2018-03-13 | miss | -18.93 | -20.95 | -10.7% | +0.0% | +2.7% | +5.5% |
| 2017-11-07 | miss | -24.00 | -24.80 | -3.3% | +0.0% | -8.8% | -9.3% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | -22.40 | -12.80 | +42.9% | +2.4% | -0.6% | +4.3% |
| 2017-05-08 | beat | -22.40 | -20.00 | +10.7% | -28.3% | -36.2% | -33.5% |
| 2017-03-13 | beat | -31.00 | -19.20 | +38.1% | +1.7% | -3.6% | -7.6% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | -37.33 | -22.74 | +39.1% | +0.9% | +1.9% | +11.1% |
| 2016-08-08 | miss | -40.60 | -44.80 | -10.3% | -3.4% | +0.5% | +2.9% |
| 2016-05-09 | beat | -49.60 | -41.60 | +16.1% | +6.3% | -0.5% | -21.9% |
| 2016-03-07 | beat | -46.00 | -40.80 | +11.3% | -0.7% | +0.7% | -5.3% |
| 2015-11-13 | beat | -49.87 | -43.20 | +13.4% | +4.4% | -2.4% | +4.3% |
| 2015-08-19 | miss | -40.00 | -42.40 | -6.0% | +5.4% | -2.8% | +4.2% |
| 2015-05-15 | miss | -31.20 | -60.00 | -92.3% | -1.8% | -0.3% | -5.9% |
| 2015-03-30 | beat | -54.40 | -36.02 | +33.8% | +5.1% | +5.9% | +18.4% |
| 2014-11-13 | beat | -42.00 | -36.00 | +14.3% | +0.6% | +0.1% | +1.7% |
| 2014-08-13 | miss | -32.00 | -63.27 | -97.7% | -2.9% | +6.1% | -1.5% |
| 2014-06-16 | miss | -27.20 | -957.60 | -3420.6% | +0.0% | +7.0% | -6.5% |
Not investment advice.
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