SEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.8%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+4.7%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -7.5% median,
30% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 30
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.27 +5.3% · Seasonal tilt (10y) -0.6%
$5M/day volume
80% volatility
+24% 1-year
52-week range · 72% of the way up · -16% from the high
$4.79$10.64
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 7 days) · EPS est. -0.52.
1-day std dev
12.5%
Finished up
26%
Biggest pop
+36.3%
Biggest drop
-19.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 42 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -0.62 | -0.63 | -1.3% | +11.8% | +36.3% | +51.7% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | -0.70 | -0.71 | -1.1% | +0.2% | -6.2% | +7.6% |
| 2026-03-02 | miss | -0.43 | -0.46 | -6.1% | -8.2% | -18.1% | -29.3% |
| 2025-11-05 | miss | -0.40 | -0.43 | -6.7% | +0.0% | -7.6% | -8.2% |
| 2025-08-06 | -0.40 | -0.40 | — | -5.5% | -4.9% | -1.2% | |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | -0.47 | -0.40 | +14.3% | -5.0% | -15.2% | -28.1% |
| 2025-03-03 | beat | -0.60 | -0.40 | +33.3% | -19.7% | -19.3% | -31.0% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | -0.70 | -0.80 | -14.3% | -2.5% | -12.5% | -19.8% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | -0.60 | -0.66 | -9.7% | -3.7% | -6.7% | +2.0% |
| 2024-05-13 | -0.60 | -0.60 | — | +1.4% | +10.4% | +5.9% | |
| 2024-02-29 | miss | -0.80 | -1.47 | -83.5% | -12.4% | -10.4% | -11.0% |
| 2023-11-09 | miss | -0.70 | -0.95 | -36.0% | +3.3% | +1.9% | +14.6% |
| 2023-08-10 | miss | -0.60 | -0.71 | -18.3% | -5.1% | -8.5% | -28.2% |
| 2023-05-09 | miss | -0.73 | -0.93 | -27.4% | -1.5% | +24.0% | +17.5% |
| 2023-03-15 | beat | -0.80 | -0.70 | +12.0% | +3.8% | -10.5% | -24.2% |
| 2022-11-08 | miss | -0.85 | -2.60 | -205.9% | -4.2% | -14.2% | +0.0% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | -0.73 | -0.92 | -25.2% | +4.3% | +11.4% | +6.5% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | -0.73 | -0.65 | +11.9% | -9.7% | -16.1% | -12.1% |
| 2022-03-01 | miss | -0.64 | -0.82 | -28.8% | +5.6% | +10.7% | +4.5% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | -1.28 | -0.68 | +46.8% | -3.5% | -0.5% | -4.0% |
| 2021-08-09 | miss | -0.48 | -0.91 | -90.0% | -9.2% | -6.5% | -6.5% |
| 2021-05-13 | miss | -0.84 | -0.84 | -0.4% | +4.1% | +12.3% | +17.0% |
| 2021-03-04 | beat | -1.24 | -1.03 | +17.3% | -4.5% | -7.8% | +17.8% |
| 2020-11-09 | miss | -1.33 | -1.47 | -10.6% | -14.1% | -7.9% | -13.8% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | -1.96 | -1.49 | +24.2% | +10.8% | +4.7% | +0.0% |
| 2020-06-09 | miss | -2.93 | -4.75 | -61.8% | -15.1% | -12.4% | -18.1% |
| 2020-03-12 | miss | -3.23 | -3.85 | -19.2% | -11.8% | -6.0% | -29.8% |
| 2019-11-12 | miss | -3.20 | -3.54 | -10.8% | -13.7% | -14.7% | -17.6% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | -3.28 | -3.40 | -3.5% | -4.6% | +0.0% | -2.8% |
| 2019-05-09 | miss | -2.73 | -3.40 | -24.4% | -4.7% | -9.3% | -12.3% |
| 2019-03-12 | miss | -2.64 | -3.29 | -24.7% | +0.0% | -3.3% | -11.4% |
| 2018-11-08 | miss | -2.66 | -2.80 | -5.4% | -8.1% | -11.1% | -21.9% |
| 2018-08-08 | miss | -2.72 | -4.60 | -69.1% | -2.4% | -0.2% | -10.4% |
| 2018-05-10 | miss | -2.40 | -3.20 | -33.3% | -0.3% | -5.6% | +1.6% |
| 2018-03-13 | beat | -2.60 | -2.40 | +7.7% | -1.3% | +3.6% | -0.3% |
| 2017-10-31 | miss | -2.55 | -2.60 | -2.0% | +0.0% | -12.0% | -10.3% |
| 2017-08-09 | beat | -2.65 | -2.40 | +9.4% | -5.2% | +3.0% | +5.2% |
| 2017-05-04 | miss | -2.45 | -2.80 | -14.3% | +8.0% | -2.5% | -9.9% |
| 2017-02-23 | beat | -2.40 | -2.20 | +8.3% | -0.9% | +0.0% | -0.4% |
| 2016-11-03 | miss | -2.15 | -2.40 | -11.6% | -1.2% | -3.6% | -10.8% |
| 2016-08-09 | miss | -2.25 | -2.60 | -15.6% | +10.0% | +35.3% | +34.3% |
| 2016-05-12 | miss | -2.00 | -3.00 | -50.0% | +2.7% | -1.5% | +3.6% |
Not investment advice.
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