SFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+1.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +2.5% median,
91% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 41
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.68 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt (11y) +0.0%
$24M/day volume
29% volatility
+17% 1-year
-20% from ATH
52-week range · 54% of the way up · -12% from the high
$33.60$46.04
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-19 (Tuesday, after close, in 80 days) · EPS est. 0.83.
1-day std dev
5.4%
Finished up
72%
Biggest pop
+20.0%
Biggest drop
-14.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 50 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | miss | 0.83 | 0.80 | -3.2% | -2.0% | +2.2% | +5.0% |
| 2026-07-20 | beat | 0.78 | 0.79 | +0.2% | +2.9% | +2.6% | +5.1% |
| 2026-04-20 | beat | 0.76 | 0.76 | +0.7% | +1.3% | +1.2% | +1.7% |
| 2026-01-20 | beat | 0.69 | 0.79 | +14.2% | +7.7% | +14.6% | +5.1% |
| 2025-10-20 | miss | 0.67 | 0.65 | -2.7% | -2.9% | -6.8% | -6.7% |
| 2025-07-21 | beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +0.3% | +0.7% | +1.2% | -3.6% |
| 2025-04-21 | miss | 0.59 | 0.58 | -2.0% | -3.6% | +0.0% | +3.9% |
| 2025-01-27 | beat | 0.56 | 0.60 | +7.2% | -0.2% | +2.7% | +1.4% |
| 2024-10-21 | beat | 0.49 | 0.55 | +12.6% | +0.8% | +2.0% | +2.2% |
| 2024-07-15 | beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +4.0% | +2.0% | +13.0% | +13.3% |
| 2024-04-22 | beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +8.9% | +5.5% | +2.2% | -3.8% |
| 2024-01-29 | beat | 0.44 | 0.46 | +3.8% | +0.9% | +2.2% | -11.5% |
| 2023-10-16 | beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +2.4% | -7.2% | -4.8% | -12.3% |
| 2023-07-20 | beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +10.1% | +9.3% | +20.0% | +22.7% |
| 2023-04-17 | beat | 0.53 | 0.53 | +0.7% | -0.4% | -3.1% | -5.6% |
| 2023-01-23 | beat | 0.62 | 0.62 | +0.3% | -2.7% | -9.9% | -5.2% |
| 2022-10-17 | miss | 0.61 | 0.61 | -0.5% | -3.3% | -14.0% | -17.2% |
| 2022-07-18 | beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +0.9% | +1.5% | +2.8% | +4.6% |
| 2022-04-18 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +1.4% | +1.0% | +4.0% | -1.3% |
| 2022-01-24 | beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +4.7% | +1.1% | +0.2% | -0.6% |
| 2021-10-18 | beat | 0.48 | 0.48 | +0.2% | +1.6% | +3.5% | +4.0% |
| 2021-07-19 | miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -0.5% | +1.1% | +4.3% | +7.1% |
| 2021-04-19 | beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +0.5% | +4.1% | +0.9% | +4.4% |
| 2021-01-25 | beat | 0.40 | 0.47 | +16.4% | +1.5% | +2.0% | -0.6% |
| 2020-10-19 | beat | 0.36 | 0.40 | +12.3% | +3.1% | +5.5% | +0.5% |
| 2020-07-20 | beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +7.5% | +2.2% | +6.5% | +4.6% |
| 2020-04-20 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +1.9% | -4.9% | +4.6% | +19.3% |
| 2020-01-21 | beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +11.4% | +3.3% | +10.9% | +1.9% |
| 2019-10-21 | beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +2.1% | +5.0% | +4.2% | +3.9% |
| 2019-07-15 | beat | 0.33 | 0.33 | +1.1% | -4.2% | -1.4% | -0.2% |
| 2019-04-15 | beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +1.6% | +0.5% | -2.2% | -4.2% |
| 2019-01-22 | miss | 0.34 | 0.34 | -1.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -0.1% |
| 2018-10-17 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +2.8% | +4.5% | +2.5% | -0.1% |
| 2018-07-19 | beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +5.1% | -3.0% | -4.4% | -3.2% |
| 2018-04-16 | beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +4.7% | +1.0% | +3.7% | +2.9% |
| 2018-01-22 | miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -6.2% | -0.5% | +2.2% | +0.7% |
| 2017-10-16 | beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +4.4% | +0.5% | +2.2% | +3.7% |
| 2017-07-17 | beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +7.1% | +3.3% | +0.1% | +4.0% |
| 2017-04-17 | beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +6.3% | +9.9% | +2.7% | +11.7% |
| 2017-01-30 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +9.6% | +0.6% | +5.2% | +4.8% |
| 2016-10-17 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +9.9% | -3.5% | -0.5% | +3.5% |
| 2016-07-18 | beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +6.8% | +1.6% | +4.0% | +1.4% |
| 2016-04-18 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +1.5% | -2.0% | +3.2% | +3.0% |
| 2016-01-25 | beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +14.7% | +0.5% | +2.2% | +0.9% |
| 2015-10-19 | beat | 0.15 | 0.15 | +2.5% | +1.5% | +4.4% | +7.1% |
| 2015-07-20 | miss | 0.14 | 0.14 | -1.8% | -0.6% | -1.5% | -2.4% |
| 2015-04-20 | beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +1.8% | +0.4% | +1.2% | +2.8% |
| 2015-01-20 | beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +7.4% | +1.0% | +0.3% | +0.6% |
| 2014-10-20 | beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +3.9% | +0.7% | +0.0% | +4.0% |
| 2014-07-22 | miss | 0.13 | 0.13 | -2.5% | +0.8% | -0.1% | -0.3% |
Not investment advice.
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