SFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+3.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +1.4% median,
62% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 46
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.26%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.57 +3.8% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.1%
$7M/day volume
68% volatility
-36% 1-year
52-week range · 16% of the way up · -53% from the high
$2.10$5.74
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-03 (Thursday, after close, in 32 days) · EPS est. -0.06.
1-day std dev
20.8%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+44.3%
Biggest drop
-39.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 36 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | beat | -0.06 | -0.01 | +84.9% | -18.1% | -21.6% | -7.8% |
| 2026-06-10 | beat | -0.05 | -0.01 | +81.0% | +6.4% | +16.7% | +11.9% |
| 2026-03-11 | beat | -0.04 | -0.02 | +46.2% | -0.9% | -2.4% | -2.1% |
| 2025-12-04 | beat | -0.04 | -0.02 | +59.8% | -6.2% | +9.2% | +16.8% |
| 2025-09-24 | beat | -0.10 | -0.06 | +38.7% | -15.3% | -16.5% | -24.3% |
| 2025-06-10 | beat | -0.11 | -0.06 | +48.5% | -4.8% | -10.5% | -20.3% |
| 2025-03-11 | beat | -0.10 | -0.05 | +54.1% | +15.1% | -5.4% | -14.9% |
| 2024-12-10 | beat | -0.13 | -0.03 | +76.9% | +25.0% | +44.3% | -18.3% |
| 2024-09-24 | beat | -0.20 | -0.09 | +55.2% | -28.3% | -39.5% | -29.9% |
| 2024-06-04 | beat | -0.25 | -0.15 | +42.0% | +17.6% | +29.4% | +40.1% |
| 2024-03-04 | miss | -0.19 | -0.19 | -2.0% | -17.4% | -21.0% | -28.7% |
| 2023-12-05 | beat | -0.25 | -0.16 | +38.0% | +5.9% | -3.4% | +11.9% |
| 2023-09-18 | beat | -0.21 | -0.18 | +14.2% | -4.9% | +12.1% | +14.8% |
| 2023-06-06 | beat | -0.29 | -0.17 | +41.4% | +15.5% | +28.0% | +14.0% |
| 2023-03-07 | beat | -0.32 | -0.27 | +15.5% | -11.5% | -0.4% | +4.6% |
| 2022-12-06 | beat | -0.46 | -0.44 | +4.1% | -2.7% | +0.5% | +11.4% |
| 2022-09-20 | miss | -0.60 | -0.89 | -49.4% | -4.7% | +2.8% | -12.5% |
| 2022-06-09 | miss | -0.55 | -0.72 | -29.8% | -16.1% | -18.5% | -21.9% |
| 2022-03-08 | miss | -0.24 | -0.28 | -16.0% | -19.6% | -6.1% | -0.4% |
| 2021-12-07 | beat | -0.13 | -0.02 | +84.3% | -27.4% | -23.9% | -26.1% |
| 2021-09-21 | beat | -0.14 | 0.19 | +236.9% | +12.5% | +15.7% | +11.3% |
| 2021-06-07 | beat | -0.27 | -0.18 | +33.3% | +14.9% | +14.1% | +5.5% |
| 2021-03-08 | beat | -0.22 | -0.20 | +7.7% | -23.7% | -28.2% | -17.8% |
| 2020-12-07 | beat | -0.14 | 0.09 | +162.2% | +42.4% | +39.2% | +79.5% |
| 2020-09-22 | miss | -0.18 | -0.44 | -147.8% | -13.1% | -15.5% | -13.5% |
| 2020-06-08 | miss | -0.14 | -0.33 | -129.2% | -7.5% | -5.5% | -2.2% |
| 2020-03-09 | beat | 0.07 | 0.11 | +63.5% | -29.3% | -25.2% | -36.0% |
| 2019-12-09 | beat | -0.05 | — | +100.0% | +8.5% | +4.8% | +2.4% |
| 2019-10-01 | beat | 0.04 | 0.07 | +84.2% | -15.3% | -10.8% | +4.0% |
| 2019-06-05 | beat | -0.01 | 0.07 | +666.8% | +24.0% | +14.7% | +22.8% |
| 2019-03-11 | beat | 0.06 | 0.12 | +95.4% | +26.4% | +25.2% | +12.3% |
| 2018-12-10 | beat | 0.04 | 0.10 | +155.9% | -19.4% | -20.9% | -24.4% |
| 2018-10-01 | beat | 0.05 | 0.17 | +234.1% | -22.1% | -35.2% | -43.6% |
| 2018-06-07 | beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +134.2% | +8.7% | +26.5% | +31.4% |
| 2018-03-12 | miss | 0.07 | 0.07 | -3.5% | -5.7% | -3.6% | -16.0% |
| 2017-12-19 | beat | 0.09 | 0.13 | +55.8% | -13.2% | -9.8% | +8.8% |
Not investment advice.
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